🗳️ Reporting UK Election Results & Collating Polling Data | A Project By @mattftommo | In Partnership with @NavigatePol
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7
18
106
246,191
MRP Voting Intention
(FPTP | FPTP with Tactical Voting | PR):
LAB: 25% | 27% | 23%
CON: 19% | 19% | 18%
LDM: 11% | 9% | 10%
RFM: 22% | 22% | 23%
GRN: 9% | 8% | 11%
RES: 8% | 8% | 10%
Seat outcomes below:
Via @FindoutnowUK & @ElectCalculus, 22 Sep - 12 Oct.
29
55
357
63,023
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 28% (=)
CON: 23% (-1)
RFM: 22% (+1)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 8% (+1)
RES: 5% (=)
SNP: 3% (+1)
Via @Moreincommon_, 16-19 Oct.
Changes w/ 9-12 Oct.
42
98
620
39,253
🌹 | Perran Moon MP (Camborne & Redruth) has been suspended by the Labour party pending an investigation into claims he tried to close his company without repaying a taxpayer-funded Covid loan.
19
46
316
34,565
🔶 | Lowest Lib Dem vote share (7%) since February 2024.
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 24% (-1)
CON: 22% (+3)
GRN: 8% (-1)
LDM: 7% (-1)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @DeltapollUK, 16-19 Oct.
Changes w/ 11-14 Sep.
10
30
335
37,731
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 30% (+1)
RFM: 24% (-1)
CON: 22% (+3)
GRN: 8% (-1)
LDM: 7% (-1)
SNP: 3% (-1)
Via @DeltapollUK, 16-19 Oct.
Changes w/ 11-14 Sep.
82
171
1,103
201,062
Westminster Voting Intention:
LAB: 27% (+3)
CON: 23% (=)
RFM: 22% (+1)
LDM: 11% (-1)
GRN: 10% (-1)
RES: 3% (+1)
SNP: 2% (-1)
Via @YouGov, 18-19 Oct.
Changes w/ 11-12 Oct.
86
113
1,018
69,001
◼️ | Restore Britain are set to run full slates in Council By-Elections for the first time in the coming weeks:
1st September to Today: 6/35 (17%)
w/c 19th October: 1/5 (20%)
w/c 26th October: 4/6 (67%)
w/c 2nd November: 1/1 (100%)
w/c 9th November: 6/6 (100%)
60
181
1,389
169,558
➡️ | Amanda Bland MSP (Central Scotland and Lothians West) has resigned from Reform and will now sit as an Independent.
Labour are now the 2nd party in Holyrood (17 seats), with Reform falling to 3rd (16 Seats).
23
77
635
46,096
HOLD THE PHONE
just been informed of a fifth by-election in Hartlebury (Wychavon).
There are 4 council by-elections to wet your psephological whistles this week:
🌹 Saron (Carmarthenshire)
🌍 Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire)
🌹 Calverley & Farsley (Leeds)
🙋 Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven)
16
17
212
34,323
There are 4 council by-elections to wet your psephological whistles this week:
🌹 Saron (Carmarthenshire)
🌍 Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire)
🌹 Calverley & Farsley (Leeds)
🙋 Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven)
14
21
218
56,997
In this week's @NavigatePol weekly roundup, I looked into the most prolific names of our councillors...
📈 The most popular overall? Dave
➡️ The most Reform? Karl
🌹 The most Labour? Lynn
🌳 The most Tory? Roger
🔶 The most Lib Dem? Julian
🌍 The most Green? Natalie
MPs returned from conference recess this week, and @andyburnham wasted little time taking everyone back to 2016, reopening the Brexit argument with a podcast answer on Russian interference – just as preparations for November’s UK-EU summit get under way. The PM also welcomed Ukrainian President Zelenskyy to Downing Street, as Donald Trump appeared to lose interest in welcoming Ukraine anywhere. And for anyone who thought Parliament’s return meant the conference circuit was finally over, spare a thought for those colleagues still going at @theSNP in Aberdeen…
Head over to our website for your free Friday Weekly Roundup brought to you in partnership with @electionmapsuk
11
14
231
40,065
Aggregate Result of the 138 Council By-Elections Since the 2026 Local Elections:
RFM: 26 (+5) | 22% (+10)
LAB: 26 (-1) | 19% (-3)
CON: 25 (-4) | 18% (-2)
LDM: 24 (+5) | 14% (+1)
GRN: 16 (+3) | 14% (-2)
PLC: 10 (-1) | 3% (+1)
Ind: 5 (-6) | 4% (-3)
SNP: 4 (+1) | 3% (-2)
Loc: 2 (-2) | 1% (-1)
electionmaps.uk/council-by-e…
10
25
119
30,881
Shepshed (Leicestershire) Council By-Election Result:
🌹 LAB: 32.8% (+14.9)
➡️ RFM: 31.3% (-13.6)
🌳 CON: 23.1% (-2.4)
◼️ RES: 6.4% (New)
🔶 LDM: 3.2% (-3.4)
🌍 GRN: 3.2% (-1.9)
Labour GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2025.
673
580
4,737
1,109,891
Salisbury Milford (Wiltshire) Council By-Election Result:
🔶 LDM: 45.6% (+1.8)
🌳 CON: 36.4% (+12.4)
➡️ RFM: 11.4% (-6.7)
🌹 LAB: 6.6% (-2.1)
No GRN (-5.4) as previous.
Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Changes w/ 2025.
42
77
580
95,742
Bradninch (Mid Devon) Council By-Election Result:
🔶 LDM: 72.6% (-9.6)
➡️ RFM: 13.9% (New)
🌳 CON: 5.6% (-0.6)
🌹 LAB: 4.7% (-6.9)
🌍 GRN: 3.2% (New)
Liberal Democrat HOLD.
Change w/ 2023.
41
69
540
65,812
Higher Kinnerton (Flintshire) Council By-Election Result:
🏘️ FPV: 91.3%
🌳 CON: 3.4%
➡️ RFM: 3.4%
🏰 HER: 1.6%
🙋 Ind: 0.3%
Flintshire People's Voice GAIN from Independent (elected unopposed in 2022).
45
31
666
205,746
Holyrood Voting Intention:
Constituency:
SNP: 36% (-2)
LAB: 21% (+2)
RFM: 15% (-1)
CON: 12% (=)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 3% (=)
Regional:
SNP: 30% (+3)
LAB: 20% (+4)
RFM: 17% (=)
CON: 13% (-1)
LDM: 10% (+1)
GRN: 7% (-7)
Via @Moreincommon_, 9-13 Oct.
Changes w/ 2026 Election.
14
27
168
55,563
Scottish Westminster Voting Intention:
SNP: 30% (-1)
LAB: 24% (+7)
RFM: 16% (-5)
CON: 13% (+2)
LDM: 8% (-3)
RES: 5% (New)
GRN: 3% (-3)
Via @Moreincommon_, 9-13 Oct.
Changes w/ 21 Aug - 1 Sep 2025.
66
163
1,254
126,901