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New Jersey’s 2nd congressional district (Trump +13)
🔴 Jeff Van Drew: 50%
🔵 Zach Mullock: 40%
Impact Research (🔵Dem Poll) | 10/7-10/10
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OSZ retweeted
MS NOW’s Katy Tur Says She’s “More Skeptical” of Texas Midterm Polling After Her Trip to Texas
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Florida In Person Early Voting non cumulative Day 1 to Day 4
Day 1: 🔴 Republicans +0.4
Day 2: 🔴 Republicans +4.2
Day 3: 🔴 Republicans +8.3
Day 4: 🔴 Republicans +12.2
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2026 Maine Senate Poll
🔴 Susan Collins: 49%
🔵 Troy Jackson: 49%
Fox News (Beacon/Shaw) | 10/16-10/20
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OSZ retweeted
Marco Rubio gives NFL commissioner assurances that game in France will be fine per Fox
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2028 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
🔴 JD Vance: 38%
🔴 Marco Rubio: 38%
St Anselm poll | 10/19-10/20
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OSZ retweeted
Current Senate Seat Projections: Polls vs. Kalshi
Polls:
🔵 Democrats: 54
🔴 Republicans: 46
Kalshi:
🔵 Democrats: 52 (-2)
🔴 Republicans: 48 (+2)
For too long, polls, pundits, and experts have told us what America thinks.
Prediction markets change that, putting power back in the hands of the people.
No gatekeepers. No handpicked voices.
Just millions of people putting conviction behind their beliefs.
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OSZ retweeted
Troy Jackson and AOC hold town-hall event in Maine.
Maine might elect its first DSA senator
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Nevada In Person Early Voting non cumulative Day 1 to Day 6
Day 1: 🔴 Republicans +1.4
*Day 2: 🔵 Democrats +9.7
Day 3: 🔴 Republicans +7.2
Day 4: 🔴 Republicans +8.2
Day 5: 🔴 Republicans +9.3
Day 6: 🔴 Republicans +13.5 (so far)
*Most counties weren’t open in day 2
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Day 4 Florida In Person Early Vote update
🔴 Republican: 61,357 (48.5%)
🔵 Democrat: 40,926 (32.3%)
🟡 Independents: 20,984 (16.6%)
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OSZ retweeted
AOC beats JD Vance in the latest 2028 presidential election poll
2028 presidential election (UMass poll)
🔵 AOC: 45%
🔴 JD Vance: 42%
AOC could be the most electable Democrat in 2028
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OSZ retweeted
AOC says: America does not belong to any one race, religion, or creed
“It is big enough for all of us who believe in democracy and in our Constitution”
AOC is setting her vision for a possible 2028 run
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Persian Gulf oil exports have surpassed prewar levels Per WSJ
This comes as an improvised shipping system under U.S. protection is helping tankers move oil through one of Iran’s fiercest waves of attacks in the Strait of Hormuz
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Florida In Person Early Voting non cumulative Day 1 to Day 4
Day 1: 🔴 Republicans +0.4
Day 2: 🔴 Republicans +4.2
Day 3: 🔴 Republicans +8.3
Day 4: 🔴 Republicans +16.0 (so far)
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Day 4 Florida In Person Early Vote update
🔴 Republican: 39,194 (48.3%)
🔵 Democrat: 26,338 (32.5%)
🟡 Independents: 13,574 (16.7%)
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Steve Kornacki sees tide "working against" Democrat in the Minnesota Senate race
“There does seem to be a tide within the state that’s working against Democrats”
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Minnesota Senate Race Poll Averages Per RCP
🔵 Flanagan: 46.5% (-)
🔴 Tafoya: 43.3% (+2.3)
(+/- vs last month)
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