AREYOUNOTENTERTAINED?
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I used to think maybe 1% of gamblers win big and retire ya know in some $5000 to $5m shit
After enough hours spinning online cryptocurrency slots I can confidently 100000% say that scenario does not exist
Humanly impossible. Mathematically possible maybe, but genuinely not possible for a person to acheave that
Anyways. Most u guys knew that already. But for anyone as dumb as I used to be
Ur retarded and will never get rich in the casino. Go start a business
And before anyone asks me why I gamble then
Cuz I think it’s awesome and one of the only thing that keeps my boring sober life fun.
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FDs are brutal. I’m not sure what I was supposed to learn here but something was probably learned
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Yo lowkey I think I was just beefing with a bot
Not like an npc but a literal non human computer
I need to lock in bruh
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on OPRA u can verify every entry and match to me. Giga easy to not be a poor hater.
Thank you financhle for this
@Mr_Derivatives and @alphaticaio bow in the presence of greatness. And should lose all credibility on journalism in this space
The trade volume for each of these contracts on Oct 22 showing every single one of @ShaneStoffer's exact entries, this data coming directly from OPRA cannot be faked. Take down this nonsense @alphaticaio
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First it was insider trading accusations. Now ppl saying the trades never happened ???
I know I shouldn’t platform haters but a pretty big account is confident in saying I never traded $mrna
So here’s pretty solid proof I think every single trade I made on Moderna. All verifiable publicly on options chain so to that one nigga confidently saying I am a faker. Here is every single receipt. Not to mention every trade I tweeted about the second I did it?
In my next YouTube video there’s a camera on my physical phone of me placing trades as well.
It blows my mind that some ppl are so bad at trading, that the idea that I made money doing it is breaking your brain
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TOGI retweeted
"no single minute existed where all five marks were valid" imagine not understanding options quotes get updated hundreds of times per minute lol. Respectfully, saying @ShaneStoffer faked this screenshot is even more absurd than him actually nailing this trade. The screenshot was taken between 10:53:34.599938811am EST and 10:53:53.270035274am EST (18.670096463 seconds of validity). Here's the breakdown:
- $180p 10/30: Bid $4.90 (x11)/Ask $5.25 (x11). Avg is $5.075 and gets rounded up to $5.08. Quote in place since 10:52:34.241148603am EST.
- $195p 11/6: Bid $10.15 (x37)/Ask $11.25 (x14). Avg is $10.70. Quote in place since 10:53:34.599938811am EST.
- $170p 11/6: Bid $4.15 (x57)/Ask $5.20 (x22). Avg is $4.675 and gets rounded up to $4.68. Quote arrived at 10:53:34.599938811am.
- $200p 12/18: Bid $17.55 (x20)/Ask $18.30 (x1). Avg is $17.925 and gets rounded up to $17.93. Quote had been in place since 10:52:00.332782109am.
- $180p 12/18: Bid $10.75 (x21)/Ask $11.35 (x22). Avg is $11.05. That quote had been in place since 10:51:12.653243938am EST.
For continuity, we are attaching the screenshot, video and the original post. Hopefully we are not breaking any hearts. That is not the idea here.
🚨 We are not going to come out and say this screenshot is fake. You be the judge.
Our premise: a broker screen is one photograph. Robinhood (as an example) marks all five positions at the same instant, off the same MRNA price. So each mark is an independent witness to one moment. A real screenshot means all five witnesses tell the same story. A fabricated one is usually stitched together from prices taken at different times, from a chain, a chart or a "last" price. That's where it breaks.
1. No overlap. Under our strict settings, no single minute existed where all five marks were valid. These five prices never coexisted, so the screenshot couldn't have shown them together.
If the screenshot is a snapshot taken at one moment, then at that moment each contract was worth its displayed price, at the same time:
10/30 $180P = $5.08
11/6 $195P = $10.70
11/6 $170P = $4.68
12/18 $200P = $17.93
12/18 $180P = $11.05
These prices move together because they all hang off MRNA's stock price. When MRNA drops, all five rise, so a given stock price produces a particular combination of the five. Our minute test checked every minute of the day for whether each contract traded near its screenshot price. Under strict settings, no minute had all five at once. Each price was real at some point, but never all together.
2. The 11/6 $170P is the witness that pins the time. Liquid contracts like the 10/30 $180P (5,669 contracts traded) printed all day across a wide range, so almost any plausible price matches them at some point. The $170P was thin: 62 open interest, 52 minutes with prints. Thin contracts fit only a few moments, so they act like a timestamp. Under strict settings it pointed to 12:44 and nowhere else.
3. Two stock prices in one screenshot. The Dec $200P at $17.93 first fits at 09:35, when MRNA was about $238. The $170P at $4.68 fits at 12:44, when MRNA was around $200 after the crash. A $170 put with MRNA near $200, 15 days out and implied volatility around 140%, should be worth a lot more than $4.68. That would put MRNA at $238 and $200 on the same screen, which is impossible.
The thinnest contract is the timestamp, the timestamp is post-crash, and its price contradicts the stock level the other four imply.
When testing a screenshot, find the least liquid position. It's the hardest price for a faker to get right and the one that pins the time.
$MRNA
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Mega snipe on brewers. What a day. Discord calls are always retarded and always free. Never trail me expecting to win, but I post every bet of my life on here
discord.gg/togurts
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When I’m wrong, it was obvious and I’m the biggest idiot in the world for taking the trade.
When I’m right, it’s not possible, and must be insider trading.
You people on Twitter are miserable to be around.
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They got me on Robinhood now 😭😭😭
This is a blessing and huge full circle moment for me. So many hours spent on this app trying to make it out the mud when I was a freshman in college
I will say tho, implying that I played a role in nuking a 90 billion company is beyond retarded. Robinhood yall gotta lock in on da news 🤣
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TOGI retweeted
Holy shit Togi just mogged every big fintwit account.
It's OVER for you
The drug-doing, steroid-using CHAD vibeTRADER beat you at your OWN GAME
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