📊 Strategy for Nat’l Collegiate Athletics Landscape. 📰 Question headlines, be informed. basketballquant.com | cfbquant.com Bios/Contact in About Sections ⬆️

Manhattan, NY
Can’t pin this as a highlight without having quoted it, so here’s a second chance for you to learn more about why we founded Arkansas Quant: / Inform fanbases with the complete picture, not just what the headlines sell / Minimize "eye-test" bias / Bring game theory to college athletics. Kiffin and Cignetti are two who actively apply game theory.
Meet the guys behind @ArkansasQuant and learn how they turned a hobby into helping the Hogs: bestofarkansassports.com/ark… #WPS
3
5
23
12,268
Arkansas Quant retweeted
2026 P4 QB Supporting Cast: who's getting help and whose QB play is drug down by their teammates? / Oregon #1 / Kentucky #2 / Stanford #68…where teammate flags have erased 10 completions, most in the P4 / Marcel Reed: drops, YAC, flags
/ UNC's Billy Edwards Jr: OL (6th-most pressure) & drops
/ Auburn's Byrum Brown: OL & YAC (5th-worst)
/ Sam Leavitt: 8 completions erased by teammate flags, 2nd most in the P4
/ LaNorris Sellers: receivers drop 14% of catchable balls, worst in the P4 (Shoutout Nyck!)
/ Jared Curtis's OL at Vandy is BAD Factors: pressures, drops, contested targets, YAC & teammate flags on pass plays PFF + CFBD data ⬇️ #CFB #GoDucks #BBN #GoStanford #GigEm #GoHeels #WarEagle #GeauxTigers #Gamecocks #AnchorDown
1
3
2
988
“Opponent Adjusted”….Purdue, Ohio State and USC will EACH face SIX Top 25 pass defenses this year. / Miami, Notre Dame, and Wake Forest will face a combined five. Top 25 Pass Defenses Faced / Top 50 * Darian Mensah: 2 / 3 * Giovanni Lopez: 0 / 0 * Julian Sayin: 2 / 2 * C.J. Carr: 1 / 3 * Jayden Maiava: 3 / 5 * Josh Hoover: 4 / 5 * Sam Leavitt: 4 / 6 * Kamario Taylor: 3 / 5 * Ryan Browne: 3 / 5 Top 25 Pass Defenses Remaining / Ohio State-4 / Miami-1 / ND-1 / Wake Forest-0 / USC-3 / Purdue-3
2026 CFB opponent-adjusted EPA/play leaders: 1. Darian Mensah - MIA - .507 2. Tayven Jackson - UNT - .462 3. Giovanni Lopez - WAKE - .419 4. Julian Sayin - OSU - .401 5. C.J. Carr - ND - .371 6. Jayden Maiava - USC - .355 7. Aidan Chiles - NU - .336 8. Conner Weigman - HOU - .333 9. Ashton Daniels - FSU - .325 10. Noah Fifita - ARIZ - .311 11. Cale Hellums - ARMY - .306 12. Drew Mestemaker - OKST - .306 13. Lincoln Kienholz - LOU - .306 14. Maddux Madsen - BSU - .306 15. Bear Bachmeier - BYU - .297 (Min. 100 plays. Includes passes, sacks and QB runs. Garbage time excluded)
1
4
703
will face = if the pass defenses who are top 25 right now remain top 25, and not all of them will, but that perspective is still substantial to show the variance in competition the ACC faces versus Big 10 and SEC, and even Big 12.
118
2026 P4 QB Supporting Cast: who's getting help and whose QB play is drug down by their teammates? / Oregon #1 / Kentucky #2 / Stanford #68…where teammate flags have erased 10 completions, most in the P4 / Marcel Reed: drops, YAC, flags
/ UNC's Billy Edwards Jr: OL (6th-most pressure) & drops
/ Auburn's Byrum Brown: OL & YAC (5th-worst)
/ Sam Leavitt: 8 completions erased by teammate flags, 2nd most in the P4
/ LaNorris Sellers: receivers drop 14% of catchable balls, worst in the P4 (Shoutout Nyck!)
/ Jared Curtis's OL at Vandy is BAD Factors: pressures, drops, contested targets, YAC & teammate flags on pass plays PFF + CFBD data ⬇️ #CFB #GoDucks #BBN #GoStanford #GigEm #GoHeels #WarEagle #GeauxTigers #Gamecocks #AnchorDown
1
3
2
988
Who's getting after the QB… and is it actually stopping anything? 2026 P4 pressure rate vs. points allowed per pass play, thru Week 9 📊 More heat doesn't always mean fewer points ⬇️ Tennessee, LSU, Oklahoma: top 5 in pressure AND top 8 vs. the pass 🔥
 K-State, Miami: top 6 in pressure, still giving up more than average through the air. (Secondary Coaching is an opportunity) 
Iowa, USC, Va Tech: above-average pressure, bottom 10 vs. the pass. 
 Wisconsin: #1 pass D in the P4 with below-average pressure. (lockdown secondary coaching) Pressure rate = how often the D gets a QB hurried, hit or sacked on a dropback. Points allowed per pass play is adjusted for the offenses each team has faced. #CFB #GoVols #GeauxTigers #OUDNA #KState #GoCanes #Hawkeyes #FightOn #Hokies #OnWisconsin
6
11
100
16,938
“It’s a result of our DC using our DL to stuff the run.” No, that is coping.
2
2
4
572
Modern HC resumes for 🐢 #Terps 🐺 #GoPack 🐻 #SicEm 1️⃣ Beats his roster's talent in year one and through low returning production. 2️⃣ OC and DC he’ll hire has too 3️⃣ 3-year deal max. (not likely, but goal is to prevent collecting a paycheck Y1 so that Y2 looks like progress even if it’s below program norms, then Y3 he performs to unlock an extension beyond original 5YR deal) 4️⃣ Built his roster via the portal 5️⃣ Rare to get new HC who has substantial increase in NIL waiting for him to use in portal, so emphasize 1 and 2 Eck? Danielson? Your pick? 👇 Note: pic is not intended to be reflective of the above 5. #CFB #Terps #GoPack #SicEm #NCState
6
2
25
15,996
Scorecard for what it takes to win +2 games above program norms, accounting for recent schedules, talent, etc. My split 👇 🐢 Eck + UNM staff 🐺 Dickert + Hazelton, keep Roper 🐻 Danielson + Briles 😉, keep Klanderman ❌ Kelly, Mullen, Riley To win 2 over usual, both O and D need: 🐢 Top 41 (O is #113) 🐺 Top 23 (D is #121) 🐻 Top 33 (O is #48) Who you got? #CFB #Terps #GoPack #SicEm
2
349
Dig into your team's D on cfbquant.com 👇 1️⃣ Charts → pick Pass defense → see where your team lands vs. the passing offenses it's faced 
2️⃣ Players → tap Edge or DL → sort by Pressures to see who's getting home 
3️⃣ Teams → tap your team → open the DL and Edge rooms to see the rushers and their numbers.
480
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Halloween Matchup 🚨🚨🚨
10
75
1,762
82,616
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Unranked South Carolina has MORE ranked wins this season than #1 Miami
174
442
6,712
204,771
Andrew Zock was one of our top Transfer Desirables coming from an elite record setting performance in FCS. Andrew if you see this, you’re significantly underpaid.
Our @PFN365 highest-graded FBS EDGE this season: Colin Simmons, Texas: 97.1 Princewill Umanmielen, LSU: 94.0 Xavier Esqillion, Georgia State: 91.4 Jordan Ross, LSU: 90.5 Mylachi Williams, Virginia Tech: 90.1 Andrew Zock, Toledo: 89.2 Tobi Osunsanmi, Indiana: 89.1 Garrick Ponder, Baylor: 87.6 Lamont Lester Jr., Colorado: 87.1 Wendell Gregory, Kansas State: 86.9 Takari Hickle, Oregon State: 86.7 Elisha Baldridge, FIU: 86.6 Darren Agu, New Mexico: 86.6 Blake Purchase, Ole Miss: 86.0 Tausili Akana, BYU: 85.9
7
4,413
Does this memo sound familiar? College athletics is the only industry where leadership can light $50M on fire with zero due diligence, drop a memo that reads like an Enron/Theranos shareholder letter before bankruptcy, and guilt-trip fans that if they don’t show up and support the student athletes that they should feel bad. This is textbook Accountability Theater and PR gaslighting: 1. The emotional blackmail: "Things aren't fine, so pack the stadium or you're abandoning the student-athletes." They privatize the terrible financial decisions, then socialize the bill onto working-class ticket buyers.  2. The access loop: Leak "inside scoops" to friendly local beat writers to preach patience & tell fans it'll all be okay, insulating the very executives who squandered the war chest in the first place. Zero fiduciary discipline with the money they already have, followed by copy-paste corporate memos demanding fans finance the next bad bet. All while they have hidden narratives with conference commissioners to play a specific role in the conference to maximize Disney Inc.’s share price. Cignetti-esque BoT, Athletic Directors, and Chancellors are a differentiator right now for smaller schools to disrupt the bluebloods.
3
4
32
2,984
Just to see your HC allow the OC to call an inside handoff or a reverse on 3rd and 9 the very next weekend after it hadn’t worked once in the 7 weeks prior to that or your HC allow the DC to keep sending the house each week when it’s repeatedly gets exposed by your conference opponents the 5wks prior…“he just needs more NIL wait til year 2!” yes we should unquestionably show up to support the program
6
356
Arkansas Quant retweeted
Modern HC resumes for 🐢 #Terps 🐺 #GoPack 🐻 #SicEm 1️⃣ Beats his roster's talent in year one and through low returning production. 2️⃣ OC and DC he’ll hire has too 3️⃣ 3-year deal max. (not likely, but goal is to prevent collecting a paycheck Y1 so that Y2 looks like progress even if it’s below program norms, then Y3 he performs to unlock an extension beyond original 5YR deal) 4️⃣ Built his roster via the portal 5️⃣ Rare to get new HC who has substantial increase in NIL waiting for him to use in portal, so emphasize 1 and 2 Eck? Danielson? Your pick? 👇 Note: pic is not intended to be reflective of the above 5. #CFB #Terps #GoPack #SicEm #NCState
6
2
25
15,996
How do you prevent a Mike Elko from happening? Exceptional decision making for years and immediately after $75M guaranteed extension, replaced an elite OC with a nepo promotion who wasn’t proven and then retains Marcel when he had all the money to make a better OC and QB hire. Same for Dan Lanning’s OC hire? Zero repercussions for either of them making lazy, clearly foreseeable, and avoidable bad choices.
1
530
How do you prevent a Dabo from happening where they publicly get offended when their investors (fans and local media) ask them to make better decisions, and they say they don’t care if the portal or older players is a competitive advantage because they don’t believe in it, after the investors give them a 5YR+ extension?
417
Coordinators who pass #2, beating their talent year after year 👀 • Briles, South Carolina O: 6 of 8 seasons • Klanderman, Baylor D: 6 of 7 • Nowinsky, New Mexico D: 6 of 8 (was on our DC wishlist this time last year) • Potter, Boise O: 3 of 3 • Roper, NC State O: 2 of 2 Check any coach or coordinator ⬇️ cfbquant.com/coaches
876