Yeah. It’s all lining up. And Jayden did address his throwing the ball away in his answer when asked about if he thought it was third down.
“No, I just gotta execute better in that situation, regardless of a flag or not. You know, fourth down, we gotta—don’t die with the ball and stuff like that. So just be better. I have to be better, you know, in that spot.”
Daniels also said he did see the flag get thrown. “I did. I did know. I didn’t know what. It could have been offsides. It could have been on us. You know, I’m not really into that type of stuff, you know?”
I will take the stance that Dan Quinn did in fact know it was 4th down entering the play. He would have 100% communicated with the OC well prior to the 4th down play on what distance they would go for it vs kick a field goal.
And the 4th down decision on 4th and 2 there is strongly supported by data. They win the game ~10% more often when choosing to go for it vs kick a FG.
(Win 11% of the time going for it, win 10% of the time kicking a field goal)
Would imagine there was temporary confusion at the conclusion of the play after seeing the flag and the throwaway. You want to be prepared on the headset if they rule it a presnap penalty, and if they did you’d kick a field goal on 4th and 7 instead.
Throwaway on 4th down by the QB is really the biggest issue here.