Ohio Fantastic 50@OhioF50

Ohio high school football rankings and predictions by College of Wooster math & data science professor @DrewPasteur

 Wooster, Ohio
fantastic50.net
Joined September 2011
345 Photos and videos
Following up on a conversation with a member of the media, I am sharing a bit more info about how my predictive team rankings work.馃У
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Streak watch, week 11: Columbus West (12 wins, #3) vs Trenton Edgewood
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Regional title favorites (in order) and state title picks: R1: St Ed, A'town, Ignatius R2: Whitmer, Spr'field, P'burg R3: Gahanna, UA, Pick North R4: Moeller, Princeton, Lakota West D1 final: St Edward over Moeller
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R21: South Range, Kirtland, Hillsdale R22: Liberty Ctr, Lima CC, C'bus Grove R23: Garaway, W. Jeff., Monroe Cent. R24: St Henry, Versailles, Deer Park D6 final: Liberty Center over South Range
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R25: McDonald, Mogadore, Spr'field R26: Leipsic, H-L, McComb R27: Danville, Symmes Valley, Toronto R28: Marion Local, New Bremen, Minster D7 final: Marion Local over Danville
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Double-digit seeds that are favored fantastic50.net/picks11.html Big schools R1 #10 Fairmont (at Grove City) R1 #11 Toledo St John (at Westland) R5 #10 Hoban (at VASJ) R8 #10 La Salle (at Talawanda) R8 #11 Trenton Edgewood (at C'bus West)
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Mid-sized schools R9 #10 Hawken (at Howland) R12 #10 Goshen (at Hughes) R13 #11 Poland (at Woodridge) R14 #12 Van Wert (at Otsego) R15 #11 Marion-Franklin (at East Liverpool) R18 #10 Coldwater (at Genoa) R18 #11 Port Clinton (at Margaretta) R19 #10 Piketon (at Meigs)
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Small schools R22 #11 Delta (at Seneca East) R22 #12 Patrick Henry (at W. Reserve) R24 #10 Covington (at Huntington) R24 #12 Versailles (at Portsmouth West) R27 #10 Lucas (at Beaver Eastern) R28 #12 Fort Recovery (at Waynesfield-Goshen)
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Before the playoffs kick off, let's take a look at the most improved teams across the state. 馃У
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Most improved mid-sized school teams Ottawa-Glandorf (10-0, R14 #1) 9 wins over prior 4 seasons North College Hill (9-0, R16 #4) outscored opponents 503-3 Zanesville (5-5, R11 out) ended 26-game losing streak Claymont (9-1, R15 #5) 1 winning season in prior 8 years
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Most improved small-school teams Shadyside (8-2, R27 #5) 11 wins over prior 4 seasons Danville (10-0, R27 #2) outscored opponents 474-58 Chippewa (6-4, R21 out) 5 wins over prior 4 seasons Madison-Plains (8-1, R24 #8) most wins in 50+ years, maybe ever
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OHSAA has a few long road trips in the early rounds, but nothing like these from Nebraska. However, I have a college friend who taught in Barrow, AK for a while, and "road trips" there require an airplane.
Nebraska HS Football
@NEBHSFB
Oct 24
Longest Bus Trips (One-Way) for the NSAA State Football Playoffs First Round #nebpreps
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Ohio Fantastic 50 retweeted
H. Tyler Seggerman@TylerSeggerman
Oct 26
Having covered Coldwater/Marion Local, I know how big 50-50 raffles at HS football games can get鈥hat took place at the Archbold/Liberty Center game adds another layer! The winner gave his money back, so $10,000 went to Pediatric ICU unit at Nationwide Children鈥檚 Hospital. Wow.
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Projected first-round performance, by seed: #5: 22-6, avg. +17 pts. (vs #12) #6: 20-8, +14 pts. (vs #11) #7: 19-9, +11 pts. (vs #10) #8: 16-12, +4 pts. (vs #9) Last year: #5: 25-3, +21 pts. #6: 19-9, +14 pts. #7: 21-7, +8 pts. #8: 21-7, +9 pts.
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Heaviest regional title favorites R27 Danville 96% R28 Marion Local 94% R19 Ironton 94% R22 Liberty Center 88% R8 Anderson 86% R24 St Henry 83% R16 London 82% R9 Glenville 81% R21 South Range 76%
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I am having technical issues this evening with my website hosting provider, so I am posting some key playoff-related content here.
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