Founded a Couple of Well Known Brands, Moved on My New Book-- Out of Touch: The Elite One Percent and the Battle for America's Soul President, RMG Research;
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Our ratings are based upon a mix of polling averages, forecaster ratings, prediction markets and more.
We're more aggressive than most forecasters at moving races out of tossup status
The Ohio Senate shifted to Lean D last night.
That makes 50 D, 46 R with 4 tossups.
For a great rundown of how are Lean ratings differ slightly from other forecasters like @LarrySabato or @CookPolitical, see @ScottWRasmussen's post:
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It's been decades since people trusted the government
Just 12% would trust Government statistics on the economy over private sector ones.
napolitannews.org/posts/just…
1,000 RV by @ScottWRasmussen
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Why RealClearPolitics Didn't Fall for the Fake Polls
realclearpolitics.com/articl…
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🚨Scott's Scoreboard (October 21-- Evening Update)
✅Ohio Senate Moves from Tossup to Leans D
✅D's now have 57% chance of winning Senate
scottsscoreboard.com/senate
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Really cool, Dave
Glad you're doing well
@WilliamShatner & @tmorello signed PETILLO & BUELL "Kirk-Caster" guitar I made for Bill's charity! Quilted maple Cosmos art/@springsteen Buell Buckers w/first of it's kind 4.8 billion year old meteorite filter neck pickup/Captain Morello neck plate etching!
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🚨Scott's Scoreboard (October 21)
✅Big Picture Unchanged... D's heavily favored to win House, the Senate Remains Too Close to Call.
✅Our projections are based upon a mix of Polling Averages, Forecaster Ratings, and Prediction Markets.
scottsscoreboard.com/
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🚨Scott's Scoreboard (October 21)
✅R's need to win 4 of 5 Tossups to Keep Senate.
✅Currently, R's have 44% chance of holding Senate. However, if Susan Collins wins in Maine, that jumps to 66%
✅Create your own scenarios and see how the odds change.
scottsscoreboard.com/scenari…
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"Rasmussen rounds this out with a first-rate overall proposal: Always ask Who decides? Readers will end up reinvigorated. Readers should take it from there."
POLITICALLY ACTIVE ELITES DON’T KNOW MUCH ABOUT US
It’s a good thing they have only what power we give them.
In Out of Touch: The Elite One Percent and the Battle for America's Soul, Scott Rasmussen explains:
Voters, who: have a postgraduate degree, live in a zip code with at least 10,000 people per square mile, earn at least $150,000 per year, and talk politics every day—these politically active elites are way different from the rest of us.
Most of these politically active elites think the rest of us have too much individual freedom. Most of them trust our governments and imagine that we do too. Scott Rasmussen has the poll receipts to back this up.
Fortunately for us, politically-active elites lag many years behind the rest of us where it counts: understanding when we are moving on to doing better things. Rasmussen offers lots of illustrations from history—long-ago to current, government and private.
Rasmussen rounds this out with a first-rate overall proposal: Always ask Who decides? Readers will end up reinvigorated. Readers should take it from there.
Who decides? Individuals!: Customers, and people who vote independently.
See link in reply.
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Thanks, John!
This is my favorite new election tracking tool. Bravo Scott! You are a wizard. My favorite part, each of us can go in and change the assumptions and see what happens with the projections. Go check it out at lyceumnow.com
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🚨Scott's Scoreboard (October 20)
✅Safe/Likely Senate Seats: D 47 R 46
✅Dems have 56% chance of winning Senate
✅To Keep Control of Senate, R's must win 4 of 5 Tossups
scottsscoreboard.com/
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Create your own scenarios. What if Paxton wins TX? In that case, GOP chance of keeping Senate grows from 44% to 67%.
scottsscoreboard.com/scenari…
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Despite the numbers, still hard to bet against Susan Collins
Former Democrat Joe Manchin to campaign with Republican Susan Collins in Maine ahead of midterms justthenews.com/politics-pol…
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🚨Scott's Scoreboard (October 20)
✅222 House Seats Now Considered Safe or Likely Dem (4 more than needed for majority).
✅In our model, Safe or Likely means at least a 70% chance of winning.
✅Overall, Democratic chances to win the House keep inching up-- at 85% now.
✅On the GOP upside model, R's have only 209 Safe/ Likely/ Lean seats. They would need to sweep all 9 Tossups to retain control.
scottsscoreboard.com/
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Scott's Scoreboard (October 20)
Hover over the bars to see which races are Tossup/Lean, etc.
scottsscoreboard.com/
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awesome
CBS will be broadcasting the full Concert for NY tonight on it's 25 anniversary. @NeverForget ❤️🇺🇸
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A handful of voters in a handful of states will determine control of the Senate.
"If somebody tells you with great confidence who's going to control the Senate after this election, they are either deluding themselves or lying to you."
@ScottWRasmussen's segment from yesterday's briefing is a must-watch. The Senate is a tossup, but each party has a "plausible path" to to 54 seats.
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