I projected a $BTC move toward $92,000 while most expected $100,000 to hold. Perfect execution. 🎯 Never fade my analysis.

FOMC meeting decision will be out in 2 hours. What'll happen?

Spot has been bidding $BTC for 3 days now. Yet, BTC isn't rallying because of heavy shorting on perps. I think this is due to uncertainty around FOMC and US midterm elections, and once resolved, we could see a nice uptrend.

Fed will most likely pause today. But that doesn't mean no rate hikes will happen in 2026. The market is expecting a 84% chance of another Fed rate hike in 2026. And maybe Kevin Warsh will hint at it during today's press conference. The reason is rising inflation, which has been the primary goal for the Fed. I’ve got a special deal for my community: trade with me and get a $25 bonus when you trade $50: kalshi.com/p/tedpillows

FOMC interest rate decision will be out in 5 hours. After the last 2 FOMC meetings, Bitcoin had a decent pump. July: $BTC rallied 30% in 4 weeks. September: BTC rallied 16% in just 1 week. What'll happen this time?

$BTC morning run to $81,800 got fully sold back. Now we're sitting right on $80,700 support. Who is selling? Futures, not spot. How I see it: Sellers are in control short term. Losing $80,750 likely means a trip to $80,000.

Today’s decision may be less important than the message that comes with it. I don’t expect the Fed to change rates today. What matters more is whether policymakers leave the door open for another hike before the end of the year. There’s a good reason to expect that. Inflation is still proving stubborn. Demand remains fairly strong, while supply-side pressures are adding to the problem. At the same time, the labor market is starting to weaken, even if that isn’t fully showing up in the headline data yet. That puts the Fed in a difficult position. Cutting too soon could reignite inflation, but keeping rates high for too long could put more pressure on the labor market. For now, I think the Fed will prioritize inflation. So while today may be a pause, I don’t think the tightening story is necessarily over. I’d expect the Fed to keep a December hike firmly on the table.

$BTC tapped the 50D MA and is now around $81,500. US stock futures are up, while Gold and Silver are down. Pre-market stock trading insights: ▫️Nasdaq futures is up 0.45% 🟠 ▫️S&P futures is up 0.18% 🟠

$BTC leverage wipeout has started. Most of them are shorts, which means the pump could continue.

3 whales deposited $500,000,000 in $BTC into Coinbase today. Selling❓

$ETH is now at its resistance zone. A reclaim of the $2,400 level would be the first major sign of strength for Ethereum.

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$BTC has reclaimed its 50D EMA level and is now approaching the 50D MA zone. A successful reclaim of 50D MA here could result in a short squeeze.

FOMC interest rate decision will happen today at 2PM ET. 91% odds of a rate pause, so it has pretty much priced in. At 2:30PM ET, Kevin Warsh's press conference will start, which is the most important one. Since the last FOMC meeting, both CPI and PPI have spiked higher, which means the inflation problem is getting worse. If Warsh hints at more future rate hikes, markets could selloff hard. And if he hints at a rate pause, BTC could tap the $82K-$82.5K zone.

Pre-FOMC pump?

GM☕️. Walking to the office 🇳🇱

US Treasury buys back $6,000,000,000 of its debt. This is being done to bring the long-term yields down.

$550,000,000,000 has been added to the US stock market today.

What's most likely to crash markets in 2027? I spent the morning looking at exactly that. Not predictions, just probabilities. The biggest risks for the next 12 to 18 months in my opinion are: • A sharp selloff in AI stocks • A major AI-driven cyberattack • The Federal Reserve making a policy mistake • The war with Iran escalating • Turmoil in the bond market Other big ones on the list: • Rising US-China tensions • A messy fight over the US debt limit • An escalating global trade war • Job losses driven by AI • Another global pandemic • A slump in commercial real estate A crypto crash ranks as likely, but low on damage to the wider economy. For $BTC, that macro mix matters more than any crypto headline. If AI stocks unwind and the Fed gets it wrong, liquidity dries up everywhere. Which one worries you most, and what's missing from this list? Let me know below 👇