Some short ideas:
$OKTA
- Asked about AI’s contribution, the CFO said: “Still immaterial. Still very small.” Management doesn’t expect it to be material this fiscal year.
- 11.3x guided sales and 53x guided adjusted earnings.
- Guiding to 10–11% revenue growth. The full-year revenue guide is only 1.3% higher than the original outlook.
$PANW
- 21.2x guided sales and 56x guided adjusted free cash flow.
- Revenue grew 24.5% last fiscal year, but growth was 14.4% excluding that year’s acquisitions.
- Stock compensation was $1.77b, or 15.5% of revenue. GAAP operating margin was 6.1%.
$TXG
- 14.7x guided sales for just 2–5% revenue growth, excluding legal settlement revenue.
- Consumables growth slowed from 12.5% in Q1 to 7% in Q2. Instrument sales fell 47% in Q2.
- Q2 GAAP operating margin was -13%, with stock compensation equal to 17% of revenue.
$RBRK
- 15.2x guided sales and 78x guided free cash flow.
- Full-year guidance implies 34% growth versus 43% last quarter, after removing temporary contract-accounting revenue. That slowdown still needs to show up in results.
- Latest-quarter GAAP operating margin was -17%. Stock compensation was 24% of revenue.
$CRWD
- 43x guided sales and 169x trailing free cash flow.
- Q2 stock compensation was 26% of revenue. A $33m GAAP operating loss becomes a $372m operating profit after adjustments.
- Guiding to roughly 25% revenue growth. Net-new ARR grew 51% last quarter, so this one is about paying too much for strong growth.
$HOOD
- 15.1x trailing sales and 39x trailing GAAP earnings.
- Q3 revenue grew 12%, but adjusted earnings per share fell 3%.
- Event contracts supplied $146m of the $150m increase in revenue. Excluding that business from both periods, revenue grew just 0.3%.