Chair NED Board Advisor on hospitality, tourism & experience economy - @instoflicensing @ukhospitality @lex_Liverpool @YorkshireCCC - northerner, views my own;

North Yorkshire
9 out of 10 businesses surveyed support a cut in VAT to help businesses navigate ongoing uncertainty. Three quarters of hotels and restaurants called for rates reform and discounts to be extended and half wanted NICs slashed for younger workers to tackle NEETs
"It's having a real impact, not only on the businesses, but on the people they employ and us as consumers." Kate Nicholls, our Chair @UKHospKate, speaks to @BBCNews about the impact cost increases coming into effect today will have on hospitality businesses, teams and consumers.
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
Our first Over of News of the winter... Yorkshire's senior squads set to return to training, who is wintering abroad, a notable George Hill statistic, a new book celebrating Harrogate CC's 150th anniversary in 2027 and much more. yorkshireccc.com/news/an-ove…
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Positive news for transport infrastructure within London - making Stratford International truly international will boost cross channel tourism
Number 10 North is driving the largest devolution of power to London's communities we've seen in a generation. By granting London the ability to invest potentially billions of pounds more in our future, it will help unlock transformational infrastructure projects such as the West London Orbital, the Bakerloo line extension and Euston knowledge quarter. A true devolution revolution. cityam.com/london-to-get-bak…
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
As Poundland’s administration puts 12,000 jobs at risk, @benjaminmarlow explains how Labour’s tax rises, higher employment costs and lack of support for struggling companies may be making an already difficult trading environment worse ⬇️ telegraph.co.uk/business/202…
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
Business leaders have criticised the Chancellor for failing to deliver a Budget that meets the “big ambitions” of Andy Burnham’s Government. The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) accused John Healey of delivering a “nothing” Budget on Wednesday, which did not “meet the scale of that ambition” set out by the Prime Minister when he took office in the summer. 🔗 telegraph.co.uk/business/202…
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Good to see Treasury taking greater control of energy policy - it drives cost of doing business, prices and cost of living. It is a huge issue for hospitality businesses who are energy dependent but do not benefit from energy support for intensive users - instead they pay EXTRA levies to fund govt choices on support. Hopefully this announcement of long term market reform can address this too
This Budget is the start of a new energy pathway that the 10 Year Plan will build on. The priority is to bring energy costs down to help British business to compete, and British households to cope. And cheaper electricity will boost electrification, increasing our energy security and helping to decarbonise the whole economy. What does this mean? First, it means a focus on levies and policy costs on bills. The Conservatives added £100 to everyone's bill via levies in their last decade in power. Labour has cut £150 from bill costs already. But today, John Healey has drawn a line in the sand, with the announcement that we will add no new costs to energy bills, with a comprehensive cost control framework to follow at the spending review. The Chancellor is also junking plans, first set out by the Tories, to add on up to around £10 a year on bills to pay for hydrogen projects. Second, it means taking account of the interaction between the pace of grid build-out and the pace at which renewables are added to the grid. The NAO have said that investment in expanding the transmission network declined in real terms between 2016 and 2020, just when it was clear that more intermittent power meant we would need more capacity. It is now forecast to rise to over £10bn a year. But with growing constraint and distribution costs, it's right that the system costs of all new power are considered. That is why we will only procure clean power through AR8 (the next auction round) if we are confident it will lower bills. And we will reform the contract for difference by AR9 to support building the lowest cost system, fixing market distortions and siting assets in the right place. The evidence is clear, clean power is an essential part of the route to cheap power, and the overall approach of seeking to get ourselves off the gas-price rollercoaster to the right one. Gas is setting the electricity price less and less every year. If it wasn't for adding renewables to the grid in recent years then the current Iran price shock would have been worse for families and businesses. The Conservatives and Reform's ideological anti-renewables approach is the wrong one and fails in the face of evidence on how to protect bill payers from shocks and the need to make ourselves less reliant on foreign dictators. We'll take a pragmatic approach to get bills down. Getting electricity prices down, ensuring new clean power does not run ahead of the grid, is also the credible route to reaching our net zero goals. The decarbonisation that we want to enable in our homes, on our roads and in our businesses, is six times larger than that still to be achieved from getting to a clean grid. Unless we make electricity cheaper relative to other energy sources, we will struggle to increase adoption of EV and heat pumps.
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
***BLOOMBERG BUDGET ANALYSIS*** John Healey’s modest budget achieved his main aim of avoiding an adverse market reaction. But the cost-of-living support is small and will be swallowed up by coming rises to bills. It is a long way off Andy Burnham’s pledge to rip up 40 years of neoliberalism and transform the economy. And it could be out-of-date within days if Trump escalates against Iran and causes another energy price shock. The question is: does this budget really meet voters’ expectations of the change Burnham is promising and mean Labour’s popularity continues to improve? Or will it mark a turning point as Healey struggles to live up to the PM’s rhetoric within the constraints of the manifesto, global headwinds and fiscal reality? The IFS characterises the budget as “lots of fiddling, short-term things.” The Resolution Foundation says Healey has “spread the jam thin.” Kemi Badenoch asks: “Is that it?” Will this narrative take hold, or will Britons continue to be won over by the force of Burnham’s personality? It also seems fair to ask what happened to his big ambitious ideas? There was not much on “public control” and nationalisation today. The council house building programme isn’t so revolutionary. There were no major reforms to council tax, capital gains tax, stamp duty, a land value tax, cutting the personal tax threshold, as he’s previously floated. Healey’s commitment to spend 3% of GDP on defence by 2030 won immediate praise from Zelenskyy and NATO. But deferring the decision on how to fund it means the next year will be very tough for the government. The spending review and next budget look painful, with big welfare cuts and tax rises likely needed. The immediate fear in cabinet is Trump and Iran. UK officials believe it is likely the US military campaign is going to resume shortly. Resolution suggests that if there is serious escalation there it would wipe out Healey’s £15 billion headroom: “He doesn’t have enough to survive one bad roll of the dice.” It leaves Burnham’s fate in the hands of Trump. That gives a whole new meaning to his strategy of “hope.” With @PhilAldrick: bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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“How soon is now”
Andy Burnham rules out having a general election in the next 12 months. (He previously just said there wouldn't be one soon). “I’m not thinking about my own party and its prospects," he tells reporters.
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This.
BREAKING The OBR suggests that successive increases in the national living wage and the employment rights act will hit jobs It says the employment right act will have a ‘negative economic impact’ and hit businesses through ‘increased uncertainty, lost flexibility and higher Labour related costs’ It says that these will ‘more than offset’ any potential increase in productivity
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Above the small business relief Red Book confirms full bills freeze for next 2 years for all: “For all other retail, hospitality, and leisure properties, rates will be frozen for two years so that no property in those sectors faces an above inflation increase. Taken together, the decisions in this Budget mean that, from April, RHL businesses in England will see their business rates either frozen in real-terms, reduced, or cut to zero.” So additional transitional relief for all
Pubs, cafés, restaurants and shops are at the heart of our communities. We’re giving them more breathing space, with 70,000 more retail, hospitality and leisure businesses paying no business rates from April 2027.
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Not just on welfare but also employment taxes and costs - could we see a second fiscal event
Replying to @resfoundation
Milburn and Timms to both publish next month, with a response by the end of the year, and White paper and legislation next year. Clarity on the timetable, but decisions on welfare not for today.
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A staging post Budget - from Milburn Review next month, to 10 year plan next Spring, the spending review and roadmap for fiscal devolution the key pieces of the jigsaw remain to be shaped
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Business rates support for the smallest is undoubtedly welcome but fewer than 1 in 10 high street hospitality premises quality so imperative that the promised freeze on bills for all for the next 2 years is delivered in full and is not just removing the index linking
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Chancellor also pledges 100% rate revenues retained locally by end of decade. By 2027 mayors will be able to retain 20% of business rates and in 2028 will retain proportion or income tax receipts
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Fuel duty frozen until next summer and the increase of standard mileage made permanent - helpful for cost of doing business
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On energy bills, Chancellor announces extension of Industry Compensation Scheme- 25% off energy bills for energy intensive businesses which really must be extended to food production. He also mentioned scrapping levies from bills - that must apply to businesses too
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
NEW Economic growth to fall next year from 1.2pc this year to 1pc next year (it goes up again to 1.6pc in 2028), says Chancellor John Healey. This must make a 2027 general election LESS likely. Watch now on @GBNEWS.
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Kate Nicholls OBE retweeted
NEW On the basis of the numbers the Chancellor just read out in the House, the UK is set to borrow MORE in each of the next five years than previously planned
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OBR forecasts gdp growth this year of 1.2%, 1% next year and 1.6% the following year and debt as %GDP falling from 83.8% to 81.7% by 2031
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Big focus on “global economic storms” impacting forecasts and costs - with emphasis on reducing costs of doing business as well as cost of living. A lot of projecting forward into 10 year plan, spending review and of long term reform around energy
Chancellor John Healey says his Budget is for "the working people of Britain, for British businesses big and small" He says it will give Britain "some breathing space on cost of living and cost of business" Follow live: bbc.in/3VZCRUe
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