No longer posting here. At mastodon.social/@delong. Subscribe to braddelong.substack.com. Buy ā€œSlouching Towards Utopia" bit.ly/3pP3Krk

This Musk-Ridden Hellscape
Replying to @delong
What say the remnant denizens of this dumpster fire? Is it time to leave Twitter for good?
23% Hell, YES!
14% What took you so long?
17% Yes!
46% Other
109 votes • Final results
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47,654
Dan Drezner has a plea for the Wall Street Journal to stop publishing ā€œsteaming piles of horseshitā€ until they figure out what is actually going on with the op-ed contributors. (1/4)
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...Ellis argues that the faculty moved left and therefore socialists win. Drezner notes that Ellis, a former German professor, provides no causal evidence to support this claim... (3/4)
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...The Wall Street Journal has ridden its horses down a certain lane for near unto a century. Read more here: braddelong.substack.com/p/cr… (4/4) END
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There are signs that corporate AI spending has stopped growing. Usage is still rising, but token prices are falling. OpenAI cut its own prices by about a third, both to compete with Anthropic and to keep firms from building on cheap or free models. (1/4)
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5,923
...Companies are being driven to be AI-adopters out of the fear that if they do not have natural-language interfaces, or if they are too slow or error-prone, competitors will insert themselves between the laggard company and its customers and profits will evaporate.... (3/4)
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...The slowdown in token spending growth is partly Anthropic’s Claude premium under massive pressure. What would spending look like if prices had held at spring levels? Nobody knows. <braddelong.substack.com/p/sp…> (4/4) END
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I set up an email ā€˜bot’ to honor #handcarry, a tag meaning do not file this, bring it to me NOW! It is my escape hatch from the bureaucracy. But the bot drifted. (1/4)
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Unlike surly agents, this failure was silent and obedient. It was a model bureaucrat whose output reached no one. It did not refuse, it was not idle, and it did not sulk. It simply turned my escape hatch into a new filing cabinet. (3/4)
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The promise is that machines will adapt to work smoothly with us, but my ā€˜bot’ took the tag and filed it away. braddelong.substack.com/p/wh… (4/4)
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Past waves of automation have followed a script. Agriculture mechanized, got cheap, and shrank as a share of GDP, and value moved to manufacturing. Manufacturing automated and shrank, and value moved to services. Ben Moll and Alex Imas argue AI will follow that script... 1/
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...rather than break it. Cheap cognition will push spending toward what stays scarce: nurses, teachers, waiters, local knowledge, power plants, Zeiss mirrors: **CROSSPOST: Ben Moll & Alex Imas: Will AI Soon Lead to Double-Digit [Annual Economic] Growth?** The subheadline... 2/
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...is: ā€œProbably not. Here is why.ā€ We ae not going to all move into the metaverse and wear sensory suits, which is what would be required for double-digit annual growth rates... < braddelong.substack.com/p/cr… > 2026-10-18 3/END
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Freddie deBoer says everyone ignores high-quality evidence that pedagogy and policy make little difference. Test-score gains fade. And, indeed, I could not come close today to the scores I got long ago on my linear algebra exams without a lot of boning-up on the subject... 1/
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...year. Papers on the other side suffer from weak instruments, file drawers, and forking paths. Policy matters. Pedagogy matters. The question is which ones, and how… **In Which a Pedagogical Decision to Keep People from Majoring in Economics Has Massive Consequences... 3/
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...CHART/ANNOYANCE OF THE DAY** Provoked by Jack Despain Zhou:, who has had it up to here & higher with Freddie deBoer’ since a year of schooling pays off 6–15%, how & what we teach cannot be irrelevant... < braddelong.substack.com/p/in… > 2026-10-17 4/END
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It was Engels who paid both his and Marx’s bills: **CROSSPOST: LARRY MacDONALD: How Karl Marx Achieved Financial Independence** Marx wrote for newspapers and went into the market for a quick Ā£400; Engels ran mills and traded cotton and held railways, gas companies and... 1/
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...bonds for the long term... < braddelong.substack.com/api/… > 2026-10-15 2/END
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