I try to put straight lines through things but usually fail. Try to be Bayesian when I can. Views my own. RT/like != endorsement. Graduate of YouTube University

Apparently everyone has a favorite stats textbook. Spill it, peeps.
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Replying to @xuyiqing
Interesting paper! Thanks for posting. IIUC, your main concern with the GAM approach is that it targets the wrong estimand. If so, I feel that your criticism of the approach is kind of unfair, given that it's easy to target CME w/ GAM. See this notebook: arelbundock.com/hmx_simonsoh…
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Happy "Large boulder the size of a small boulder" Day to all who celebrate
Large boulder the size of a small boulder is completely blocking east-bound lane Highway 145 mm78 at Silverpick Rd. Please use caution and watch for emergency vehicles in the area.
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Time-Invariant Variables’ Time-Varying Effects: Misinterpretations of the Fixed-Effects Model in Sociological Research osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/hk…
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See this paper for more, including some ways to address it
Check out the latest working paper by Prof. @dlmillimet, entitled "Fixed Effects and Causal Inference" available through @iza_bonn. #PonyUp docs.iza.org/dp16202.pdf
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Looks good. Added to the reading list
Lecture Notes on High Dimensional Linear Regression ift.tt/QoBcJUK
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🎉Preprint! EMA for mental health: How often should symptoms be measured? Using the Nyquist-Shannon Theorem from signal processing, we propose a theory-driven framework for optimal sampling. Collab with @EikoFried, @mHealth_Lab_KIT , @Andreas__Jansen osf.io/preprints/psyarxiv/he…
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Ended up thinking about South Park episodes for no reason today, and Casa Bonita is still one of the best.

ALT Dancing Eric Cartman GIF

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Econometrician introducing her new diff-in-diffs method to empirical economists.
What is this called in psychology?
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Cohen on why sometimes r = .1 may not be small.
Okay, psychologists. When did you collectively decide that an effect size of r = .1 is the cutoff for meaningful effect sizes? Source: sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
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Okay, psychologists. When did you collectively decide that an effect size of r = .1 is the cutoff for meaningful effect sizes? Source: sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
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Stephen Wild retweeted
New blog post on The 100% CI: Writing about technical topics in an accessible manner (by Julia Rohrer)
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Looks like this might be worth a careful read.
From LATE to ATE: A Bayesian approach. Isaac M. Opper. Journal of Econometrics. sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
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And another post on causal inference and social media and its effect on mental health. DAGs make a prominent appearance. As always, feedback welcome (especially if you think I am wrong). sjwild.github.io/blog/2024/1…
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Stephen Wild retweeted
DAGs can be used to understand the mechanics of linear interaction analysis. Easy to see the zero correlation between the first-order and interaction terms after centering (though this is not the reason for centering). See more here: bpspsychub.onlinelibrary.wil…
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Home Alone still holds up
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RT @cshalizi: Notebook: (Decision, Classification, Regression, Prediction) Trees in Statistics and Machine Learning bactra.org/notebooks/trees.h…
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