Iran is escalating threats against undersea internet infrastructure around the Strait of Hormuz, with an Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps spokesperson warning that critical global communications cables could become targets.
IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebi said undersea cables passing through the region carry a significant share of global internet and commercial data, warning the U.S. against renewed attacks on Iran.
The threat follows similar comments from Iranian security chief Mohsen Rezaei, who said another escalation in fighting could put undersea cables, data centers and AI infrastructure at risk.
Despite the rhetoric, prediction-market traders remain skeptical that Iran or its proxy groups will actually damage the cables.
Polymarket traders priced roughly a 4% chance of Iran, Hezbollah or the Houthis physically damaging undersea cable infrastructure by the end of October, with the probability rising to about 12% by year-end.
The concern extends beyond Hormuz. More than 90% of data capacity between Europe and Asia travels through subsea fiber-optic cables beneath the Red Sea, making the region a major bottleneck for global digital traffic.
Iran-backed Houthis also control strategically important coastal territory around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, giving Tehran another potential pressure point over infrastructure connecting Europe, Asia and the Middle East.
The latest threats broaden the Iran conflict beyond energy and shipping, raising the possibility that telecommunications, cloud services and AI infrastructure could become additional targets if fighting intensifies.