Marko Papic · Mar 24, 2026 · 8:55 AM UTC

Marko Papic

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Martin Soong retweeted

Marko Papic

@Geo_papic

Mar 24

First, love the fashion sense. Great look by PM Barak. Second, I think that the former PM is correct. For those of you who do not know, a single American division is ~15,000 troops. So, Barak in the video below is calling for AT LEAST 30,000 troops. What is currently headed to the region is nowhere near that, even if the 82nd gets involved. I count around 8,000 right now. That is MAYBE enough for Kharg Island. But what I am wondering here is this... I want someone to explain to me why Iranians are not like Kevin in Home Alone, getting the Island ready for the Americans? And even if Kharg is taken, how does that prevent Iran from interdicting Hormuz? Kharg is nowhere near Hormuz. Yes, I get it... it is leverage, but Tehran could just double down on its own leverage (Hormuz). The US should be thinking about taking Qeshm Island instead, but that is supposedly a military fortress (and an awesome nature spot!). Either way, sub-10,000 troops for a military action against a country that has over a million ground troops? That is as far away from the Schwarzkopf Doctrine as it gets. Unless all 8,000 are Chuck Norris (RIP), it does not seem enough to me. But hey, I am not an expert at the Department of War... so what do I know.

Open Source Intel

@Osint613

Mar 23

Former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak said, “Can the Strait of Hormuz be opened? You need to deploy two American divisions there and prepare to stay for months. That’s how the start of the war in Vietnam looked, the start of the war in Iraq, and the same in Afghanistan. It succeeds at first. By the way, all wars, including this new chapter of ours, one must know: an initiated war starts with a brilliant achievement and impressive damage. Then comes the stage of treading water, which I believe we have entered. And if you don't know how to get out of it and cut it short in time, it ends in negotiations under conditions inferior to what existed before it all started, or in defeat. And America hasn't won a single war. It won almost every battle, but it hasn't won a single war in the last 60 years. All of this needs to be considered, and I very much hope I am wrong.”

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