4:30 PM PT 10/20/26
IPEV Update for NV:
Clark-
Reps 🔴 +4,560 (41.2%)
Dems 🔵 +4,059 (36.6%)
Other 🟡 +2,444 (22.2%)
Entire State-
Reps 🔴 +7,535 (45.0%)
Dems 🔵 +5,693 (34.0%)
Other 🟡 +3,508 (21.0%)
This is a very unexpected and important development in Nevada on this update. At this time yesterday, Democrats had begun erasing a 200 vote lead from the GOP and had whittled it down to nothing by this same time point.
Today, we have seen the opposite. A 400 vote lead has now stretched to 500 during this exact same time period. Are the Dems already exhausting their Clark voters? I had the GOP narrowly winning today by less than 100 votes, but the Democrat falloff has been more than I anticipated. Can the GOP win Clark by over 250 today? 350? Let's see where this ends up!
3:00 PM PT 10/20/26
IPEV Update for NV:
Clark-
Reps 🔴 +3,726 (41.3%)
Dems 🔵 +3,296 (36.5%)
Other 🟡 +1,991 (22.2%)
Washoe-
Reps 🔴 +1,137 (42.3%)
Dems 🔵 +1,015 (37.7%)
Other 🟡 +539 (20.0%)
Entire State-
Reps 🔴 +6,244 (45.3%)
Dems 🔵 +4,661 (33.8%)
Other 🟡 +2,877 (20.9%)
The GOP is having themselves a day in NV today. They have stretched their lead in Clark to 430 and will almost certainly win clark today for the first time in the IPEV period. They are also getting amazing margins in the rurals and have picked it up in Washoe over the last couple of hours. Did Dems frontload their vote? 👀 👀 👀