₿ Hard money. High beta. I hunt asymmetric opportunities where conviction meets chaos. Long $BTC + the machines building tomorrow. No permission. No apologies.

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There is something you MUST understand about this market. Retail LOVES making money. But Wall Street? Wall Street LOVES buying what retail sells. You own: $BTC $TSLA $SPCX $NVDA $MRVL $MSTR $MU …and the second the price starts dumping, suddenly you’re convinced: “Maybe I was wrong.” “Maybe this is going lower.” “Maybe I should just sell and buy back later.” That is EXACTLY where people get wrecked. Every seller has a buyer. When you panic-sell your Bitcoin, someone is taking the other side. When you dump your $TSLA because the chart looks ugly, someone is accumulating. When you puke your $MSTR because Bitcoin is down 15%, somebody with deeper pockets is perfectly happy taking your shares. And these people have something you don't: MASSIVE CAPITAL. MASSIVE LIQUIDITY. MASSIVE LEVERAGE. Citadel literally demonstrated the game last month. After AI hedge fund Situational Awareness got crushed and was forced to liquidate its public-equity portfolio, Citadel stepped in and bought positions at discounts that reportedly exceeded 10%. Then Citadel turned around and executed nearly 100 block trades worth more than $4 BILLION. Think about that. Forced seller → deep-pocketed buyer. That is how markets work. So stop thinking the red number on your screen is telling you the future. PRICE IS NOT THE BUSINESS. $TSLA's price isn't Tesla's execution. $NVDA's price isn't Nvidia's execution. $MRVL's price isn't Marvell's execution. $MSTR's price isn't Bitcoin's network. And Bitcoin's price isn't Bitcoin's long-term thesis. The market can make you feel like the world is ending on Monday… …and make you feel like a genius on Friday. That's noise. Your job is to know what you own. Keep some dry powder. Expect volatility. Buy the dips when the thesis hasn't changed. And if you don't have cash? SIT. ON. YOUR. FUCKING. HANDS. Do NOT let a 20% drawdown convince you that a company you've researched for months suddenly became worthless. Do NOT let Wall Street's volatility transfer your shares from your account into someone else's. You don't need to predict every fucking move. You need to survive the volatility long enough for the thesis to play out. Would you really bet that Tesla's execution, AI, robotics and energy business will be worth LESS a year from now simply because the stock had a nasty month? Would you bet against the continued adoption and scarcity of Bitcoin because the price got crushed? Would you abandon great companies because some algorithm decided to sell billions of dollars of stock? I wouldn't. Believe in the execution. Believe in the assets. Respect the volatility. Keep liquidity. And most importantly: DON'T LET WALL STREET'S SHORT-TERM PRICE ACTION MAKE YOUR LONG-TERM DECISIONS FOR YOU. They have the capital. They have the leverage. They have the machines. You have something they can't manufacture: PATIENCE. Use it.
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Nasdaq is in correction, everything is red, the timeline is screaming like it's the end of the world.. it's not.. it's a Thursday.. your greatest ally in this shit show is not a green candle.. it's TIME.. time in the market beats timing the market, every single time, because the guys who panic sell the bottom are financing the entries of the guys who just wait.. Do not go gentle into that red night rage, rage against the dying of the light the fear clowns want your coins in fright so hold your ground and hold on tight wise men know the dark is part of the ride grave men have seen this movie, they don't hide the bottom prints when hope has died and time, just time, turns back the tide one year from now you won't remember this day.. you don't remember the DeepSeek freakout, you don't remember Liberation Day, and those felt like the end too.. the charts healed, the world kept spinning, and the sellers became the story other people tell.. stay strong, don't get over leveraged, that's the only way they can actually take you out.. eat something, sleep, stay healthy.. we need you alive for the good part
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Phil Sirois retweeted
146 days since SpaceX IPO $SPCX is now 10 dollars and 98 cents (~8.1%) below IPO price. Closed $124.02, down 8.76%. Opened $131.76, high $131.87, tagged $120.40, closed $3.62 off the low Why it dipped: everything-red day. Mag7 lost about $1.1T. Nasdaq 100 about -6.4%. Tesla -10.7%. Nothing about Starship, Starlink, Grok or compute changed. Only the price did. Same day China Renaissance initiated coverage at Buy with a $194.20 target. The FAA proposed Starship-friendly launch rules. SpaceX confirmed a 6 GW Arizona supercompute campus. And the VP of Launch put Flight 15 on the calendar for Friday Nov 13. Priced like none of it happened. ~156.7M shares traded, 3rd busiest day of the last 30. About $162B of market cap gone from Wednesday. SpaceX is now ~$1.68T. Near term catalysts: 1. Jobs report tomorrow (Fri Nov 6) at 8:30am ET. Elon fireside chat with Ron Baron the same day 2. Starship Flight 15 targeting Friday Nov 13, in 8 days. First try at catching both booster and ship. Confirmed by SpaceX's VP of Launch, not a rumor 3. China Renaissance Buy initiation today, PT $194.20. Street tally now 37 targets, avg $255.74. From here that's about +106%, my math. Every $1,000 becomes about $2,060 if the average is right 4. FAA proposed three launch/reentry rule changes that make Starship flights easier, plus a licensing overhaul aimed at 1,000 launches a year by 2030 5. Arizona 6 GW campus hearing Dec 9, in 34 days. Almost half the 13 GW end-2027 guide on a map 6. Anthropic IPO still on the calendar. Its S-1 shows up to $120.5B of SpaceX compute 7. Remaining ~0.8B shares unlock after Dec 8, in 33 days 8. Tesla + SpaceX merger. Barclays still has an announcement window before the Tesla AGM (Dec 3, in 28 days) 9. $100B ARR goal on December revenue, plus ~3 GW of compute by year end Two weeks ago it was a blowout quarter. A week ago it was the unlock. Today it is the selloff. Same factories the whole time. While things look ugly, I think sentiment can change towards being very bullish much sooner than you think. Just keep on DCA SpaceX, its super cheap. $SPCX $TSLA
145 days since SpaceX IPO $SPCX is now 92 cents (~0.7%) above IPO price. Closed $135.92, down 3.81%. $129.75 premarket, $133.14 at the open, $140.50 by 10:15am ET, then sold all day. Back under $135 at 3:45pm and back above it in the last 15 minutes Why it dipped: election night. Nasdaq 100 futures were down about 2.4% overnight on fears that ground data centers get frozen by permits. By the close the market was green, Nasdaq +1.44%, and it bought the companies that already run compute. Microsoft +6.68%, Amazon +6.12%, Apple +5.31%. SpaceX -3.81%, Tesla -3.34%. Same day SpaceX picked Qualcomm to build Starlink Mobile's nationwide 5G network, tens of thousands of US cell sites. And Canada's government Starlink contract went from C$2.26M to C$28.95M. Priced like none of it happened. ~134M shares traded, busiest day since the 22 Oct unlock. About $73B of market cap gone. SpaceX is now ~$1.85T. Near term catalysts: 1. Elon fireside chat with Ron Baron in 2 days (Nov 6), jobs report the same day 2. Anthropic IPO, roadshow reportedly from Nov 9, first trade as soon as Nov 16. Its S-1 shows up to $120.5B of SpaceX compute 3. Starship Flight 15 no earlier than Nov 12, in 8 days. First try at catching both booster and ship 4. Qualcomm 5G build for Starlink Mobile, rollout starts 2027 5. Talks with EchoStar to buy Boost Mobile or use its network, 7.4M wireless subscribers 6. A new $1.11B/month hosting deal starts Dec 1, in 27 days 7. Tesla + SpaceX merger. Barclays says an announcement could come before the Tesla AGM (Dec 3, in 29 days) 8. Remaining ~0.8B shares unlock after Dec 8, in 34 days 9. $100B ARR goal on December revenue, plus 2.5-3 GW of compute by year end 10. Goldman and Apollo now selling the $40B GPU financing to investors, closing before year end Overnight it traded $5.25 under the IPO price. Tonight It closed above it. I still think $200 before December is on the table. From here that's +47%, so it got harder today but I am Not changing my mind. SpaceX will rerate itself one day out of nothing and is a big fat screaming buy. $SPCX $TSLA
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Today was the worst market decline since the last one you don’t remember or care about anymore.
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Development and construction advancing across our geographically diversified portfolio. This is what execution at scale looks like.
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New multi-year contracts. Disciplined capital allocation. Flexibility to set our own pace of growth. Value at every layer of the platform. Last quarter, AI Cloud revenue nearly tripled to $200 million. Other highlights from our Q1 FY27 results: - Total quarterly revenue increased 66% sequentially to $228 million  - AI Cloud quarterly revenue increased 182% sequentially to $200 million  - AI Cloud segment gross margin of 86%, in line with prior quarter  - Revenue backlog increased 22% sequentially to $20.3 billion; approximately two-thirds with investment-grade counterparties  - More than $4 billion ARR target is fully contracted and fully funded  - Expanded contract with Leading Frontier AI Lab post-quarter end Listen to our conference call at 5:00 p.m. ET today: edge.media-server.com/mmc/p/… Read more: iren.gcs-web.com/static-file…
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Today was a 4σ day for equities. The S&P 500 fell 4.4% and the Nasdaq fell 5.5%, a decline seen roughly once every 19 months. Bitcoin fell about 5%. $STRC closed at $99.56, just 44 cents below par.
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$IREN reports TONIGHT and look at this setup the stock just closed $18.03, down 17% TODAY, down 56% in a month, from a $76.87 high.. they are pricing this company like the Microsoft deal is already dead.. it's NOT dead.. $9.7 BILLION over 5 years, 20% paid UPFRONT, Horizon 1 accepted in August and printing revenue for the first time THIS quarter, Horizons 2 to 4 due in December, and management's target is $4 BILLION of contracted ARR running by year end.. and the analysts?? even after the cuts this week, Bernstein is at $55 with a BUY, B. Riley at $64 with a BUY, the average target is over $70.. that's 3 to 4 TIMES the price on the screen.. they sold the delay headlines for two days straight.. tonight we find out if the business is as dead as the chart says.. I don't think it is.. the fear is maxed, the expectations are in the grave, and the contract is real.. Not financial advice.
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🔥 $APP — THE LONE HERO Price: $352.69 (+29.79%) 🚀 News: Monster Q3 beat (rev $2.18B +55%, EPS $4.30) + strong Q4 guide + big buyback expansion. AI ads working. Analysts raising PTs to $450-475. Sentiment: Extremely bullish. PT: $450-475. Bull: AI-driven ad platform compounding hard. Bear: Valuation after the pop. Growth take: Proof that real AI monetization still gets rewarded.
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🟠 $DFDV Price: $3.17 (-15.01%) News: Smaller solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC / solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 treasury crushed. Sentiment: Risk-off. PT: $10.80 Growth take: Speculative treasury play.
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🟠 $ASST Price: $20.50 (-10.56%) News: Strive solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC treasury hit with the sector. Sentiment: Bearish. Bull: solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC accumulation + preferred structure. Bear: Dilution + solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC beta. Growth take: High-octane solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC proxy.
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🟠 $MSTR Price: $128.29 (-10.00%) News: solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC dump + tech risk-off. Options mixed (some call buying). Sentiment: Extremely bearish retail. PT: ~$180-238. Bull: Ultimate solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC leverage. Bear: Dilution + solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC volatility. Growth take: Still the purest corporate solana:BTCk1ZAAGrbSq7e4L7mg8oiRKRqafkUbeLQpXeGq9BTC vehicle.
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💰 Preferreds (holding better) $STRC : $99.45 (-0.50%) — near par, ~12% yield. $SATA : $96.19 (-1.79%) — high yield preferred. $CHAD : $9.95 (-0.44%) — $DFDV preferred.
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⛏️ $CIFR Price: $5.50 (-15.38%) News: Same miner/AI infrastructure dump. Sentiment: Bearish. PT: High upside consensus. Bull: AI data-center pivot + power assets. Bear: Execution + $BTC beta. Growth take: Levered AI infrastructure bet.
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⛏️ $IREN Price: $18.59 (-14.37%) News: BTC + AI HPC miners slammed hard. Sentiment: Very bearish. PT: ~$65-78. Bull: Power + AI cloud pivot. Bear: BTC correlation + capital needs. Growth take: Massive upside if AI hosting scales.
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🌱 $SLNH Price: $0.46 (-16.82%) News: Small-cap crypto/AI HPC name crushed with the sector. Sentiment: Risk-off. PT: Limited coverage (~$3). Bull: Renewable-powered data centers for AI/BTC. Bear: Micro-cap volatility + dilution. Growth take: High-risk/high-reward green compute play.
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🐼 $BIDU Price: $78.47 (-2.44%) News: Relatively resilient vs pure AI/US names. Sentiment: Neutral-to-cautious. PT: ~$135-145. Bull: AI cloud + robotaxi optionality. Bear: China regulatory + ad pressure. Growth take: Quiet compounder while others bleed.
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⚡ $ALAB Price: $179.48 (-19.61%) News: Brutal follow-through selloff even after strong Q3. Street still loves it (BMO initiated Outperform $375). Sentiment: Extreme fear. PT: ~$320-375. Bull: AI networking pure-play with accelerating growth. Bear: High multiple + macro risk-off. Growth take: One of the highest-conviction long-term AI connectivity names.
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💎 $MRVL Price: $134.13 (-16.06%) News: Same AI/semi rotation. Recent Lumentum deal narrative faded under market pressure. Sentiment: Risk-off. PT: ~$300. Bull: AI optical/electrical connectivity leadership. Bear: Integration risk + valuation reset. Growth take: Still a core AI infrastructure compounder.
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🔌 $CRDO Price: $112.31 (-17.72%) News: AI connectivity names slammed in the broader semi flush (Oracle collaboration news ignored). Sentiment: Extremely bearish short-term. PT: ~$284 (strong buy consensus). Bull: High-speed AI networking leader with huge growth. Bear: Customer concentration + multiple compression. Growth take: One of the purest AI connectivity bets — violent pullbacks are normal.
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🚀 $SPCX Price: $122.87 (-9.60%) News: Same Musk complex pressure + capital-intensity fears despite strong Q3 AI/Starlink numbers and Qualcomm deal. Volume heavy. Sentiment: Cautious/bearish today. PT: ~$257 avg. Bull: Starlink + launch + AI compute ramp is massive. Bear: Cash burn, dilution risk, political/regulatory headwinds. Growth take: Still the purest space + connectivity + AI infrastructure play.
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