Director of Victor Consulting. Former Senior Policy & Communications Strategist for @jacindaardern, and Ministerial Advisor. Opinions my own.
Wellington
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In 2014, National symbolically represented itself as a rowing team cutting through the water. A powerful image of teamwork, determination, and success.
In 2026, they're the half-shorn sheep.
'All we've managed in the past 3 years is to shear half a sheep
Give us three more years and we'll have a go at the other half'
OK, lads. Let's not set our sights too high
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'All we've managed in the past 3 years is to shear half a sheep
Give us three more years and we'll have a go at the other half'
OK, lads. Let's not set our sights too high
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'special votes are bad', 'meeting with gang members is bad', 'taking subsidies for EVs is bad', 'getting benefits for your accommodation is bad'...
.... 'nah, nah, it's different when I do it'
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nightmare outcomes this election for democratic legitimacy:
-right gets in only thanks to Nat overhang
-left gets in only due to TPM overhang
-right gets in only due to lower enrolment of young people
play undemocratic games for short-term gain, wreck the system long-term. nitter.siddz.com/_breadcapital/status/2…
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a big difference between Hipkins & Luxon is Hipkins sets standards and then enforces them on his team, even when it's hard.
Luxon sets standards for others and then tries to use semantics to avoid applying them to himself & his Ministers
stuff.co.nz/politics/3610506…
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Nats are 4th in the party vote in Wellington North on 13%, behind Opportunity. Similar to the 17% in Hutt South
Not hard to see why. National has put Wellington's economy to the sword
75% say their costs have risen faster than income. 70% have cut their standard of living
the 3rd electorate poll my company, Victor Consulting, has commissioned this election
Tamatha & Ayesha statistically neck and neck
Interestingly, 23% of Labour voters (7% of the total) planning to vote for Tamatha- could be decisive
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the 3rd electorate poll my company, Victor Consulting, has commissioned this election
Tamatha & Ayesha statistically neck and neck
Interestingly, 23% of Labour voters (7% of the total) planning to vote for Tamatha- could be decisive
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the order of parties on the ballot is determined by the surnames of the candidates &, so, different in each elecotrate.
Candidates are listed alphabetically by surname, parties are lined up with their candidates. Independents are at the bottom, alphabetically
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One thing about Chippy, he doesn't tolerate shit from his team
He sacked a string of Ministers in 2023, when some PMs would have turned a blind eye
Awkward if this now means Kaipara wins & creates an overhang
Even more awkward if Leoni, who will still be on the ballot, wins
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wow. it's so much worse in the video than the plain text suggests.
The condescending, mocking tone. patting her on the back of the hand.
Man of the people Christopher Luxon dismisses a farmer's concerns that costs are going up all the time by telling her "Just be thankful for something eh."
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if we're at the 'media should stop running polls that make me sad' stage of the election, I think there's a simple answer:
National has been polling in these electorates themselves. If they think a publicly released poll is wrong, they can show us their own polling.
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the taxes line clearly isn't working if they're resorting to this as an attack.
Labour hasn’t released any distinct new law and order policies this election, with voting starting in just days.
The party says law and order isn’t among its priority campaign areas, but will have some policies in its wider manifesto.
Story below -
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unemployment has risen by 56% in Waikato in the past 3 years.
National is backing Waikato with better roads, better healthcare, safer communities and a stronger economy.
We’re extending the Waikato Expressway, building a new medical school, delivering 61 new classrooms and backing major investments that will create more jobs and boost exports.
Police foot patrols are up 141%, and we’re investing in the infrastructure Waikato needs to keep growing.
Waikato is heading in the right direction, and we can’t afford to put that progress at risk.
That’s what I told these folk building the new Pullman Hotel today.
Party Vote National for no new taxes and a growing economy.
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GDP per capita smaller than it was three years ago. 35,000 jobs lost this term. Wages falling behind inflation.
But give them a second chance and they'll do better
Our economy is growing faster than Australia, the UK and the US. That means 220,000 new jobs coming over the next four years, with wages rising faster than prices. And, of course, no new taxes.
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the fact that the biggest attacks the right have to throw at Labour are 'they want to pay women fairly' and 'they want justice for victims of abuse in care' is a testament to how Chippy has kept the party free of scandals.
𝐋𝐚𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐫’𝐬 𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐨𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐦𝐢𝐬𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐯𝐞 $𝟏.𝟎𝟑 𝐛𝐢𝐥𝐥𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐡𝐨𝐥𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐟𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐧
Documents obtained under the Official Information Act have revealed another hole in Labour’s fiscal plan, following the Taxpayers’ Union’s exposure of a $90 million accounting blunder earlier this month.
Labour’s social development spokesperson Willow-Jean Prime has repeatedly committed to establishing an independent redress system for survivors of abuse in state care, but the party’s fiscal plan does not mention or cost this promise.
Official costings put the establishment and operating costs of integrating existing processes at between $98.5 million and $150.5 million over four years.
However, Prime has also committed to working with survivors to implement the Royal Commission’s recommendations. Official costings suggest expanded redress packages could cost between $704 million and $1.025 billion over four years in addition to funding already set aside by the current Government.
Taxpayers’ Union Head of Policy James Ross said:
“Compensation for those who suffered abuse in state care is serious business. Survivors deserve more than empty promises without the funding to back them up."
“Just establishing an integrated redress process without meeting any of the other recommendations comes with a price tag of up to $150 million. But Willow-Jean Prime’s announcement suggests the bill could be as high as $1.03 billion, or $495 per household. These aren’t rounding errors.”
"If Labour is serious about delivering justice, it needs to explain exactly what it’s promising and how it intends to pay for it.”
OIA Documents: taxpayers.org.nz/redress_fis…
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