Prediction market data discovery tools for researchers, reporters, and analysts.
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TickerTracker retweeted
More than 70% of Kalshi's volume came from parlays for the seven-day period that ended on Sunday, per @TickerTracker_.
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The Centipede Combo of the Week had a 98.5% hit rate. Good effort out there.
- 400 legs
- $21.50 to win $5,000 (~+23000)
- 6 misses (1 void)
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TickerTracker retweeted
Fascinating data from @Eric_Ramsey @TickerTracker_:
Combos with 20 or more legs at Kalshi went from 3.5% of the total in July to 17% in September, and the average combo contract went from 8 legs to 13 over that span.
About 10% of all combos traded in September settled Yes, a hit rate that falls to 2.7% for combos with 10+ legs and 1.5% for those with 20 or more. Across the combos with 100 or more legs, two have settled Yes and 5,272 settled No.
More in this morning’s Event Horizon.
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The three NBA tipoff games on Tuesday night produced a combined $114 million in trading volume on Kalshi -- about as much as three typical NFL games.
OKC/SAS > PHI/NYK by a smidge.
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🏆 Centipede Combo of the Week(™) on Kalshi
- 320 legs
- $0.16 to win $106 (~+65000)
- 26 misses (5 voids; 13 still open)
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Saturday was another record day of volume for Kalshi and its first above $4 billion -- almost 20x bigger than the same Saturday last year.
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TickerTracker retweeted
Polymarket US crypto volume doing well since 15-min up/down launch < 30d ago 📈
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🏆 Centipede Combo of the Week(™) on Kalshi
- 453 legs
- $47 to win $1,462 (~+3000)
- 27 misses (7 voids; 28 still open)
- Lost before the 1 p.m. games kicked off
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More than $10 billion was traded across tracked prediction market platforms this weekend -- up 11% from last weekend to a new two-day record.
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Sydney Sweeney and a 21+ pledge: Novig’s fearless path to $2 billion (via @nextpredictio)
nextpredict.io/market-news/i…
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Kalshi recorded a record $3.7 billion in Sunday volume and more than $7.1 billion for the weekend.
Sports + combos made up 91% of volume on both days.
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Football trading Saturday + Sunday combined:
- Straight markets: $897 million (13% of total)
- Football combos: $3.1 billion (44%)
- Total: $4.0 billion (56%)
Football legs made up 63% of all combos for the weekend. Soccer was #2 at 14%.
About 8% of combo contracts had more than 20 legs.
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TickerTracker retweeted
I do a weekly podcast about prediction markets at The Event Horizon, and I am terrible at sharing clips from. This week, talked PM volume with @Eric_Ramsey of @TickerTracker_. Available on Spotify and Apple Podcasts
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Sunday on Kalshi: Another volume record at $3.04 billion, just a few bucks ahead of Saturday. It is the sixth time Kalshi has bested its own single-day record in September.
Rams/Broncos moves to #2 on the list of NFL regular-season games, behind only Colts/Chiefs in Week 2.
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Kalshi set another single-day volume record yesterday, its second straight Saturday above $3 billion.
Sports + Combos were >90% of the total.
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