you say "The rise of the East is unstoppable" - true - but what is the relative standing in this of China, Vietnam and India - and how and when can India begin closing the manufacturing gap - any forecasts and assessments?
The American establishment has drunk their own kool-aid - doctored academic research on India, its history and what constitutes Indian nationalism. They genuinely believe the country is an artificial construct where the state stitches together weak alliances between warring tribes and communities. Extending this, the belief is that the nation can be colonized, brought to its knees and broken.
The echo chamber the Americans live in will be the undoing of the Indo-Pacific/Pivot to Asia. Relying on paid acolytes in the target country backfires in the end. It gives a colored view of the ground reality of what makes the country resilient. It also overestimates weaknesses. Refusal to understand Hindu civilization for what it is, and the Indian state as the inheritor of this civilization, leads to miscalculations and misjudgments.
Moreover, a country of India’s size that has tasted progress after several generations, is unlikely to give up on the upswing it is enjoying at any cost. When a giant starts moving, it gains momentum enough to push back against internal and external sabotage.
Washington’s miscalculations are not unique with respect to India. They briefly cracked Iran decades ago, but it did not last. We see how that is playing out today. They tried to turn China into a democracy, and that too failed. They believed Russia would break further after the Soviet Union fell, and yet, nothing like that happened. All efforts involved galvanizing “dissidents”. If anything, all three countries have emerged strategically stronger.
Over time, the US has only lost relative power in the global order. It is no surprise that they turn to white Christian nationalism and lofty talk about mythical “Western civilization”. It is a hard coping mechanism. The US is still powerful but on the wane. The Pavlovian response to this is sharp edged, often schizophrenic foreign and economic policy, which undoes the RBO undergirding decades of unipolarity. This naturally gives way to multipolarity.
The rise of the East is unstoppable. The relative decline of the West is inevitable. Europe has resigned to its fate. The US too will eventually when India breaks free. It is the last major power which will tilt the balance of power firmly from the North Atlantic to the Indo-Pacific. It is for this reason the viciousness with which the US will target India will be far greater than seen with any other country. Now, going back to the original point, their miscalculations will only accelerate India’s rise as a pole in the world.