data journalist @politico. previously @bangordailynews, @bowdoincollege. jpiper@politico.com / Signal: jsscppr.15
philly
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from the weekend: Republicans are avoiding Trump in campaign ads, even in places where they touted his endorsement 2 years ago.
and they're trying to navigate what to do as he hits the campaign trail.
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$5.2M raised for Susan Collins in Q3 per new FEC report
docquery.fec.gov/cgi-bin/for…
among her donors: former President George W. Bush
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from me over the weekend: Republicans once salivated at the chance to make Zohran Mamdani a midterms boogeyman.
now, they're more likely to run ads mentioning Joe Biden than Mamdani, AOC or other progressive icons
politico.com/news/2026/10/03…
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the programs the ad has run on most, per AdImpact. Who in DC watches a lot of Fox News...?
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per AdImpact, the US government has spent $13k to air this ad so far, mostly in the DC media market
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New w/ @lisakashinsky, @andrewjfhoward:
Dems’ dilemma as they see momentum, but are outspent by the GOP: should they shore up districts that are traditionally competitive, or go harder on offense in deep red territory?
politico.com/news/2026/09/24…
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many, many good details in the piece but this one sticks out to me, because — as a local reporter — I covered the unveiling of this prototype at UMaine.
did not realize that both the company and Navy knew it had no use!
propublica.org/article/fbi-s…
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top fundraisers on ActBlue in August, per new filing: James Talarico ($13M raised!), Abdul El-Sayed, Jon Ossoff
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wrote in to @playbookdc this morning about Trump calling AI fears a “hoax” — a term he most often uses when talking about Russia/impeachment or Jeffrey Epstein
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2 details that I’m sad didn’t make this story:
1) Diane’s adorable cat, Neo
2) Troy Jackson at karaoke
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my Labor Day dispatch from Maine, where (love her or hate her), a lot of voters have their minds made up about Susan Collins. And they're getting to know Troy Jackson:
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NEW: crypto- and AI-linked super PACs spent $127M in primaries, winning ~ 90%
behind that stat: many primaries where the groups spent weren't competitive & they struggled in some races when their $$ itself became an issue
BUT: they'll have a lot of allies in Congress next year
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top fundraisers on @actblue in July, per new filing tonight: Jon Ossoff, James Talarico, Troy Jackson
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MAGA Inc., Trump's super PAC, sends a press release about Abdul El-Sayed.
the super PAC has $400M in the bank and has faced pressure from GOP allies to start spending it. (cost of sending 1 email = very low, of course.)
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this doesn't appear to have worked, Taylor is a distant second in the Kansas Democratic Senate primary behind frontrunner Adam Hamilton
in today's Morning Score: a mysterious pop-up super PAC spending big ahead of tomorrow's Democratic US Senate primary in ...
Kansas❗️
politico.com/newsletters/wee…
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in today's Morning Score: a mysterious pop-up super PAC spending big ahead of tomorrow's Democratic US Senate primary in ...
Kansas❗️
politico.com/newsletters/wee…
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Democrats are worried about the GOP's massive outside $$ advantage: "If you get outspent five to six to eight to one, that can alleviate the environmental advantage that Democrats have this cycle"
w/ @erinpdoherty
politico.com/news/2026/07/22…
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fundraising email from Trump's leadership PAC previews an "earth shattering announcement" tonight.
if you click the respond button, it leads to a link to donate to his PAC
secure.winred.com/never-surr…
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and @andrewjfhoward and I looked at the House map. the top-raising candidates in Q2 had one thing in common
politico.com/news/2026/07/16…
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from last night (w/ chart!): Dems' big cash advantage across most of the Senate map
politico.com/news/2026/07/16…
w/ @lisakashinsky
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in Morning Score this a.m. — new @ClimatePower report + July 4 ad campaign seeks to go after Trump admin on affordability
subscriber.politicopro.com/n…
americanprogressaction.org/a…
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we crunched the numbers: the number of pop-up super PACs has increased this cycle, and they're spending more on primaries (without disclosing their donors!)
w/ @andrewjfhoward
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Neptune thinks it is too late to work on computers any longer. I don’t know if she’s cut out for election nights.
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an extremely tight race in #ME02 - definitely headed to a ranked-choice runoff
bangordailynews.com/maine-el…
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First Maine town to report is Frenchboro! It’s an island in Hancock County, not far from where Platner is from. 5 votes for him, 1 for David Costello.
bangordailynews.com/maine-el…
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lots of talk about what Platner's benchmark should be tonight.
In the 2020 Maine Dem Senate primary, Sara Gideon got 71.5% of the vote. Both her opponents were still in the race, but were always considered longshots.
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unloading my notebook from a weekend of talking w/ Maine voters about the Senate race:
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my dispatch from Portland in @playbookdc this morning. Maine Democrats don’t feel like they have a lot of choice in the Senate race — and perhaps nothing shows that as well as the ample choices they have for governor
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Janet Mills is not campaigning (though she reminded people she’s on the ballot) but the Feminist Majority and National Organization for Women PAC sent an email to members asking them to vote for her
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“he’s not Susan Collins and he’s a Democrat”
“Democrats who defend him sound like Republicans defending Donald Trump after the Access Hollywood tape”
the latest Graham Platner revelations leave Democrats angry — and divided about what to do
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#mepolitics subtweet (sub-PowerPoint slide?) from Rep. Greg Landsman at WelcomeFest in DC this morning
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two Maine tidbits this morning:
1) from our reporting last night — Janet Mills doesn't seem to be on a path to unsuspending her campaign, even as some Dems may want her to (via @andrewjfhoward)
politico.com/news/2026/06/01…
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this paragraph from the great @michaelkruse profile of Graham Platner from December keeps coming to mind
politico.com/news/magazine/2…
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Collins' campaign raised $1.7M, spent $2M over ~ 7 weeks as the general election matchup came into clearer view — still has a bit shy of $9.7M in the bank
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pre-primary FEC filing day in Maine! Janet Mills, who suspended her Senate campaign last month citing financial difficulties, reports $716K CoH and $380K in debt.
Mills is still on the Dem primary ballot June 9
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it's fun that artificial intelligence still struggles deeply with which numbers are bigger than others
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New: another consequence of redistricting? Even fewer competitive House seats.
so long to wave elections, hello to slim majorities
politico.com/news/2026/05/15…
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latest vote drop makes it an even tighter race in #NE02. State Sen. John Cavanaugh leads Democratic activist Denise Powell by less than 300 votes, w/ an estimated 85 percent of the votes in
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no official Shapiro endorsement in PA-3, but this Sharif Street van in my neighborhood last weekend would sure like to draw an association
Scoop: Josh Shapiro quietly tries to derail AOC-backed progressive House candidate axios.com/2026/05/10/aoc-jos…
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split screen previewing the next 6 months on TV in Maine:
*Graham Platner ad goes after Susan Collins on Iran, Kavanaugh, "selling out" the working class
piped.video/watch?v=FH4z6Sv5…
*Collins ad on securing funds to replace the collapsed breakwater in Eastport piped.video/watch?v=FH4z6Sv5…
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digging through some redistricting archives today, this is a fun one
rollcall.com/2005/04/04/redi…
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Barney Frank, from hospice care in Ogunquit, weighs in on #MEpolitics politico.com/news/2026/04/28… via the great @Jasper_Goodman
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Also from me yesterday in @PoliticoPI: a contractor you might remember from the DHS no-bid ads controversy is working for 2 outside groups in the Louisiana Senate race
politico.com/newsletters/pol…
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new: at least 5 small majority-Latino counties in Texas saw more votes in the 2026 Dem primary than Kamala Harris got votes in 2024
the striking Dem turnaround w/ @AlecAHernandez @lisakashinsky
politico.com/news/2026/03/04…
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