Polling Canada
@CanadianPolling

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Joined October 2017
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Polling Canada | Curtis Fric | Substack

Substack for Canada's largest, independent polling aggregator. Click to read Polling Canada, by Curtis Fric, a Substack publication with thousands of subscribers.

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Hot, you mean?
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Here's that Nanos poll mapped out Seats on this: LPC: 269 - (244-289) CON: 55 - (44-72) NDP: 12 - (7-17) BQ: 6 - (1-11) GPC: 1 - (0-2)
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The polls were broadly in line with the results of the referendum, with Angus Reid and Mainstreet over-estimating independence support
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BC - "Which leader did the best in the debate?" Doerksen: 30% Eby: 22% Lowan: 17% All Did Equally Well: 9% No One: 9% Innovative / Oct 19, 2026
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(Models Available For Subscribers) British Columbia Provincial Polling: CON: 43% (-1) NDP: 38% (-7) GRN: 12% (+4) Others: 7% Innovative / October 19, 2026 / n=908 / Online (% Change With 2024 Election) Check out @338Canada here: 338canada.com/bc
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Toronto - Mayoral Polling: 🟣 Chow: 53% 🔵 Bradford: 46% Pollara / Oct 19, 2026
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Toronto - Mayoral Polling: 🟣 Chow: 50% 🔵 Bradford: 47% Nanos / Oct 18, 2026
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Liberals at 269 seats on this poll
Polling Canada
@CanadianPolling
16h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 51% (+7) CPC: 28% (-13) NDP: 12% (+6) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / October 16, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada for polling details: 338canada.com
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(Models Available For Subscribers) Federal Polling: LPC: 51% (+7) CPC: 28% (-13) NDP: 12% (+6) BQ: 6% (-) GPC: 2% (+1) PPC: 1% (-) Nanos / October 16, 2026 / n=1000 / MOE 3.1% / Telephone/Online (% Change w 2025 Federal Election) Visit @338canada for polling details: 338canada.com
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PQ minority on this one
Polling Canada
@CanadianPolling
16h
(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 30% (+2) PLQ: 26% (+2) PCQ: 22% (+1) QS: 12% (-) CAQ: 8% (-5) Leger / October 12, 2026 / n=877 / Online (% Change With 2026 Election) Check out QC details from @338Canada here: 338canada.com/quebec
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(Models Available For Subscribers) Quebec Provincial Polling: PQ: 30% (+2) PLQ: 26% (+2) PCQ: 22% (+1) QS: 12% (-) CAQ: 8% (-5) Leger / October 12, 2026 / n=877 / Online (% Change With 2026 Election) Check out QC details from @338Canada here: 338canada.com/quebec
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Anyways, as I was saying
Polling Canada
@CanadianPolling
19h
And with 85% of the vote in, Remain sits at 75.3%
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And with 85% of the vote in, Remain sits at 75.3%
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Federal - Laurier-Sainte-Marie Projection: 🔴LPC: 50% (-2) 🟠NDP: 25% (+3) ⚜️BQ: 13% (-1) - October 17, 2026 - (% Change With Previous Model Update) canadianpolling.com/p/record…

Record Liberal Numbers, Conservative Collapse and Alberta’s Independence Question

With the Liberals projected to win 249 seats and the Conservatives just 63, attention also turns to whether Alberta’s independence movement can gain momentum

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