My interview with Richard Moglen and TraderLion!
I rambled quite a bit but hope you get something out of it! Now open to watch for everyone.
piped.video/Lot25-2fb-4?si=Rzft…
I don't think people are aware of how aggressive full kelly is.
When I "size up" I'm still trading at less than 1/3rd kelly. Those are times when I think my win rate is higher and my winner size is larger.
QCOM 1998-1999. From the lows of the 98 bear market to the 1999 highs +4184%.
SNDK 2025-2026 From the lows of the April 2025 correction to the 2026 highs +8340%.
From a survey of 1000+ traders 99% agree that reviewing trades would help them improve.
But only 22% Actually do it.
This is why we build the @Deepvue Journal. To make it quick and easy enough to build the habit
piped.video/u7QVVJ9zCEA?si=XpBH…
Well, SHIT.
QQQ just dropped -7.29% in exactly 7 trading days from a new all time high.
You should see the 1-week forward returns and 5 day draw downs after QQQ dropped at least this much in exactly 7 days from an ATH with VXN under 40.
The Put/Call ratio didn't spike yesterday, even though that sell off was one of the largest in months. I see complacency and not a lot of fear. Maybe that changes today.
The Put/Call ratio didn't spike yesterday, even though that sell off was one of the largest in months. I see complacency and not a lot of fear. Maybe that changes today.
Failed break outs/double tops everywhere.
Everytime I've had multiple months of struggle/churn and the market looks like this a correction/bear has followed. Happened at end of 2018, end of 2019, 2021, end of 2024.
The new all-time high on the S&P 500 last week came on a day in which new lows exceeded new highs.
That combination hasn't happened often in the past and when it has it usually signals an uptick in volatility and weakness in the index - not a sudden turn around in breadth.
If you’re a memory investor and scared about this selloff today, save this.
$MU and $SKHY are making more money than anybody on Wall Street has modeled. Cloud capex is soaring toward $3.5T, and memory’s slice of the pie is exploding from <10% to 60% by 2028. It’s a no brainer