10 Year
$MSTR Price Model, NFA, hypothetical model only, DYOR:
Key Assumptions & Drivers:
1. The
$BTC power law model is valid and continues for the next 10 year years with a base case of the PL trend, bear case of the 5% floor, and bull case +1 St. Dev above the PL model price.
2. NET mNAV is: 1.0x for bear case, 1.3x base case, 1.6x bull case
3. Amplification reaches between 50-60% as management has previously guided as a long term target. The model assumes it takes 5 years to reach this range.
4. BTC/share increases at 10% per year, also in accordance with management’s stated goals of doubling BTC/share in about 7 years.
Outputs shared below. I will be publishing an in depth, full research model soon.