QB Grading/Contributing Writer for windycitygridiron.com Bears | Cubs | Blackhawks | NIU | Illini JV WR that got scouted by a Power 4 school once NCR Truther
Dallas, TX
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1.5 years ago I built code to predict Caleb Williams' 2025 season, that code ended up being 81.7% accurate to his 2025 production.
I've tweaked that code to also run simulations based off various inputs for a team.
Here's how the NFC North turned out:
iamcogs.com/post/predicting-โฆ
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62
20,166
#NFL Week 7 picks are in:
Season Record: 55-38 (59.1%)
Upset Specials: 3-3 (50.0%)
Bears
Steelers
Falcons (Upset Special!!!)
Ravens
Panthers
Texans
Vikings
Jets
Browns
Broncos
Lions
Rams
Chiefs
Cowboys
5
464
Boy I sure will be glad to see "Seth Main" leave my timeline after tonight.
I see him talk about Caleb Williams more than I do.
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42
1,817
There is currently 1 QB in the NFL that has taken at least 100 dropbacks with a positive EPA when facing pressure.
Top quarterbacks when pressured this season in terms of EPA/dropback (min. 100 total dropbacks):
1. Caleb Williams, +0.15
2. Bryce Young, -0.02
3. Brock Purdy, -0.06
4. Josh Allen, -0.07
5. Patrick Mahomes, -0.10
6. Drake Maye, -0.10
7. Kirk Cousins, -0.15
8. Kyler Murray, -0.18
9. Lamar Jackson, -0.21
10. Dak Prescott, -0.22
Data: @SumerSports
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11
319
8,835
Not gunna lie Thursday Night Football might be my favorite prime time slot to play, leads to a stress free Sunday, which is peak football watching.
SNF and MNF I just end up clock watching and stressing about the game coming up.
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1
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2,657
You couldn't have scripted a better return for Caleb Williams as he put together a near perfect day against the Falcons in Week 6.
Let's take a look inside the numbers:
A deeper look with @iamcogs at Caleb Willaims and the Chicago Bearsโ 31-23 bounce back victory against the Falcons. windycitygridiron.com/chicagโฆ
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1
21
1,504
Jonah Jackson has that wolverine blood in him!
#Bears Injury Report
The Chicago Bears conducted a walk-thru on Wednesday, participation is an estimation.
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36
1,040
Officially 1/3rd the way into the season, with 1278 total snaps graded, so let's look at some accuracy metrics across graded QB's, including raw comp% and On-Target%.
We will also take a look at who's protecting the ball the best while generating big plays at a high rate.
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9
1,626
OnTar%
Tracks all aimed throws deemed catchable given circumstances.
- Williams shining early even more on in OnTar%, obviously the early ADOT aids things, but an area of struggle last year was in the short level, so far so good.
- Rex and Love, two natural born gunslingers.
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556
