Good morning winners! 32-14 (69.6%) +15.9 units last 46 picks 11-2 (84.6%) last 13 NBA picks 29-16 (64.4%) last 45 NFL picks 12-2 (85.7%) last 14 NCAAF picks 62-34 (64.6%) last 96 NHL picks

New York has 38 offensive rebounds through three games, including 11 from Karl-Anthony Towns. Those possessions have produced 58 second-chance points, compared with 35 for its opponents. Knicks -4 against the Pistons is a bet on that second-shot scoring against a frontcourt missing Jalen Duren. He is out with a right hamstring strain. Towns had 5 offensive boards against Orlando on Sunday. New York scored 52 points in the paint. Detroit allowed 52 paint points at Philadelphia that same day with Duren sidelined.

Nick Suzuki had 12 points in 9 games before his injury. Montreal now visits St. Louis without him and Ivan Demidov, with Oliver Kapanen projected between Cole Caufield and Juraj Slafkovsky. I'm taking Blues ML against that reshuffled Canadiens forward group. St. Louis has averaged 3.50 goals per game since Oct. 13. The Blues also get two full days off after Saturday's home game. Montreal gets one, plus the trip from Winnipeg to St. Louis.

Toronto's Kawhi Leonard is expected to miss a period of weeks due to swelling in his left knee, sources tell ESPN. MRI on Leonard's knee showed no structural damage, but sides will use the shorter term to ramp him back up after the stoppages during the offseason.

Say you have three hypothetical parlay legs, each with a 60% chance to win. If they're mutually independent, the chance all three win is 0.6 × 0.6 × 0.6 = 0.216, or 21.6%. There's a 78.4% chance at least one loses. Check the whole ticket's chance to hit, not just each leg's. The multiplication shortcut requires independence. Don't assume that for a same-game parlay or multiply correlated legs this way.

Red Wings @ Oilers Under 6.5 (+115)