Winning your game doesn’t always mean winning the weekend. Some of this week’s CFP odds swings were predictable. These were more interesting: 📉 Indiana, BYU and Notre Dame fell after wins. 📈 LSU and Alabama climbed on byes. 📉 UTSA and Houston fell on byes. BYU’s twist: the weekend’s results actually HELPED. But BYU’s strength rating slipped while Utah and Baylor improved, making its remaining schedule tougher. UTSA’s conference title odds barely moved. Its CFP odds fell 8.3 points as Boise State tightened its grip on the G6 spot. Your team’s result is only part of the story.

“Right back in the mix” might be an understatement! 👀 USC entered the weekend with just 6.7% modeled CFP odds. But beating #2 Ohio State was worth an enormous +19.1 percentage points in our pregame model. A loss would’ve pushed those odds down another 3.9 points. The Trojans went from staring at elimination to having a real reason to believe again. And it’s fascinating to see which OTHER results around college football helped or hurt USC today. The Rooting Guide tracks them all 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=US…

HOW ARE WE FEELING?! I’d say a whole lot better about USC’s CFP chances 😂✌️ A 30–18 upset of #2 Ohio State is exactly the kind of signature win the Trojans desperately needed. Our model had a staggering 23-percentage-point difference between a USC win and loss. And the fun doesn’t stop with the final whistle. Want to see which other games today helped USC’s playoff chances, and which ones hurt? The Rooting Guide breaks down every matchup 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=US…

TROJANS. NEVER. FLINCH. ✌️🔥 And that 30–18 win over #2 Ohio State may have saved USC’s playoff season. Our pregame model had: ✅ USC wins: +19.1 CFP pts ❌ Ohio State wins: −3.9 pts That’s a massive 23-point difference between the two outcomes! One of the biggest CFP-altering results of the weekend. And if Trojan fans are curious how the OTHER games today impacted their playoff hopes, The Rooting Guide breaks down every matchup 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=US…

Whatever you would rather! 😂

8–0, and now the Bruins take their perfect record on the road to Minnesota! 🔵🟡 But UCLA fans have some other games worth watching before next weekend. The Rooting Guide had the Bruins at 45.6% CFP odds entering today, and a Nevada upset would’ve been absolutely devastating (−26.6 points). Instead, UCLA took care of business. Now Bruins fans can root for USC over Ohio State, Mississippi State over Texas, and San Diego State over Washington State! Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=UC…

First Rose Bowl shutout since 2007 AND an 8–0 start? Pretty incredible. 👀 Yet UCLA entered today with only a 45.6% modeled chance of making the CFP. Today’s 27–0 domination should certainly strengthen the Bruins’ case. And if UCLA fans want to keep watching college football tonight, there are some interesting rooting interests: 🔵 USC over Ohio State: +2.0 CFP pts 🔵 Mississippi State over Texas: +2.2 Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=UC…

8–0! And a shutout to keep the perfect season rolling! 🔵🟡 UCLA entered today with 45.6% modeled CFP odds. The 27–0 win over Nevada keeps the Bruins unbeaten, and that dominant performance could strengthen their résumé even beyond the pregame projection. But the scoreboard watching isn’t over! USC beating Ohio State (+2.0 CFP pts) and Mississippi State upsetting Texas (+2.2) would both help UCLA. Here’s what matters next for the Bruins 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=UC…

7–1. Another one in the win column. And a MASSIVE Holy War on deck! 🔵 That 27–20 win over Arizona State wasn’t always pretty, but it protected BYU from a result that would’ve been devastating to its CFP path. Our pregame model showed a 36.7-point difference between a BYU win and loss. And if Cougar fans want to keep watching college football tonight with BYU’s playoff hopes in mind: 🔵 Iowa State over Oklahoma State: +4.6 CFP pts 🔵 Mississippi State over Texas: +2.0 🔵 North Carolina over Miami: +1.2 Here’s what matters next for BYU 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=BY…

Not pretty, but BYU kept the dream alive. 🔵⚪ An ASU upset would’ve knocked 34.3 points off BYU’s modeled CFP odds. Instead, the Cougars survive and set up an absolutely MASSIVE Holy War against undefeated Utah next week. And the scoreboard watching isn’t over tonight! An Iowa State win over Oklahoma State would help BYU by 4.6 CFP points, while Mississippi State upsetting Texas adds another 2.0. Here’s what matters next for BYU 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=BY…

“Escape” is definitely the right word 😂 BYU didn’t win pretty, but they avoided a potentially devastating blow to their CFP hopes. Our pregame model: ✅ BYU win: +2.4 CFP pts ❌ ASU win: −34.3 pts That’s a massive 36.7-point difference between the two outcomes! And now we’re getting an 8–0 Utah vs. 7–1 BYU Holy War with enormous stakes. If Cougar fans want to keep watching football tonight, here’s who to root for 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=BY…

7–1 New Mexico football. What a time to be alive indeed! 🐺 And there’s even more reason for Lobos fans to stay glued to college football tonight. New Mexico entered the weekend with a 4.2% CFP chance. A Texas State upset of Boise State would add another 5.0 modeled points to those odds! That’s a potentially MASSIVE result in the G6 playoff race. The Rooting Guide shows exactly how every other game impacts New Mexico’s CFP path. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ne…

7–1. 4–0 in conference play. And the Lobos are legitimately in the CFP conversation! 🐺 New Mexico entered today with 4.2% playoff odds, and the win over San José State keeps that dream alive. But the BIGGEST game for Lobos fans is still to come. Texas State upsetting Boise State tonight would boost New Mexico’s modeled CFP odds by a massive 5.0 percentage points! New Mexico handled its own business. Now it’s time to become Texas State fans. 😂 Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ne…

That’s a comeback Oregon absolutely HAD to have. 🦆 The Ducks entered today with only 4.8% modeled CFP odds. A Northwestern win would’ve taken another 4.8 points off that already narrow path. Instead, Oregon’s win adds 1.4 modeled points. And if Ducks fans want to keep watching football tonight with their playoff hopes in mind, there’s still plenty to root for! The Rooting Guide breaks down the impact of every game, including those already finished. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Or…

Still. Not. Dead. 🦆 Oregon’s CFP chances were just 4.8% entering today, and a Northwestern loss would’ve made that path even narrower. Instead, a 34–26 win gives the Ducks another reason to keep dreaming. And the scoreboard watching isn’t over! Oregon fans should be rooting for Fresno State over Oregon State tonight, among other results. Here’s how every remaining game impacts Oregon’s CFP hopes 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Or…

Don’t bury the Ducks just yet! 🦆 Oregon’s 34–26 comeback over Northwestern was a BIG win for its slim CFP hopes. The Ducks entered today with just 4.8% playoff odds, but: ✅ Oregon win: +1.4 CFP pts ❌ Northwestern win: −4.8 pts Still a long shot? Absolutely. But Oregon is still alive, and there are other games tonight that could help! Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Or…

8–1 and another important win for the Hoosiers! 🔴⚪ Indiana entered today with 92.7% CFP odds, but a Minnesota loss would’ve been devastating (−30.0 points in our pregame model!). Now, if Hoosier fans want to keep watching football with Indiana’s CFP hopes in mind: 🔴 Ohio State over USC: +0.4 pts 🔴 Mississippi State over Texas: +0.9 And The Rooting Guide shows how every other game today impacts Indiana’s playoff path. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=In…

27–8. Four turnovers forced. Over 200 rushing yards. That’s how you handle business ahead of one of the biggest games of the SEC season. 🐶 Georgia’s win over Florida puts its modeled CFP path at 86.5%, compared with just 49.0% had the Gators won. And now the Dawgs get Ole Miss next week, with major SEC title implications. But before then, Georgia fans have some other games to root for, including Mississippi State upsetting Texas (+2.2 CFP pts). Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ge…

Georgia’s defense picked a pretty good time to make a statement. 🐶 Four takeaways, eight points allowed, and a huge 27–8 win over Florida. The Dawgs entered today with 81.3% modeled CFP odds. Beating Florida adds 5.2 points in our pregame model. And with Ole Miss looming next week, Georgia has put itself in a much stronger position. Still some games worth scoreboard-watching tonight, including Mississippi State–Texas! Here’s what matters next for Georgia 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ge…

It’s a great day to be a Dawg indeed! 🐶 Georgia didn’t just beat Florida 27–8. They protected their CFP hopes in a BIG way. Our pregame model had: ✅ Georgia win: 86.5% CFP chance ❌ Florida win: 49.0% That’s a 37.5-point difference between the two outcomes! And now comes a massive showdown with Ole Miss next week. But first, here’s what matters for Georgia the rest of today 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ge…

Hard to ask for much more than that on the road! Utah is 8–0, and a 49–25 win at Cincinnati is exactly the kind of result that strengthens both the résumé and the CFP outlook. Our pregame model had: ✅ Utah win: +7.1 CFP pts ❌ Utah loss: −23.6 pts That’s a 30.7-point difference between the two outcomes! And with the Holy War looming, the Utes have given themselves some valuable margin for error. Here’s what matters next, including the other games today that help Utah 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ut…

8–0 heading into the Holy War. Hard to write a much better script than that. 👀 And today’s road win at Cincinnati was huge for Utah’s CFP path. The Rooting Guide had Utah at 74.1% pregame CFP odds, with a win adding 7.1 modeled points. That gives the Utes a little more breathing room heading into next week’s enormous rivalry matchup. And Utah fans still have games worth following tonight, including Arkansas–Missouri and Oklahoma State–Iowa State! Here’s what matters next for Utah 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ut…

8–0. A 24-point road win. And suddenly that “Utah hasn’t played anybody” argument is getting harder to make. 🔴⚪ The Utes entered today with 74.1% CFP odds, and beating Cincinnati adds another 7.1 modeled points! That’s a little more breathing room heading into a MASSIVE Holy War next week. But Utah fans aren’t done scoreboard-watching today. Here’s what matters next, including how every other game impacts their CFP chances 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ut…

51–7! That’s one way to make a statement. 🎩🔥 Wake Forest is 7–1 and increasingly difficult to ignore in the CFP conversation. Our pregame model gave the Deacs a 16.6% chance to reach the playoff, and today’s dominant win could strengthen that case even further. But the scoreboard watching isn’t over! 🔸 Mississippi State over Texas: +1.7 CFP pts 🔸 Georgia Tech over Pitt: +1.1 🔸 Fresno State over Oregon State: +0.4 Here’s what matters next for Wake Forest 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Wa…

Hard to argue with that kind of dominance. Wake Forest is becoming one of the most interesting stories in college football. 🎩 The Deacs entered today with a 16.6% modeled CFP chance, and a 51–7 win could give them an even bigger boost than the pregame model anticipated. But here’s what’s fascinating: Wake’s playoff hopes are also tied to games all over the country. Mississippi State beating Texas, Georgia Tech beating Pitt, and even Fresno State beating Oregon State would all help. The Rooting Guide shows the impact of every other game today, including those already finished. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Wa…

At this rate, Wake Forest might force the entire country to pay attention 😂🎩 7–1. Another blowout. And a legitimate CFP path. Our model had Wake at 16.6% CFP odds entering today, with the Virginia win providing a 1.6-point boost. And that 51–7 demolition could make the Deacs’ résumé look even better than the pregame projections. Still plenty to root for tonight, including Mississippi State over Texas (+1.7 pts)! Here’s what matters next for Wake 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Wa…

187–31 over four games is ridiculous. At some point, we have to stop treating Wake Forest like an afterthought in the CFP race. 👀 The Deacs entered today with 16.6% modeled CFP odds, and a 51–7 beatdown could make their case even stronger than the pregame model projected. And they’re not done getting help today! Mississippi State over Texas (+1.7 pts) and Georgia Tech over Pitt (+1.1) would both help. The Rooting Guide also shows how every other game today impacts Wake’s CFP path. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Wa…

That’s one way to get right before Georgia comes to town! 👀 Ole Miss’s 45–15 win over Auburn was enormous for its CFP path. The Rooting Guide’s pregame model: 🔵 Win: 40.4% CFP chance 🔴 Loss: 11.6% And there’s still help available elsewhere today, including Nevada upsetting UCLA (+2.8 CFP points) and Cincinnati beating Utah (+1.3). Ole Miss did its job. Now Rebel fans have a few more games to keep an eye on. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ol…

28 unanswered points to finish the game. And a MASSIVE win for Ole Miss’s CFP hopes. 🔴🔵 Our model shows just how much was riding on this one: ✅ Ole Miss win: 40.4% CFP odds ❌ Auburn win: 11.6% That’s a 28.8 percentage-point difference! The Rebels handled business before next week’s huge Georgia matchup. And there are still other games today that could help their playoff chances. Here’s what matters next for Ole Miss 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ol…

45–15 is a statement. But the CFP implications might be even bigger. 👀 Ole Miss entered today with 33.8% modeled playoff odds. Beating Auburn puts them on the 40.4% path. A loss would’ve dropped that to just 11.6%. That’s a 28.8 percentage-point swing between the two outcomes. And now comes Georgia next week. The Rebels took care of the must-win game. The next one could define their season. Here’s what matters next for Ole Miss 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ol…

Auburn might be seeing ghosts after that one 😂 Ole Miss didn’t just win 45–15. They avoided a result that would’ve been devastating to their CFP hopes. Our pregame model had: ✅ Ole Miss win: 40.4% CFP chance ❌ Auburn win: 11.6% A massive 28.8-point difference! The Rebels handled business ahead of next week’s showdown with Georgia. Here’s what matters next for Ole Miss 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Ol…

Ring the bells! 🔴⚫ That 34–26 victory was absolutely massive for Texas Tech’s Big 12 title hopes. The Red Raiders entered with a 39.6% chance of reaching the conference championship game. With a win? 50.9%. Had they lost? Just 8.5%. A 42.4-point swing between the two outcomes! And there’s still plenty for Tech fans to root for today. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

34 very ethical points. And a VERY valuable win 😂 Our model had Texas Tech’s CFP chances improving by 10.2 points with today’s victory. But the bigger story might be the Big 12 championship race. A win puts Tech’s modeled title-game chances at 50.9%, compared with just 8.5% had Arizona won. And now Red Raider fans can turn their attention to rooting for Cincinnati over Utah and Arizona State over BYU. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

Not dead yet? Tech might be in better shape than people realize! 👀 Today’s win over Arizona was enormous for the Big 12 title race. Texas Tech’s modeled chances of reaching the championship game: ✅ With a win: 50.9% ❌ With a loss: 8.5% That’s a staggering 42.4 percentage-point difference. And their CFP odds get a 10.2-point boost from the win! Here’s who Texas Tech fans should root for the rest of today 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

STATEMENT WIN is right! 🔴⚫ That 34–26 victory was absolutely massive for Texas Tech’s Big 12 title hopes. The Red Raiders entered with a 39.6% chance of reaching the conference championship game. With a win? 50.9%. Had they lost? Just 8.5%. A 42.4-point swing between the two outcomes! And there’s still plenty for Tech fans to root for today. Here’s what matters next 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…

Got the win, and now all eyes turn to Miami! ☘️ Notre Dame entered the weekend with a 91.5% chance of making the CFP, so the Irish largely control their own destiny. But if ND fans are watching the rest of college football today, there are still some games worth rooting for! ☘️ Purdue over Penn State: +1.6 CFP pts ☘️ Mississippi State over Texas: +1.2 ☘️ Oregon over Northwestern: +0.3 Here’s what matters next for Notre Dame 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=No…

Iowa just beat Wisconsin 30–0. Apparently the Badgers weren’t invited to participate today 😂 The CFP is still a long shot (1.9% pregame odds), but that kind of domination certainly doesn’t hurt the résumé. And Hawkeye fans can keep scoreboard-watching: 🟡 Minnesota over Indiana: +0.8 CFP pts 🟡 Northwestern over Oregon: +0.7 Here’s who Iowa should root for the rest of today 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Io…

30–0! Quite the statement from Iowa. 🦅 The Hawkeyes entered the weekend with just a 1.9% CFP chance, but a beatdown like that could make their résumé look even better than the pregame model anticipated. Still a long shot, but there’s plenty left to root for today! Minnesota over Indiana (+0.8 CFP pts) and Northwestern over Oregon (+0.7) would both help. Here’s what matters next for Iowa 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Io…

Not the prettiest 35–13 win, but Notre Dame got the job done! With 91.5% pregame CFP odds, the Irish largely control their own path. The upcoming Miami game is obviously huge. But there are still some interesting games for ND fans to follow today, including Purdue–Penn State and Mississippi State–Texas. Here’s how the rest of today’s slate impacts the Irish’s CFP hopes 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=No…

The Irish’s CFP fate is largely in their own hands, especially with that huge Miami game coming up. ☘️ But if you’re watching the rest of today’s games with Notre Dame in mind, there are some interesting rooting interests! Purdue over Penn State (+1.6 CFP pts) and Mississippi State over Texas (+1.2) would both help. Here’s what matters next for ND 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=No…

Completely agree!

UCLA is undefeated and sitting alone atop the Big Ten standings at 5-0. So naturally, they’re the conference favorite, right? Not even close. 👀 Odds to win the Big Ten: 🔴 Ohio State: 60.8% 🔴 Indiana: 31.6% 🔵 UCLA: 4.8% And despite UCLA being 7-0, the Bruins have just a 45.6% chance of making the CFP. Today’s games could change a LOT: • Ohio State at USC • Northwestern at Oregon • Minnesota at Indiana • Wisconsin at Iowa Northwestern–Oregon is actually the #2 game nationally for CFP impact! Being first in the standings doesn’t necessarily mean being first in the projections. Full Big Ten standings, title odds and CFP chances 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

The Big 12 might be the most fascinating conference race in college football right now. 👀 Utah leads at 4-0. But FOUR teams are tied just behind at 3-1. And their CFP odds are all over the place: 🔴 Utah: 74.1% 🔵 BYU: 61.2% 🔴 Texas Tech: 50.7% 🔵 Arizona: 24.5% 🟠 Oklahoma State: 8.3% Today’s slate? Arizona vs. Texas Tech is the #1 game nationally for CFP impact. Utah vs. Cincinnati is #3. Arizona State vs. BYU is #10. And even Houston, sitting sixth in the standings, has a 37.2% CFP chance. The conference race and the playoff race are two VERY different things. See the full Big 12 title and CFP odds 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

Kentucky leads the SEC standings. But Georgia is still the heavy favorite to win the conference. 👀 The Rooting Guide’s Week 9 model: 🏆 Georgia: 48.6% to win the SEC 🏆 Alabama: 13.3% 🏆 LSU: 11.1% 🏆 Texas: 7.3% 🏆 Kentucky: 6.2% And Saturday could shake everything up: • Auburn at Ole Miss • Florida vs. Georgia • Mississippi State at Texas • Missouri at Arkansas Even Alabama and LSU fans have plenty riding on today’s results despite being on bye weeks. The SEC race is far from settled. Full standings, conference title odds and CFP chances 👇 therootingguide.com/conferen…

Not exactly a blockbuster Friday night college football slate with the 23rd, 43rd and 48th most impactful games of the week. But don't tell that to UTSA, Texas Tech, Ole Miss, Alabama or Houston fans. 👀 Tonight's three games have some surprisingly interesting CFP implications: 🏈 Charlotte upsetting Tulane would hurt UTSA's CFP odds by 2.6 points, but HELP Ole Miss by 1.2. 🏈 Baylor beating UCF would boost Texas Tech's chances by 1.6 points and Alabama's by 0.6. 🏈 Even Sacramento State upsetting Kent State would help Houston (+0.5) and BYU (+0.4). Your team doesn't have to be playing for tonight's games to matter.

Here’s an interesting wrinkle to tonight’s win: Most people aren’t talking about North Texas as a CFP contender. But our model still gives the Mean Green a path. Tonight kept those hopes alive. Next week’s UTSA game could be pivotal. And this weekend? UNT fans should be rooting against Boise State and Oregon State 👀 therootingguide.com/?team=No…

Most people have already written off North Texas in the CFP race. Not our model 👀🟢 Tonight’s win keeps the Mean Green in the hunt. Next week’s showdown with UTSA is HUGE. In the meantime? Root AGAINST Boise State and Oregon State. Here’s UNT’s rooting guide: therootingguide.com/?team=No…

North Texas vs. Florida Atlantic isn’t exactly a game you’d expect to have national CFP implications. But tonight’s matchup matters to a LOT more teams than just North Texas, which is still in the G6 hunt. 👀 If FAU pulls the upset: 🔴 Indiana: -1.4 CFP points 🟢 Oregon State: +0.9 🟢 Boise State: +0.8 Even LSU has a 0.6-point CFP swing depending on the result! North Texas itself goes from a 3.9% CFP chance to just 0.3% with a loss. Just another example of why seemingly random college football games matter to fans across the country. See how tonight’s game impacts all 138 FBS teams 👇 therootingguide.com/game-imp…

Yes! A Georgia loss would actually boost LSU’s CFP odds by 1.0 percentage point! It ranks a little lower on our “importance” scale for two reasons: Importance considers both the impact of a result AND how likely it is. Our model gives Georgia a 90% chance of winning. There’s a trade-off! Georgia losing helps LSU’s SEC title path, but a Florida upset would also make the Gators a much bigger at-large threat (Florida’s at-large odds jump from 16.5% to 35.4%). So Florida is definitely the team to root for, but the competing impacts make the net benefit smaller than you might expect. That’s what makes this fun! Almost every game has implications for LSU, and you can explore them all on the site.

Tennessee fans, after last week's loss, I wouldn't blame you for wanting to take a weekend off from college football. 🍊 But don't check out just yet. The Vols still have an 11.7% chance of making the CFP. And this weekend, some unlikely teams could help keep that dream alive. Auburn over Ole Miss: +2.5 CFP points Arkansas over Missouri: +2.0 South Carolina over Oklahoma: +0.9 Tennessee can't bounce back on the field this Saturday. But its playoff chances can still get a boost. Here's who Vols fans should root for this weekend 👇 therootingguide.com/?team=Te…