PPI final demand goods rose 2.6%, the biggest monthly increase on record. Over 80% of the broad-based rise in September is attributable to the index for final demand energy, which jumped 10.8% Half of the increase can be traced to prices for gasoline, which jumped 20.3%.
PPI Red Hot: PPI 1.3% MoM, Exp. 0.6% PPI 6.3% YoY, Exp. 5.4% PPI Core 0.7% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PPI Core 5.0% YoY, Exp. 4.4%

Oct 15, 2026 · 12:44 PM UTC

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Replying to @zerohedge
VERY bad signal for risk. Holding cash until positive earnings flip us long later this month
CPI CONTINUES TO GROW. HERE ARE THE FACTS THAT EVERYONE MISSED 🚨 🔻 Headline CPI: 3.6% YoY (exp: 3.6% | prev: 3.4%) / +0.6% MoM (exp: 0.6% | prev: 0.4%) 🔻 Core CPI: 2.5% YoY (exp: 2.5% | prev: 2.4%) / +0.2% MoM (exp: 0.2% | prev: 0.3%) What should frighten us is the growth of Core CPI itself! This is the metric that excludes energy and food—making it the most relevant indicator for assessing consumer inflation. Core CPI rose due to increasing prices in the Shelter component, signaling pressure on the consumer. If it had been just a rise in Headline CPI driven by energy, it wouldn't have surprised anyone, as high oil prices have long been priced into forecasts. But now, signs of price growth OUTSIDE of energy are emerging. 📊 What is logical to expect now? An increased probability of rate hikes, which were adjusted in early October following a weak labor market. This creates room for a new round of US Dollar strengthening, which in turn is a fresh negative for the stock market and crypto market. October 28th will be a decisive date: whether the Fed will go for another hike this month after the September increase. Williams' recent statements showed that policymakers were ready to wait until December. But what will they do after a CPI report like this? My view is that it is entirely realistic to see neutral rhetoric from policymakers. This could put pressure on the dollar and support risk assets starting as early as next week. These are my expectations for a market reversal. 🤔 What are your thoughts?
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Replying to @zerohedge
Energy. Of course @DoodlesTrks
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Replying to @zerohedge
Say it with me.. hiking rates does not lower the price of gas.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Hot print could also enable rate hikes, couldn't it?
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Replying to @zerohedge
With this strong economy why is capacity utilization still at 75%? Are companies that basically have monopoly power keeping production down?
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Replying to @zerohedge
Republican’ts are don’t have a chance next month. Awful numbers
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Replying to @zerohedge
energy did the damage there with core goods ex energy at just 0.3%
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Replying to @zerohedge
Then don’t ignore the other half. Inflation has been running hot years before the Iran conflict. Resolving the Iran conflict won’t fully resolve the underlying problem, only help it.
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Replying to @zerohedge
ppi energy just ripped 10.8% and gasoline alone jumped 20.3% 📈 over half that goods spike was the pump called $WTI at $58.64 on dec 2, 2025 its $94.58 now, up about 61.3% is diesel still feeding the next print? not advice but if yk u yk
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Replying to @zerohedge
The store may still be charging the same price, but getting the goods there can already cost more. Fuel surcharges often reset weekly as diesel prices move. A retailer can be paying a bigger freight bill before customers notice anything different on the shelf.
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Replying to @zerohedge
gas up 20.3% in one month is exactly why my solar customers in CA quit asking if it pencils out. nobody wants to keep renting their power from the utility at these prices
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Replying to @zerohedge
when half the print is gasoline you know exactly why everything feels expensive
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Replying to @zerohedge
gas up 20% and my paycheck missed the memo
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Replying to @zerohedge
Gasoline is 2-3% of PPI, you're using a high percentages which multiply together with a subset of PPI to argue that it's largely gasoline. It's not.
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Replying to @zerohedge
gas up 20% in one month. filling my tank now costs more than my portfolio is worth
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Replying to @zerohedge
Energy hits a building three ways: diesel in the equipment, freight on every delivery, and asphalt in the parking lot. That 10.8% jump in energy shows up in sitework bids before anything else.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Half the move is gasoline, retail ex gas +0.2%. that's not demand, that's a tax on driving. And you don't fix a tax with rate hikes.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Energy did 80% of the work here. So is this inflation or just a very expensive September? The Fed's answer decides if it's a blip or a problem.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Energy up 10.8% in one month. My space heater is now a luxury good.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Gasoline up 20.3% in a single month. If energy keeps driving inflation higher, the Fed’s path to rate cuts gets even harder. 👀
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Replying to @zerohedge
stop using energy u never know it comes 0 next time to help bulls lol.
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Replying to @zerohedge
gasoline +20% in one month?? is that all hormuz or did something happen with refineries too
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Replying to @zerohedge
That's the tell: 80% energy means a supply shock passing through, not demand overheating.
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Replying to @zerohedge
Energy alone being 80% of the rise is the detail most people will miss fr
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Replying to @zerohedge
Inflation coming in this hot is a major warning sign 🚨 If rate hikes return to the table, stocks and crypto could face serious pressure. The Fed is in a tough spot now. 📉
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Replying to @zerohedge
I’m sure somehow the Trump cucks will blame this on Biden…. Or Obama…. Rent free
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Replying to @zerohedge
we peaked all inflation data goes down next month
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Replying to @zerohedge
gas up 20% and my paycheck missed the memo
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Replying to @zerohedge
Cost-push inflation taking hold
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Replying to @zerohedge
Markets will Crash today !
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