There were 813,000 new arrivals to the UK in 2025 (the vast majority from outside the EU). The fact that there were 642,000 departures doesn’t point to success. It just tells us the make up of our society is changing exceptionally fast
I’ve seen enough. I’ve crunched the figures, leant on contacts and simulated our entire immigration and visa system in my head over 100,000 times. I am officially projecting 2026 to be the UK’s first calendar year of negative net migration in 33 years.