Feeling the AGI/ASI, few observations 1. Opus 5.5 really gives strong vibes of AGI (maybe not fully there, but we're very close, like 80%-90%). For example, few breakthoughs in training humanoids are needed. We need to move this intelligence into physical world. 2. I don't think Anthropic has discovered any magical formula. 3. Which means, SpaceXAI, Google, and others will soon follow. This prediction is based on the amount of compute they already have + additional compute being added all the time. 4. Never was more confident that Anthropic, SpaceXAI, Google, OpenAI, likely Meta, basically all big US AGI labs will have proper AGI in 2027. 5. And from there we'll move quickly to ASI territory (likely also in 2027). It looks like few GW of compute are enough for strong AGI, now imagine what we will able to do with 10-20GW of compute which are rapidly coming online. And then with 100GW-200GW... 2027 will be an utterly insane year.

Just wondering how this is going. Have they started looking for a room temperature superconductor yet, or are they busy with other things and planning to get to it later.

We're the bridge generation/s. Born in scarcity, about to live in abundance.

Many people say there’s no Singularity until we can cure baldness. We’re very close, or we may already be there.

We built civilization while hungry, exhausted, sick, and short on time. Now, imagine what we'll build when those limits are gone. 2030s

Imagine every brilliant mind on Earth freed from survival mode. Now imagine what they'll build together with ASI.

"DiscoveryRSI: Recursively Learning to Discover Valuable Hypotheses" The old world is fading. The new one is rising. Choose which one you belong to

👀 U.S. researchers built a first of its kind superconducting, brain inspired chip that can process 1 million fusion plasma samples per second, detecting abnormal behavior and predicting instabilities fast enough to potentially enable real time control of future fusion reactors. A 10x larger version is already being developed for testing in 2027.

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The concept of work will change.

I don’t agree. When abundance era arrives, I certainly won’t stop "working" and just live off UHI, doing nothing. But I also don’t find the idea of people living comfortably on UHI, without working, dystopian. Quite the opposite. UBI, or even UHI, will simply become the new baseline. Today, homeless people living on the street (current bottom) will get help from others or institutions, at least with basic necessities like food, so they won't starve. As human civilization gets richer and more advanced, that minimum will be rising. Instead of barely getting by, it could mean receiving $5 000, then $10,000 a month (which, thanks to AI and automation driven deflation, could eventually have the purchasing power of $1 million today) and that purchasing power will continue to grow over time. But the main point is that we can still build things, "work", and do something useful. Nobody will forbid you from doing any of that. People simply won’t need to worry about basic necessities anymore. Many people have built their entire identity around being a slave and have a problem with "you won't need to work" visions of the future. And some people don’t just accept the grind. They want to make it holy. Work to eat. Work to pay rent. Work to pay bills. Repeat until you die. That’s not living, but surviving. This is basically a polished Stone Age, and it’s on its way out. A new world is coming, and this era will become a memory nobody misses.

2030s is the decade humanity stops surviving and starts thriving. Cheap (basically free/from Sun) clean energy, cures for diseases we've feared for centuries, almost god like intelligence available to everyone. The groundwork is being laid right now.