Managing editor @VotebeatUS. Previously senior editor and senior elections analyst @FiveThirtyEight. Email, don't DM: nrakich at votebeat dot org
DC via Boston
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Confused by all the election forecasts and polling averages out there? I wrote a comprehensive guide to all of them.
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Oh man. On Monday, 2 CBP cars parked at a Florida early-voting site but left 10 minutes later, causing some consternation. Turns out they just wanted to vote. myemail.constantcontact.com/…
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The Cook Political Report is hiring! This is a fantastic opportunity for an early-career election analyst: cookpolitical.zohorecruit.co…
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This is a pretty flimsy lawsuit, but notable that the administration is preemptively trying to challenge a Democratic win in #AKsen.
WASHINGTON (AP) — Trump administration sues to block Alaska Senate race certification if Republican loses, citing candidate name confusion.
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The Supreme Court has allowed the New Hampshire secretary of state to ban student IDs as a form of ID for the 2026 election. courthousenews.com/supreme-c…
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
Fun story from Jeremy Markovich's North Carolina Rabbit Hole blog on how a Buncombe County voter cast his ballot from Antarctica (of course I am quoted) ncrabbithole.com/p/one-perso… #ncpol
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At this time of year, there's a lot of social-media chatter about voting machines flipping votes. They're not. Here's what's really happening: apnews.com/article/vote-flip…
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
We Fired the BLEPH Guy blogs.fangraphs.com/we-fired… blogs.fangraphs.com/we-fired…
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A cautionary tale for voters in postmark states who mail their absentee ballots on Election Day: kgw.com/article/news/politic…
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If you have to mail your ballot on Election Day, take it to the desk inside the post office. They can give you a manual postmark.
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Here's a great data-driven story on how mail ballots could be collateral damage from Postal Service cuts: propublica.org/article/mail-…
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Please take some time today to read @Hayley__Harding's wild tale of a local election official (with a MAGA talk show host husband) who tried to cancel a bunch of voters' registrations—and how the system caught her. votebeat.org/michigan/2026/1…
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
NEW: Arizona's AG is suing MCRO over its handling of the registration statuses of 25 voters falsely flagged as noncitizens by SAVE earlier this year.
The 11th-hour legal battle is the latest update in a saga that stretches back to the spring. Full story in the replies. ⤵️
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This is a very Florida election story. wfla.com/news/hillsborough-c…
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
You know why I'm so mad about this?
I've been a pollster for 20 years, but I'm under a new company name (my own).
You people make it so much harder for REAL people like me to get traction when we do everything right.
Shame on you.
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
50+1 has caught another pollster faking data:
blog.fiftyplusone.news/p/fif…
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Good overview of the Trump administration's escalation against alleged noncitizen voting in California: votebeat.org/national/2026/1…
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Nathaniel Rakich retweeted
🍁Alberta Voters Choose Canada
📊And most pollsters called it right.
338canada.ca/p/alberta-voter…
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