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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
The National Bureau of Statistics today announced China’s real GDP growth at 4.5% for the third quarter and 4.6% for the first three quarters, both year-over-year changes.
That growth figure is unlikely to be accurate, writes AEI’s @DerekScissors1
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
NEW | Ukrainian officials continue to report disruptions to US assistance to Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported on October 19 that Ukrainian forces continue to experience disruptions to Starlink and Starshield services on various sectors of the frontline.
Zelensky noted that Starshield-enabled Ukrainian drones stop functioning at a speed of between 130 and 161 kilometers per hour, affecting the operations of Ukrainian intermediate-range drones, jet-powered drone interceptors, and frontline logistics.
Zelensky also stated that the United States supplies Ukraine with 12 Patriot ballistic missile interceptors per month and suggested the United States is delaying deliveries of Patriot interceptors purchased for Ukraine under the Prioritized Ukraine Requirements List (PURL) initiative.
Devastating Russian drone and missile strikes on the night of October 18 to 19 heavily damaged energy and civilian infrastructure across Ukraine — killing at least four and wounding at least 55.
Daytime Russian strikes are also inflicting significant civilian casualties.
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
As wars in Iran and Ukraine show, the drone revolution is here. But a global superpower will need a balanced arsenal to prevail in the conflicts to come.
@opinion @AEI
bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
As drone and missile attacks on data centers proliferate, they need protection from drone warfare, I argue in the @FT
ft.com/content/15a049f3-b62e…
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Recently, SecDef Hegseth announced 6 new initiatives to increase the warfighting capacity of the military.
AEI's Elaine McCusker and John Ferrari analyze if these new initiatives are worth it.
aei.org/commentary/hegseths-…
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With the race for UN Secretary-General restarting, @BrettDSchaefer explains who is running and what member states are looking for in a Secretary.
Check out his full analsysis: aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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The National Bureau of Statistics announced China's real GDP growth at 4.5% for the third quarter, a growth figure that is unlikely to be accurate.
Read the full article by @DerekScissors1.
aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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This is a tale of two generals—Dan Caine, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, and Brad Cooper, the commander of US Central Command.
@KoriSchake analyzes how each of these generals have responded to political pressure, and either maintained or disregarded civil-military norms.
aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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When police arrested masked men outside a British air base in Fairford, national security experts feared an imitation of Ukraine’s Operation Spiderweb unfolding in the UK.
@bradyafr explains why this is a wake-up call to everyone about increasing drone threats.
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
There’s not a good terrestrial replacement for space, for the kind of things they’re doing, because you need to be able to communicate over such long distances. Their next best hope would actually be Amazon Leo, says AEI’s @ToddHarrisonDC to @politico
politico.com/newsletters/nat…
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AEI's Angela Stent comments on President Trump suspending Russian fuel sanctions,
“Trump’s diesel deal will do little to deliver significant or lasting price relief to the US. The main reason for the rise in gasoline prices is the war in Iran, not the Russia-Ukraine war.”
Interested in hearing more from Dr. Stent? Subscribe to AEI's newsletter, The Rundown. aei.org/policy-areas/foreign…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
The straw poll on October 16 completely resets the race for the next United Nations Secretary General. All current candidates are opposed by at least two permanent members of the Security Council. Expect withdrawals and new candidates. Which gives the US opportunities. aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
President Trump is right to want peace between Ukraine and Russia. But his actions are making that harder to achieve by emboldening Putin's aggression.
Read the latest column from AEI's @HalBrands
aei.org/commentary/trump-jus…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
A full-scale Ethiopian invasion of Eritrea seems unlikely in the short term (days and weeks), but likely in the medium to long term (months to years).
There are obviously a lot of variables here, but when people tell you what they want to do, believe them. Ethiopian officials are laying the groundwork to legally justify military action against Eritrea on self-defense grounds, and Ethiopian government-affiliated or -aligned institutions are saying everything up to regime change is justifiable.
If Isaias is unwilling to comply with Ethiopian demands related to Eritrean support for Ethiopian rebels and Assab, which seems unlikely, then we're talking about a matter of when, not if.
Abiy presumably doesn't want to get bogged down in Eritrea if the TPLF and Fano can pose a serious threat to ENDF supply lines and major urban centers, so he's likely to wait a bit until the ENDF can consolidate some control over these areas.
But all that rests on several assumptions and variables related to how Ethiopian planners gauge the threat TPLF/Fano pose and how quickly the ENDF could blitzkrieg Asmara, the latter of which is dependent on how they assess Ethiopian air/drone superiority and potential external assistance to Eritrea [Egypt in particular].
My forecast on Ethiopia and Eritrea, with analysis of several courses of action (border war, Assab seizure, full-scale invasion/regime change) over the short, medium, and long term.⬇️
NEW | Ethiopian federal forces have advanced toward the Ethiopia-Eritrea border, which will likely result in a low-intensity border war in the short term.
However, Ethiopia has set conditions to legally justify a regime-change war and would likely use a border war to set military conditions for a possible large-scale invasion in the medium to long term, including weathering several capacity constraints that currently disincentivize a full-scale invasion.
More assessments on what lies ahead in northern Ethiopia and Eritrea🧵
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
The UN data reveals that under Trump the US remained extremely generous compared to other nations, writes AEI’s @BrettDSchaefer
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
With 2025 UN budgetary and staffing data now released, we have updated the AEI United Nations Organizations Assessment Project. In addition to updated data, the Project has also expanded to include UN peacekeeping, IMF, UNOCHA, and the World Bank. aei.org/un-review/
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
A lot of ink has been spilled about the US abandoning the United Nations. Yet, despite deep cuts, America contributed $7.1 billion in 2025 to the UN system, about half the $14.4 billion in 2024. Nonetheless, the US contributed far more than any other nation. aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
From January 2025 to June 2026, acquisition reform accounts for 49 percent of the Pentagon’s overall reform effort.
AEI’s @MEaglen explains how the Pentagon can enact generational reforms that will endure.
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
“There are any number of countries that would want to know about the internal workings and future plans of OpenAI and its competitors,” said Ryan Fedasiuk, a fellow at @AEI.
Good to speak with @washingtonpost’s @iduncan about the targeting of U.S. labs.
washingtonpost.com/technolog…
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AEI Foreign Policy retweeted
If you're interested in Asia policy, then Noah Burke and I have gone through and compared what is in the House and Senate NDAAs to get a sense of what might be included in the final bill. Take a look here:
aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
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