Christian | Family Man | PhD, Cornell University | Author of Resilient Citizens | Localism | Homesteading | Army (views my own not DoD)

Washington State
Feeling anxious, stressed, or out of control? It doesn't have to be that way. Resilience is a mindset. Learn how others have seized their agency and how you can not just live - but thrive. My new book is now available Resilient Citizens: The People, Perils, and Politics of Modern Preparedness. Find out more at resilientcitizens.com From war zones to wildfires, pandemics to power outages, the threats we face today seem bigger, scarier, and more unrelenting than ever before. Why, then, does society take a critical view of those who prepare for the worst while hoping for the best? Why do so many people write them off as crazy, conspiracy-minded “doomsday preppers”? In Resilient Citizens, Army officer and disaster expert Dr. Chris Ellis challenges the myths, dismisses the fearmongering, and takes a much-needed, long-overdue scholarly look not just at prepper culture in America, but our overall social, physical, intellectual, emotional, and spiritual health. This isn’t another doomsday prepper guide or government-endorsed emergency brochure. It’s a deep dive into the people, perils, and politics of preparedness—from ranchers in the Rockies to policymakers globally—and a call to action for those who refuse to outsource their safety to luck or bureaucracy. Unpacking thousands of hours of research, Dr. Ellis will help you— § Learn the traits and strategies of those best equipped to survive and thrive amid disaster. § Understand the psychological roadblocks that keep people stuck in denial or helplessness. § Discover how different belief systems, subcultures, and nations approach long-term resilience. § Debunk popular myths about “preppers” and discover the truth behind America’s growing culture of preparedness. § Examine the historical and political roots of America’s preparedness paradox. § Reveal the number one resilience item every household must own. Whether you’re a concerned parent, a curious skeptic, or a seasoned survivalist, Resilient Citizens will challenge your assumptions and inspire you to think bigger, prepare smarter, and ensure your own survival in a chaotic world and uncertain future.
4
11
63
24,247
I’m sitting at a Naval clinic right now. All of the team leads gathered to start the week with the Sailor’s Creed. WAGMI.
2
93
This is a positive disaster trend. - You participate in a group (social cohesion). - You put your body in a demanding situation (physical exposure). - You're learning (intellectual stimulus). - You're in a safe environment that still stimulates a fear response (emotional regulation learning). All in all, you hit 4/5 domains of a human. theguardian.com/world/2026/o…
1
263
Prediction: You are going to hear senior politicians in various countries speak more about national resilience in the future. A lot more.
The government is right to be thinking seriously about resilience and growth, because the pressures now building are significant. We should not underestimate what is happening across the world right now. There is a convergence of issues that will have global ramifications for some time to come. • Strait of Hormuz challenged = trade reduced to a trickle • Red Sea threat increasing = trade severely impacted • Pipelines disrupted = alternative routes limited • Conflict affecting the Black Sea = major grain corridor severely impacted Together, these routes carry a significant proportion of the world’s oil, gas, fertiliser and grain. The significance is not simply that each is under pressure. It is that these pressures compound one another. Why does that matter? Tighter oil and gas supplies mean higher energy costs. But the impact does not stop at the pump or the household energy bill. Energy feeds into transport, freight, manufacturing and the cost of producing almost everything else. Fertiliser is part of the same chain. Ammonia is a critical input in nitrogen fertiliser. When its movement is disrupted, supply tightens and costs rise. If that pressure persists into planting seasons, farmers face higher input costs and greater pressure on future yields. At the same time, continued disruption in the Black Sea constrains one of the world’s most important grain-export corridors. Russia and Ukraine together account for around a third of global wheat trade. Less reliable supply means greater pressure on global food prices. These are not separate shocks. Energy affects fertiliser. Fertiliser affects food production. Energy and conflict affect shipping and freight. All of them ultimately feed through into the cost of the goods, food and energy people rely on every day. That is why the cost-of-living implications matter — but there is a wider lesson too. We cannot think about foreign policy, national security, energy security, food security and domestic economic policy as separate silos. They are interconnected parts of the same system. That system is national resilience: our ability to absorb shocks abroad without allowing them to become crises at home. It is going to be a tricky 12 months. That’s why I’m confident our Labour Government will continue to do what it takes to make our country more resilient, protect working families across the UK and face these challenges together.
2
3
311
Like I was saying:
BREAKING: The head of the army says the UK's political leaders are about to start a "frank conversation" with the public about the need to prepare for war, per Sky News. General Sir Roly Walker said every citizen will be asked to make sacrifices and to play their part in the defence of the nation.
1
41
Reversion to the mean will not be pretty.
🚨BREAKING: The historic Limoges town hall has just completely collapsed after far-left rioters set it on fire It was built in 1876. It survived World Wars. It did not survive modern France.
1
2
15
439
Six Flags stock is down 30% this month.
172
Dr. Chris Ellis retweeted
☣️‼️I’ve now been in contact w/current, highest level mil/intel/diplo/homeland security officials in biological threat arena and report w/authority that USG has all eyes on the plague outbreak in Russia and is not letting up. ☣️ Read BIOLOGICAL WAR: A SCENARIO. All of them have. Get informed. Stay informed.
🚨☣️BREAKING: Plague outbreak expands, Russia BSL-3 lab accident - FIVE hospitals now quarantined🚨☣️ The plague outbreak in Siberia, Russia has expanded w/5 hospitals now under QUARANTINE: Irkutsk Hospitals No. 1, No.3, No.10, Ivano-Matreninskaya Children's Hospital, and an unnamed maternity hospital (Lyudi Baikala news, Moscow Times). Quarantine is NOT voluntary. Even in the U.S., quarantine is among the most extraordinary measures gov't can impose on American citizens who haven't been convicted, or even accused, of committing a crime. Quarantine means being forcibly confined and medically examined by law. U.S. quarantine can be imposed on anyone infected by a legally quarantinable disease listed below (this can change). One should assume Russia's quarantine protocols are even more severe. As of 2026, under Executive Order 14047, legally quarantinable diseases in the U.S. are: ■ Plague ■ Smallpox ■ Viral hemorrhagic fevers ■ Cholera ■ Diphtheria ■ Yellow fever ■ Infectious tuberculosis ■ Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) ■ Flu that can cause a pandemic ■ Measles Photo: Russia’s RKhBZ defense troops perform nuclear, biological, and chemical defense training (w/permission from the Ministry of Defence of the Russian Federation) — from BIOLOGICAL WAR: A SCENARIO by Annie Jacobsen (Dutton, 2026).
317
689
3,919
533,556
This is a good way to think about tiered responsibility in disaster planning.
🏠 How much of a home’s resilience is in a household’s hands? 🏛️ Governments shape planning 🏗️ Businesses invest in resilience 👨‍👩‍👧‍👦 Households prepare & act 🤝 Safer homes are a shared responsibility. Take part ➡️ ow.ly/298s50ZTNGe #ResilienceStartsAtHome #DRRDay
2
2
154
You will hear more talk like this from countries.
‘If we can get households ready at a local level, we’ll have greater national resilience.’ Security Minister Dan Jarvis wants Brits to be better prepared for ‘everyday emergencies’.
3
350
FORTRESS America is not a new concept. We are returning to the mean as a country and as a globe. I trace the origins of Fortress America, its pinnacle, and it's fall in my book Resilient Citizens: The People, Perils, and Politics of Modern Preparedness. The best way to understand where we are going is to know where we have been.
.@SECWAR “Today—at my direction—we are launching FORTRESS America—a national insurance policy for the American homeland. FORTRESS stands for: Federal Operations for Resilience, Troop Resources, Energy, Supply, and Survivability. And here is what FORTRESS calls for: Every major military installation in America is going to generate its own power. Independent of the civilian grid. If an adversary takes down the grid—by cyberattack, by sabotage, by any means—our bases stay lit. Our aircraft keep flying. Our command centers never go dark. We are bringing our critical supply chains home. The rare earths, the specialty metals, the semiconductors, the propellants—mined in America, refined in America, built in America, by American workers.”
1
2
232
I’ve been calling for this for years. Bring on the microgrids and SMRs. Now allow more food production on bases: orchards, livestock, bees. Resiliency is multi-dimensional.
.@SECWAR “Today—at my direction—we are launching FORTRESS America—a national insurance policy for the American homeland. FORTRESS stands for: Federal Operations for Resilience, Troop Resources, Energy, Supply, and Survivability. And here is what FORTRESS calls for: Every major military installation in America is going to generate its own power. Independent of the civilian grid. If an adversary takes down the grid—by cyberattack, by sabotage, by any means—our bases stay lit. Our aircraft keep flying. Our command centers never go dark. We are bringing our critical supply chains home. The rare earths, the specialty metals, the semiconductors, the propellants—mined in America, refined in America, built in America, by American workers.”
1
1
7
386
You can just do things. Fight local, win local.
Lovely photos from the twice annual "Murtreff" in Norway where architects, masons and government officials can meet to learn about traditional masonry techniques. From Roman arches to. Gustavino Vaulting.
3
171
You can look at these charts like a hurricane forecast. Not all disasters telegraph where things are going. Bonds do. Prepare accordingly.
This is what a global bond market crisis looks like.
3
114
Dr. Chris Ellis retweeted
Fintwit is rife with doomers and people with massive followings who do nothing but promote everything negatively. If you're sick of this stuff, and want to listen to a legitimate expert who advises people at the top echelons of national security on matters of disaster preparedness, resilience, etc, follow @Prep4Disasters and listen to his interview with @DanielaCambone piped.video/watch?v=W9ME5fYO…
1
6
642
Lots of hot takes on AI. @JOEBOTxyz looks at this philosophically with a dash of religion.
THE RACE TO "PACE AI" IS A RUSE Reliable sources tell me Anthropic and OpenAI are working with the Department of Justice to hash out a coordinated "pacing the frontier" plan. The legal issue is that cross-company coordination might break antitrust rules—even a voluntary "pacing" agreement that doesn't affect competitors. Such "pacing" would actually buy time for stragglers like xAI and Meta to catch up. Frontier "pacing"— if voluntary—wouldn't impact the second-rate open source models at all. Much of this "pacing" effort is in response to the viral AI Doom freak-out that started building with the Hugging Face hack and exploded with that pasty Anthropic "whistleblower" saying what everyone paying attention already knew: The frontier AI execs believe their baby golems could one day come alive like some mutant brood in a subterranean lab, break containment, and launch an End of the World party that'd leave nothing but A-bomb craters and a surviving handful of human-robot symbiotes swimming in semi-animate oceans of nano swarm gray goo. Well, that's what I envision every time Elon Musk says "radical abundance" anyway. If you have a better doom dream, let's hear it. — The current "pacing the frontier" effort has continuity with another ongoing DoJ deal going back to July. That deal would allow frontier companies—including Anthropic, OpenAI, and Google—to form an industry-led standards body. Adherence to these standards would be voluntary. I have no doubt any of these companies would secure regulatory capture if they could, especially Anthropic. Be that as it may, all these smooth-brained "COORDINATED ASTROTURFED PSY OP" conspiracy theories about "ONE WORLD EFFECTIVE ALTRUISM REGULATORY CAPTURE" triggered by "CYBERATTACK FALSE FLAGS" unleashed by the Antichrist are missing one important element: What is actually happening at the DOJ right now: the avoidance of hard regulation. Even with a "pacing" plan in place, there's every reason to believe the top dawgs at Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, xAI, and various upstarts—all given cover by the coordinated astroturfed e/acc psy op—will continue their shared mission to build digital God in a server rack. Every ambitious man wants to be first. Even those "pacing" their maniacal mission to build God. — For that philosophical reason alone, it's prudent to view every frontier AI exec as you would a pagan priest whose gods are hostile to your bloodline. Don't trust their motives. Never support their efforts. Disregard their cheerleaders and mouthpieces. Block them at every turn. Employ any legal way to bring them to heel. Force transparency. Enforce accountability for harms. Impose outside evaluators. Criminalize involuntary data collection and surveillance. Ban their worst products at the state level. Ban the big ones on the federal level. Ban AI in public classrooms. Ban suicide bots for kids. Ban goonbots for incels. Ban AI slop from all platforms. Halt mass surveillance. Ban lethal autonomous weapons. Halt the Greater Replacement. Ban artificial superintelligence. If ASI is not possible to build—and if a nuanced ban wouldn't affect your struggling start-up or your crappy open source AI running on basement GPUs—then why do you care if imaginary superintelligence is banned? On the other hand... If ASI is actually possible, why do you want to see it built? Don't we have enough infernal gods without creating a new one who can conduct cyberattacks and drone strikes? Ban it. Ban any AI development and the deployment of any AI that decreases quality of life, reduces cognitive ability, or is designed to replace meaningful work. Or, considering the difficulty of passing and enforcing such laws in the current political climate, just refuse to use their bots or buy into their bullshit propaganda. Or maybe you'd rather carry water for these tech-adled megalomaniacs. You're free to parrot their paranoid, hypocritical, and obviously "coordinated astroturfed psy ops" all you want. Outsource your mind. Love the clanker. Take the trode. It's a free country. For now.
2
2
4
466
There is plenty of ink about how China is beating the US in the AI race and several other tech markers. But when it comes to central bank and household gold purchases, it's mostly crickets. Why is the American populace not told to compete with China via sound money? zerohedge.com/precious-metal…
1
3
162
Dr. Chris Ellis retweeted
I reread this every year. I cry like a baby every year. Todd Beamer died a father, husband, and hero. Todd: Hello… Operator… listen to me. I can’t speak very loud. This is an emergency. I’m a passenger on a United flight to San Francisco. Our plane has been hijacked. Lisa: I understand. Can they see you? Todd: No. There are three that we know of. They have knives — razor knives, like box cutters. Someone announced from the cockpit there was a bomb. It sounded fake. Lisa: Your name?Todd: Todd Beamer. United Flight 93.Todd: They killed one passenger in first class. They forced most of us back. Fourteen of us here. Five flight attendants. The guy with the bomb ordered us to sit on the floor. Lisa: Are you okay? Todd: We’re going down… wait. No. We’re leveling off. We changed directions. We’re flying east again. Todd: A guy named Jeremy called his wife. She told him two planes hit the World Trade Center. Lisa, is that true? Lisa: I have to tell you the truth. It’s very bad. Both towers are gone. A third plane hit the Pentagon. Our country is under attack. I’m afraid your plane may be part of their plan. Todd: Oh God. Lisa, will you do something for me? Call my wife and my kids. Promise me you’ll call. Lisa: I promise. Todd: Our home number is… You have the same name as my wife. Lisa. We’ve been married ten years. She’s pregnant with our third child. Tell her I love her. I’ll always love her. We have two boys — David, he’s 3, and Andrew, he’s 1. Tell them their daddy loves them and he is so proud of them. The baby is due January 12th. I saw an ultrasound. We still don’t know if it’s a girl or a boy. Lisa: I’ll tell them. I promise, Todd.(Lisa patches in the FBI.) Agent: Todd, your plane is on a course for Washington. Best guess is the White House or the Capitol. Todd: I understand. I’ll be back. Todd: Everyone knows this isn’t a normal hijacking. We have decided we will not be pawns in their plot. Lisa: What are you going to do? Todd: Four of us are going to rush the one with the bomb. Then the cockpit. A stewardess is getting boiling water. We’ll take them out. Todd: Would you pray with me?They pray the Lord’s Prayer. Then: Yea, though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I will fear no evil, for thou art with me. Todd: God help me. Jesus help me.Are you guys ready? Let’s Roll.
2,693
27,577
165,629
6,418,076
High tech societies can bring about wonderful innovation, but are very fragile to near absolute ruin.
High-Altitude Nuclear Explosion (HANE) in LEO: A Self-Destructive Cascade A Senior Defense Fellow at the American Foreign Policy Council presents a vivid simulation to the U.S. Space Force, exposing the catastrophic fallout of a LEO nuclear burst on orbital infrastructure: • Immediate Impact: The prompt radiation from a High-Altitude Nuclear Explosion (HANE) instantly destroys roughly 20% of all active LEO satellites. • Artificial Radiation Belt: Within 12 hours, a uniform radiation belt forms, exposing passing spacecraft to persistent, destructive doses. • Total LEO Blackout: Within 2 to 3 weeks, 100% of satellites in Low Earth Orbit are rendered non-operational. • Kessler Cascade Triggered: Dead satellites lose collision-avoidance capability, sparking orbital impacts. The dispersing debris drives secondary collisions, threatening a full Kessler Syndrome. • Mega-Constellation Hazard: High-density debris concentrates around the 550 km altitude shell—directly threatening LEO mega-constellations like Starlink. A HANE strike is an indiscriminate weapon of mass destruction that permanently denies orbital access to all spacefaring nations.source:piped.video/watch?v=Yjq5ItUk…
2
175
Dr. Chris Ellis retweeted
So many of you out there wishing your life away... I wish I could do X but I have to do Y... Sounds like a choice. Make the decision to do it, now. I wished I had a farm. I wished I had a store. I have a farm and I have a store. I kept the day job because that funds the start up. It is hard. Some days I feel overwhelmed. Sometimes I wish I had less to do. But at the end of the day, I got what I wanted because I made the choice.
The danger is in thinking that your real life will begin when your circumstances change, when you exit Breezewood or the 4HL job or any other perceived necessary prerequisite. Meanwhile your life is passing you by minute by minute and it is real and it is fleeting.
1
2
40
2,999