ESPN NFL Analyst. DMs open. I tweet more on bluesky.
Brooklyn
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Updated NFL analytics staffer list!*
As always, this list is to the best of my understanding based both on what teams list and conversations with analytics folks around the league.
(*Re-posting because I had a mistake on previous post)
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Trade grades for the Quenton Nelson deal!
A win-win trade for two teams in very different places.
espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/5004…
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Seth Walder retweeted
Please watch the MNF Playbook altcast on @nflnetwork tonight. I'm on at halftime doing some film breakdown of Week 7's highlights.
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Seth Walder retweeted
I’M BACK…New crew, same
hard-core football talk tonight 8PM ET on #NFLNetwork!
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If NFL MVP was Most Valuable Person -- not just Player -- it would be Brian Flores based on the season thus far.
And he was briefly available as a free agent for $0 against the cap this offseason before re-signing with the Vikings.
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Solid go on 4th down.
This one will be second guessed because of where they are on the field. But value of possession is very high and conversion chance is high on a 4th-and-1.
Remember: punts are turnovers ~100% of the time.
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4th down model was clearly in favor of Dolphins decision to go for it on 4th-and-1 with 2:00 left and a shot to end the game.
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Pretty funny after this week's #discourse but it actually happened: Kyle Shanahan went for it on 4th down when the model preferred kick!
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Week 7 predictions: upsets, stat lines, fantasy sleepers and more.
Alongside @pamelam35, @MattBowen41, @BenjaminSolak and @EricNMoody
espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/5024…
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Green light go on 4th-and-2 for Patriots here
Breakeven percentage: 46%
Conversion probability: 62%
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Vrabel deserves credit for trying any type of offense at the end of the half!
9 seconds left, two timeouts at -34. A lottttttt of head coaches are kneeling it out there.
Rams essentially gave up at that same spot on the field this week with 46 (!) seconds left, 0 timeouts.
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Seth Walder retweeted
With all the talk about Kyle Shanahan's 51% comment, I want to take some time to walk through why a lot of the discussion yesterday was off the mark. I'm going to focus on just one of the points made--uncertainty. Thread:
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So @Ben_Tmeyer made this very fun cool new thing: the NBA Trade Lab!
Let's you build fake trades, vote on deals proposed for your team and see deals liked by fans of both teams.
If you want this for NFL let us know so we can bully our boss into letting Ben make it!
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