backing crypto’s next primitives through research and angel capital
In a study of 322 events on liquid prediction markets, Bridgewater AIA Forecaster was less accurate than market prices. Combining the two with data-learned weights produced lower prediction error than
TL;DR No, papertrade is a "casino" that pays its losers in casino shares. The shares are real, but they don't refund the loss. 5 things to know before 10/10 (launch date): There are no conventional
Stocks, indices, and commodities now trade across perp venues with separate order books and funding rates. Those differences create opportunities to collect funding while hedging the asset’s price
Arc's (@arc) meme season has not started and it might not. And this is all because of launchpads. Circle's chain went live on 16 September and did $82.17 million of DEX volume in its first 24 hours,
Intro DeFi lending made collateralized credit available on demand but it did not make its cost predictable over time. Borrowers see today’s rate, not the cost of holding debt for 3 or 6 months.
Intro Prop-AMMs have shown that professional market-making logic can reach on-chain order flow. The remaining constraint is the surrounding stack: capital, contracts, router integrations, settlement
fomo put public PnL, hold time, a trade thesis, followers, alerts and a buy button in one flow. When Robinhood Chain's meme market opened, fomo led active wallets among tracked apps for 24 straight
Somewhere in the last hour of a college football Saturday in October 2025, a Kalshi (@Kalshi) user watched their resting order get filled while they couldn't do anything about it. The app that would
Intro Proprietary AMMs have crossed to EVM, so technical portability is no longer the question. The real question is whether they can reproduce the venue-scale share they reached on Solana. Core
None of them started as stablecoin companies. The price sheet of default placement, the five names collecting it, and the flywheel that keeps the coin a commodity. Intro There are 412 stablecoins live
A look into the discontinuity problem sports creates for trading venues When @wmt_ventures co-led Pascal's seed round in July 2026, the thesis behind the bet was simple. Prediction markets were
