In our view, the potential for a V-shape recovery in the #economy remains off the table, barring any #coronavirus disease treatment or vaccine breakthroughs in the near term. Does this mean the #stockmarket rally has been overly optimistic? bit.postedthis.top/mQP7zA7
Q2 saw strong + results across all major #stockmarket indices, with the U.S. leading the way. While stocks were some of the strongest gainers, positive results were realized across most major asset categories including #fixedincome and #alternatives: bit.postedthis.top/MDKAhJg
Q1 #Tactical outperformed #strategic as multiple tactical strategies remained in/moved to some portion of "risk off" #portfolio positioning, with the global tactical dataset posting a return of -12.5% compared to -21.4% for MSCI AC World NETR USD Index: bit.ly/ResearchCom2020Q1
In our view, the potential for V-shape recovery is off the table, barring any #COVID19 treatment breakthrough, likely leaving the economy bottoming out in Q2/Q3, slowly recovering throughout 2021. During Q1, we adjusted the MAPs portfolios to reflect this: bit.ly/MAPsCom2020Q1
#Equity markets have been under stress in Q1, and the private markets indices are no exception. Note that the more technology-oriented #ThomsonReuters Venture Capital Index has experienced better performance in this recent period. View March performance: bit.ly/TRPEITRVCIMAR2020
#COVID-19 continues to create uncertainty in global #markets & the timing couldn't have been worse for Russia & Saudi Arabia to find themselves in a price war over #oil. While some #economic impact is certain, it doesn't mean a #recession is imminent: bit.ly/MarketCom20200311
We believe we can expect a generally unsettled #market environment, even if prices ultimately move higher. For most of the year, several of the underlying #tactical models were in or shifted to more #defensive positioning: bit.ly/MarketCom2019Q3
The latest #yieldcurve inversion of the 2s/10s - a sign many financial pundits view as an ominous indication of a pending #recession, to potentially occur sometime in the next 6 to 22 months: bit.ly/MarketCom20190815