Economist | Policy Officer Innovation Policy @Stifterverband interested in innovation for social good | 🇩🇪→🇩🇰→🇳🇱 →🇩🇪→ 🇦🇹→🇩🇪| 🇪🇺 | she/her

Berlin
Progress and Metascience people in Berlin! I am launching a new reading group, focused on metascience and identifying levers to increase European / German scientific productivity. Join me :) fraukestehr.eu/metascience.h…
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
A signature feature of academic AI writing is (currently) that it is has bad judgment on what is important and what is not important, even refine.ink. This is one of the most damaging AI "tells", b/c it reflects bad judgment on the part of the author as well. 1/
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
"How do single-celled algae swim toward light sources" is the kind of project that gets DOGE'd—how does this help Americans? 20 years later, the underlying protein is a central tool in human neuroscience. We're a rich country, we should be funding way more basic science.
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
I think we mostly agree actually. I'm not at all against europe pushing for frontier. Im just against the government building their own frontier lab to do so. I think the BFL and Mistral results show that the companies and teams that europe needs already exist. And the reason why their not yet at openai/anthropic level is because they have less capital and compute. So europe should help them get capital (eg european venture and growth funding), revenue (procurement and incentives to buy European where the models are good enough), and compute (financing, permitting). Id still pursue frontier access in parallel though. Buy European shouldn't mean pushing all of industry onto weaker models. Eg in cyber we should 100% ensure we have access to the global frontier.
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
It's important to learn math not because you may need to do long division as an adult, but because it promotes rigorous thinking. IMO, history and causal inference are among the most important subjects a young person can study — math being central to the second. A significant problem in public discourse right now is people's inability to critically evaluate causal claims (e.g., vaccines cause autism, deporting immigrants will solve the housing crisis, etc.). The less able people are to critically evaluate causal claims, the worse our democracy functions because people can be preyed upon for votes. You should promote anything that improves rigorous thinking, even if it doesn't have market value. In fact, we should stop thinking of education only in the context of what improves the economy. IMO, this is distinct from knowing your own address (which Huang can avoid because he's wealthy). Memorizing facts like this may or may not be important, but it's distinct from rigorous thinking.
HUANG: “.. Try getting a kid to do long division right now. Multiplication tables are starting to be forgotten. Doing square roots? My goodness. .. .. Does it matter? .. I don’t think it does.” @ezraklein @JensenHuang
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Progress and Metascience people in Berlin! I am launching a new reading group, focused on metascience and identifying levers to increase European / German scientific productivity. Join me :) fraukestehr.eu/metascience.h…
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We have just finished the inaugural meeting of the Rhine Group. We discussed the central elements of Europe's competitiveness agenda, including basic science, AI/compute and cybersecurity, defense, energy, entrepreneurship/start-ups. I will be updating you on any progress we may have. Some of the projects we will pursue include: - We'll help Europe catch up on compute (Mario Draghi diagnosed the problem and some solutions in a recent FT piece) - We’ll help European universities and scientific institutions and explore a Rhine Chair program with European universities. - We’ll work on some key EU policy challenges, including facilitating the flow of capital to entrepreneurs. - We will set up a grants program that I will explain and announce here.
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
Two kinds of drift I see when students rely heavily on agents in research (even when overall use is reasonable): 1. Project direction drifts & more effort is needed to bring things back to initial goals. Easy to spend wks talking thru nuances of tangential aspects of the work. 1/
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
These are my notes going into the first meeting of my dept's AI working group (in 30 min). We need to come up with advice for the profs in the dept. Anything I missed?
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
The amount of Germany hate-posting on the back of @patrickc‘s tweet is astonishing. Seems everyone has seen the light, aka read Ray Dalio‘s Changing World Order, and now has hot takes on the country’s decline being an inevitability, feeling superior for being able to „speak the hard truth“ and announcing to the world that the only thing left to do is getting the hell out of this country, which will most certainly fall into the hands of the far right. I agree things need to to change, urgently and drastically. I agree we must reinvigorate the economy and boost entrepreneurship. I agree that our labour laws, energy costs, bureaucracy and low investment into future technology is unbefitting of the reality we live in today and of a country like Germany. But to speak of all the ills in Germany like it was some doomed hell hole without even for a second realising or acknowledging that the country still has SO MUCH to offer makes me disappointed and angry. This especially goes out to the 30/40 year olds who got to benefit from what was built up in the past and could now make a massive contribution to changing things for the better but who instead seem to just blame politicians and bureaucracy for everything. I join your harsh criticism - I reject your defeatism entirely.
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
It's never been easier to figure out the best way to fund a specific R&D project! atlasofinnovation.org Government will put this to good use, but so should the "third wave" of philanthropy.
At @IFP, we’ve spent the past 3 years thinking about all the different ways the US government & philanthropy fund R&D. Until now, R&D funders haven’t had a systematic way to match the innovation problem to the right funding tool. We built THE ATLAS OF INNOVATION to fill that gap. atlasofinnovation.org Alongside @UChi_MSA, we’ve boiled down thousands of hours of research into a handful of questions covering how much the R&D funder knows about: - the problem they want to solve - the solution it should have - the team that should build the solution Why the Atlas matters: The US government spends close to $200 billion every year on R&D. And after the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs, there will be hundreds of billions of dollars in new philanthropic giving. Choosing the correct funding approach to the social problems they’re trying to solve will mean the difference between success and failure. For example, NSF research grants have helped seed breakthroughs from MRI machines to search engines, but grants aren’t built to deliver the kind of industrial speed and scale that a project like Operation Warp Speed required. Picking the wrong funding approach can leave programs behind schedule, over budget, or without anything to show for all the money they spent. How we built the Atlas: 1. We began by creating a matrix of dozens of considerations that a thoughtful policymaker or funder would ideally weigh before deciding how to fund a project. 2. We looked at every major funding approach, from grants to R&D tax credits to advance market commitments, analyzing when they work well and when they fail to meet the mission. 3. We spent months deep in the weeds of contract theory and incentive design, looking at historical examples and the state-of-the-art research in innovation economics. 4. We then worked to turn that research into a tool that time-strapped policymakers and philanthropic funders could rely on at the start of an innovation funding cycle. 5. Three years later, we are launching just that: a new (and visually stunning) website to help funders decide how to best incentivize innovation. And all they have to know… is what they currently know about their innovation goal! The Atlas takes care of the rest. How to navigate the Atlas: Answer questions about your goal to find the funding approach aligned with the information you have. Each funding mechanism has its purpose for particular technologies and specific moments in development. There shouldn’t be an ARPA for every field, just like we don’t need a prize or AMC for every innovation. The Atlas helps you navigate those tradeoffs.
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I decided to start writing more on substack! Curious to hear what you think :) open.substack.com/pub/frauke…
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
This is a major issue, I wish that it was debated more.
Replying to @LucaFornaro3
I think this is a really important constraint. We won't be able to commit to a single European innovation hub, so our model *must* be different from the American one & we should think about how to get the knowledge spillovers of physical proximity in multi-innovation-hub Europe.
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Why is it so hard to build transport infrastructure in Germany? Next Tuesday, 19.05., I’ll be giving a talk on that question at a Stripe / Works in Progress event. If you are in Berlin and interested in Progress Studies, make sure to come!
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
How to write a paper: 1. Think of the upside of the idea if true. Discard if not high 2. Try as quickly as possible to falsify the idea 3. If it survives, move quickly to the MVP 4. Present that paper, and iteratively respond to comments 5. Submit and respond to referees
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
Here at [famous scientist’s name].ai, we’re developing tools to accelerate science. Unlike academia, which has stifled the production of high quality scientific work by demanding it be correct, here at [fsn].ai, we know that you can just do (wrong) things.
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This was a great episode! 2 observations that should inform the debate: - we observe a similar trend of less beauty on average in many other domains - the problem seems particularly strong with housing, e.g. modern churches seem mostly fine! fraukestehr.substack.com/p/o…
Why do new buildings seem, on average, uglier than old buildings? We discuss some options: - Survivorship bias: only the beautiful old buildings have survived (we reject this option); - Cycles of taste: everyone always finds new buildings uglier (we mostly reject this too); - Ornament became too expensive because of rising labour costs (we reject this); - Ornament became too cheap because of mechanisation and then became low status (we reject this); - Some sort of Protestant or Puritan anti-beauty inheritance (we are doubtful); - Some kind of elite status game, perhaps a response to democratisation or elite overproduction (we think there is promise here, but serious work is needed on the details). I discuss this and more with @Aria_Babu and @bswud. Apple podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcas… Spotify: open.spotify.com/episode/2pI… Youtube: piped.video/watch?v=qvueKtEk…
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
Replying to @haugejostein
same argument
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Frauke Stehr retweeted
Inject it into my veins.
Government must deliver for working people—and every dollar in our budget should work as hard as they do. That’s why I directed every agency to cut waste and help close our budget gap. Here’s some of what we found.
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