GMGNGB
Uptober didn't show up. Now what? 🤔🌕
BTC opened October near $83,550 and is closing around $77,100, about -7.7%. The month's high was about $87,100 and the low about $77,000. That's two red Octobers in a row (2025 & 2026), a first for Bitcoin.
So what does November usually do?
From 2014 through 2025, November's median return was about +7.6% and the average about +7.4%. It closed green in 7 of those 12 years.
Big Novembers: +58.88% in 2017, +42.41% in 2020, +37.36% in 2024. Ugly ones: -36.42% in 2018, -17.67% in 2019, -17.49% in 2025, -16.23% in 2022.
Look at the pattern: the big Novembers came in bull years, and the deep reds came in bear or cooling years. November usually doesn't change the trend. It speeds it up.
My plan for November 👇
🟢 Bull case: reclaim $84K–$87K (the October range) and we're back on track
🟡 Base case: chop between $74K and $84K, building a base
🔴 Bear case: lose the $77K October low and $70K comes into play
The 2026 bear year is following the old 4-year cycle so far. But cycles slip, and the best buying zones usually show up when everyone gives up 💎
Fear is loud right now. Patience is cheap.
What's your November target?
#BTC #November #Bitcoin