๐จ๐บ๐ธ Democrats have surged to an ALL-TIME HIGH on Kalshi's Senate control prediction market...
Traders give Democrats a 74% chance of taking control of the U.S. Senate after tomorrow's midterms:
๐ต Democrats: 74%
๐ด Republicans: 26%
That's a staggering 48-point gap in market-implied probabilities.
The chart shows a dramatic reversal, with Republican odds collapsing as Democrat odds climb sharply.
Kalshi's market also displays a projected 52 Democrat seats to 46 Republican seats, which is 54-46 when accounting for Bernie Sanders and Angus King.
Source: Kalshi / Writer: Samuel
BREAKING: Democrats' odds of sweeping both chambers of Congress surge to a new high just 2 days before the 2026 midterm elections.
70% chance.
๐ polymarket.com/r/Election202โฆ
Soybeans have turned old highs into new lows all year long
But hereโs the catch
We have continued to fail to hold the most recent prior high
Instead weโve bounced off the high before it
In June we failed to hold the March highs. Then bottomed at November highs
In August we failed to hold the May highs. Then bottomed at the March highs
Now weโve failed to hold the July highs
Could we now bottom at the May highs?
We have yet to turn the May highs into support
The May highs are also 61.8% of the June lows. Another reason to make this a possible point of interest
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๐จ BIGGEST AG FUND OUTFLOWS SINCE JUNE!
Funds dumped โ233k contracts (โ$6.6B).
That's EIGHT straight weeks of selling ... and a ninth underway. ๐
Why? Favorable S.A. weather, weak BRL, hawkish Fed & U.S. midterm jitters. ๐
Still crowded: Sugar, Meal, Soybeans & Matif Corn.
The bulls need to be fed. ๐ฝ๐ฑ๐ฌ
Soja | 30 de outubro
Com quase 90% da รกrea de soja semeada ainda em outubro, Mato Grosso mantรฉm uma perspectiva favorรกvel para a implantaรงรฃo do milho e do algodรฃo de segunda safra dentro da janela ideal.
๐ Confira o relatรณrio completo no site do IMEA.
Brazil's currency and stocks tumbled on Monday as investors bet that Luiz Inรกcio Lula da Silva's comeback election victory would compound fiscal worries for Latin America's biggest economy. ft.trib.al/pWHSD94
Grain futures markets are for price discovery not to serve your personal agenda or opinion. They are not rigged. For every buyer there is a seller and vice versa. Its magnificent really. End users buy, producers sell, speculators speculate.