NEW: @BMGResearch poll for @theipaper. Labour lead at 5 points as Green and Lib Dems slip back. Restore at 7%. 🌹 LAB: 28% (+1)
⏩ RFM: 23% (=)
🌳 CON: 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN: 9% (-2)
🔶 LDM: 8% (-2)
🔵 RST: 7% (+2)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=) 23-24 Sep 2026. Changes vs 25-26 Aug. 🧵👇

Meanwhile Conservatives back up to 20% and Badenoch moving into positive territory in leadership ratings for first time in well over a year (and now with many more with a view of her). The battle as the main right-wing challenger to Labour continues.

NEW: @BMGResearch polling for @theipaper finds little appetite for handing Harry and Meghan’s security bill to taxpayers. - 63% paid for privately - 18% split the cost between the taxpayer and the couple - 6% back full funding by the UK taxpayer - 13% don’t know

NEW: @BMGResearch poll for @theipaper. Labour hold a 4-point lead. 🌹 LAB: 27% (-1)
⏩ RFM: 23% (=)
🌳 CON: 18% (-2)
🟢 GRN: 12% (+2)
🔶 LDM: 10% (=)
🔵RST: 5% (NEW)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=) 25-26 Aug. Now prompted, Restore on 5%. Equivelant to c. 1.5 million voters. 🧵👇

They could pose bigger threat. A striking 51% of current Reform backers would consider voting Restore. Doesn’t mean they will. And lots of Restore voters equally say they may consider voting Reform. But highlights the battle to be won for control of the “right bloc”.

Andy Burnham told reporters that he’d promised Trump a “pragmatic approach” to the North Sea. But are the public in a “pragmatic” mood when it comes to more North Sea drilling? 🧵👇

But in many ways discussion about support for sources is really secondary - everything comes back to bills. As one voter said in focus group after I asked her which sources she preferred: “Just lower the bloody bills.” This is what voters really want to talk to you about.