🚨 IT’S HAPPENING. Texas State has stormed back and taken the lead over Boise State! One game could completely shake up the G6 playoff race.

UCLA is undefeated and sitting alone atop the Big Ten standings at 5-0. So naturally, they’re the conference favorite, right? Not even close. 👀 Odds to win the Big Ten: 🔴 Ohio State: 60.8% 🔴 Indiana: 31.6% 🔵 UCLA: 4.8% And despite UCLA being 7-0, the Bruins have just a 45.6% chance of making the CFP. Today’s games could change a LOT: • Ohio State at USC • Northwestern at Oregon • Minnesota at Indiana • Wisconsin at Iowa Northwestern–Oregon is actually the #2 game nationally for CFP impact! Being first in the standings doesn’t necessarily mean being first in the projections. Full Big Ten standings, title odds and CFP chances 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

The Big 12 might be the most fascinating conference race in college football right now. 👀 Utah leads at 4-0. But FOUR teams are tied just behind at 3-1. And their CFP odds are all over the place: 🔴 Utah: 74.1% 🔵 BYU: 61.2% 🔴 Texas Tech: 50.7% 🔵 Arizona: 24.5% 🟠 Oklahoma State: 8.3% Today’s slate? Arizona vs. Texas Tech is the #1 game nationally for CFP impact. Utah vs. Cincinnati is #3. Arizona State vs. BYU is #10. And even Houston, sitting sixth in the standings, has a 37.2% CFP chance. The conference race and the playoff race are two VERY different things. See the full Big 12 title and CFP odds 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

Kentucky leads the SEC standings. But Georgia is still the heavy favorite to win the conference. 👀 The Rooting Guide’s Week 9 model: 🏆 Georgia: 48.6% to win the SEC 🏆 Alabama: 13.3% 🏆 LSU: 11.1% 🏆 Texas: 7.3% 🏆 Kentucky: 6.2% And Saturday could shake everything up: • Auburn at Ole Miss • Florida vs. Georgia • Mississippi State at Texas • Missouri at Arkansas Even Alabama and LSU fans have plenty riding on today’s results despite being on bye weeks. The SEC race is far from settled. Full standings, conference title odds and CFP chances 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

Week 9 rooting guide (@TheRootingGuide) this weekend for UNM’s CFP chances:

Not exactly a blockbuster Friday night college football slate with the 23rd, 43rd and 48th most impactful games of the week. But don't tell that to UTSA, Texas Tech, Ole Miss, Alabama or Houston fans. 👀 Tonight's three games have some surprisingly interesting CFP implications: 🏈 Charlotte upsetting Tulane would hurt UTSA's CFP odds by 2.6 points, but HELP Ole Miss by 1.2. 🏈 Baylor beating UCF would boost Texas Tech's chances by 1.6 points and Alabama's by 0.6. 🏈 Even Sacramento State upsetting Kent State would help Houston (+0.5) and BYU (+0.4). Your team doesn't have to be playing for tonight's games to matter.

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic isn’t exactly a game you’d expect to have national CFP implications. But tonight’s matchup matters to a LOT more teams than just North Texas, which is still in the G6 hunt. 👀 If FAU pulls the upset: 🔴 Indiana: -1.4 CFP points 🟢 Oregon State: +0.9 🟢 Boise State: +0.8 Even LSU has a 0.6-point CFP swing depending on the result! North Texas itself goes from a 3.9% CFP chance to just 0.3% with a loss. Just another example of why seemingly random college football games matter to fans across the country. See how tonight’s game impacts all 138 FBS teams 👇 therootingguide.com/game-imp…

Tennessee fans, after last week's loss, I wouldn't blame you for wanting to take a weekend off from college football. 🍊 But don't check out just yet. The Vols still have an 11.7% chance of making the CFP. And this weekend, some unlikely teams could help keep that dream alive. Auburn over Ole Miss: +2.5 CFP points Arkansas over Missouri: +2.0 South Carolina over Oklahoma: +0.9 Tennessee can't bounce back on the field this Saturday. But its playoff chances can still get a boost. Here's who Vols fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

Houston fans, your CFP chances might be a LOT better than you think. 👀 The Cougars enter their bye week with a 37.7% chance of making the playoff, with most of that coming through the at-large path. And this weekend, you're suddenly HUGE Texas Tech fans. A Tech win over Arizona helps Houston (+1.6 points). But a Tech LOSS? That's the real story. Houston's CFP odds would fall by 4.6 points if Arizona wins. That makes Arizona vs. Texas Tech one of the biggest games of Houston's weekend. Here's who Cougar fans should root for 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ho…

LSU fans, your bye-week rooting guide is getting a little weird. 🐯 First, you're pulling for Auburn to beat Ole Miss. (+3.2 CFP points) Then you're rooting for Arkansas over Missouri. (+1.9) And somehow, one of the biggest games for LSU's playoff hopes is... Arizona State vs. BYU. 🌵 An ASU upset would boost LSU's CFP chances by 4.6 points. Nothing says SEC football quite like suddenly becoming an Arizona State fan. LSU sits at 44.9% CFP odds. Here's who Tiger fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=LS…

Kentucky fans, I know bye weeks have traditionally been reserved for turning your attention to basketball. 🏀 But not this year! The Wildcats are 7-1 with a 37.8% chance of making the CFP, and there are plenty of important games to watch this weekend. In fact, the #1 game on Kentucky's rooting guide? Louisiana Tech vs. South Alabama. Yes. Seriously. 😂 Turns out, Kentucky fans have a reason to become South Alabama fans this Saturday. Football season isn't over in Lexington just yet. Here's who Kentucky fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ke…

Alabama fans, this bye week is about to test your loyalty. 🐘 Your two biggest potential allies on Saturday? Mississippi State and… Auburn. 🤢 A Mississippi State upset of Texas would boost Alabama’s CFP odds by 8.8 points. An Auburn win over Ole Miss adds another 3.0 points. And South Carolina beating Oklahoma? Another 2.7. With Alabama sitting at 49.9% CFP odds, desperate times might call for some very uncomfortable cheers. Here’s who Bama fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Al…

UTSA fans, you might be one Boise State loss away from becoming the G6 CFP favorite. 👀 The Roadrunners have a 20.1% chance of reaching the playoff heading into their bye week. But if Texas State upsets Boise State? UTSA’s modeled CFP chances jump by a massive 16.8 percentage points. That’s potentially 36.9% without UTSA even taking the field. Who knew Roadrunner fans would be the biggest Texas State supporters in America this Saturday? Here’s who UTSA should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=UT…

Boise State leads the G6 playoff race. Texas State could blow it wide open. A Bobcats upset would lift our modeled CFP odds: 🐦 UTSA: 20.1% → 36.9% 🦅 North Texas: 4.7% → 11.6% 🐺 New Mexico: 3.2% → 6.7% The exception? 🦫 Oregon State benefits from Boise winning this week—and gets its own shot at the Broncos Nov. 14. 👀

Texas State could do UTSA and North Texas a massive favor. Alabama fans have a reason to learn Navy’s fight song. And LSU’s biggest chance for outside help is in Provo. Five results that could change the playoff race for teams watching from elsewhere 👇

The Big 12 reshuffled the playoff race. Arizona found an opening. Texas Tech lost a huge cushion—but still has coin-flip CFP odds. UTSA is getting harder to ignore. Oregon’s playoff hopes are disappearing fast. The biggest playoff moves of the week 👇

I am officially Monitoring the Northwestern-to-the-College-Football-Playoff Situation

BYU fans have a reason to root for Utah—and it isn’t conference pride. BYU plays Utah. It doesn’t play Houston. A Houston win keeps a contender firmly in the Big 12 race that BYU can’t hand a loss directly. A Utah win gives Houston its second conference loss while preserving a stronger future opponent for BYU. The difference in our model: BYU’s chance to reach the Big 12 title game: 📈 Utah wins: 56% 📉 Houston wins: 51% Houston’s own title-game chances swing from 47.8% with a win to just 3.2% with a loss. That’s different from Utah fans backing BYU against Notre Dame. That matchup could hurt an outside playoff contender without giving anyone a Big 12 loss. This one is about WHICH conference contender takes the damage. The net CFP result favors Utah, too: +1.6 percentage points for BYU with a Utah win, versus −2.9 with Houston. Rivalries don’t always agree with the math. Full BYU rooting guide: therootingguide.com/?team=BY…