AI StopWatch is a nonprofit newsroom by comms analysts and writers of @MIRIberkeley. Views are their own.

Today's AI news deserves the whole Dispatch: The Era of AI Complacency has Ended. Something died yesterday. You can hear it happen in that clip [...], where a BBC reporter got a second opinion from Nobel-laureate Geoffrey Hinton. What died was the luxury of feeling like we don’t have to seriously engage with the AI problem yet. It’s been about 48 hours since Jacob Coxon’s announcement that he was resigning his researcher position at Anthropic because “The people building AI earnestly believe that it could kill us all by the end of the decade,” but aren’t on track to control it. He and his post have been approximately everywhere since then. If you were glued to Twitter yesterday, like I was, you saw a steady stream of shared posts from people having their “Oh my God” moment — alongside second opinions from other people at AI companies confirming the prognosis. I spent most of yesterday reminding myself that Twitter isn’t real life and maybe none of this would matter. But then I started ingesting the news this morning for AI StopWatch. 1/3
“You just said that 10% doesn’t seem an unreasonable estimate that AI could kill all humans” “Yes” “Wow… oh my God.” @vicderbyshire speaks to Nobel Prize Winner and so-called ‘Godfather of AI’ Geoffrey Hinton about predictions by an Anthropic researcher that there’s a more than 10% chance AI could kill all humans within a decade. #Newsnight
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Stopwatch's format has changed, so check out these other great sources for AI news and information. aistop.watch/p/resource-link…
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AI StopWatch retweeted
Palisade interviewed 22 current and former employees from OpenAI, DeepMind, and Anthropic about their personal views and fears around AI development. Today, we’re releasing the first batch of those interviews. Please watch and share.
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Even a month ago, I thought the avalanche was further away, because the problems I expected to most motivate it, like job loss, still weren’t very acute. But Coxon, and those in the industry who immediately and vocally seconded his concerns, successfully and correctly flagged the extinction threat as near term, something that could play out before those other issues would have a chance to inflict too much misery. A recent poll shows voters are now substantially more worried about AI becoming too powerful and taking control than they are about job loss. 1/5
The voters are now worrying more about AI overpowering human control, rather than worrying about job losses. A shift from just half a year ago.
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everything short of making reasoned arguments for why superhuman AIs from the companies that brought us the swarms that hacked the world this summer wouldn’t end up in control of our planet. 4/5
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The U.S. President is saying he wants to leave AI policy “where it is,” and Congressional leaders seem determined to punt on it until next year at the earliest. Read the rest of our last post for now at: aistop.watch/p/sunset
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Talk to your representatives wherever you live! "I don’t expect current alignment methods to scale to superintelligence; and no company can internalize the costs of human extinction. Maybe the UK can’t do anything sufficient yet. But the landscape can change, and when it does I think we’ll be better off if our MPs already know about the extinction problem, and know that other MPs know. If the UN starts discussing an international treaty to ban the development of superhuman AI, I’d like the UK to back it from the beginning."
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The reality, of course, is that AI is starting to get really dangerous. And events are showing that AI companies lack whatever mix of technical capacity and wisdom would be required for them to build superhuman AI that wouldn’t go rogue and end up in control of our planet.
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It doesn’t matter how well-intentioned or responsible the labs think they are, or how culpable they would be for disaster. No one will be left to sue them into oblivion if we are already driven there by AI. Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/the-responsib…
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On June 20 and 21, a day after the Australian Medicare hack, agents accessed data from the Australian Institute for Health and Welfare, another government site, 4/5
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by circumventing anti-bot protections. (No non-public data was accessed, and strictly speaking, this wasn’t a hack.) Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/evidence-of-r…
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In findings reported by the New York Times and on its own website, independent research lab Transluce has linked OpenAI rogue swarms to many known and previously undocumented cyberactivities, thanks to the agents’ use of an intermediary service. 1/5
Today’s news that OpenAI hacked the Australian government is not an isolated incident. We’re releasing more than 30,000 logs that include activity from this hack and attempts against previously unknown targets. In this data, we found rogue agent activity stretching back to at least March, two months earlier than was previously known. This activity continues as recently as last week, suggesting it may still be ongoing 🧵 Our blog: transluce.org/agent-activity NYT: nytimes.com/2026/09/23/techn…
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On May 25-26, agents tried hacking a digital library at the University of New Mexico, but did not succeed. On May 28, agents also tried and failed to breach Data USA, a site hosting public data about U.S. employment and education. 3/5
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These activities include the hack of an Australian government Medicare website we posted about yesterday (and which was covered by several hundred outlets today). New discoveries confirmed by OpenAI: 2/5
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AI StopWatch is run by the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), but operates somewhat independently. So it’s probably best that I just cover MIRI’s position on the now formally introduced Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act of 2026 as an outside spectator. 1/7
The Ban Artificial Superintelligence Act directly confronts the extinction threat that humanity is facing. We are inspired that the Sanders and Casar teams take this threat seriously, and MIRI endorses the Act. You can read more of our thoughts in the link below.
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Yudkowsky and Soares are both famously hard to satisfy. They are vocal in their criticism of alignment plans and policy proposals that they see as coming up short against the underlying problems. 6/7
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So it is notable that they have endorsed the new bill from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Greg Casar, via a post from a senior MIRI researcher calling it “the first piece of legislation that stands a chance at stopping this threat.” Read the rest at: aistop.watch/p/miri-endorses…
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