NEW ABACUS POLL: Doug Ford's PCs have slipped to 40% as their lead narrows in Ontario.
PC: 40% (-2)
Liberal: 32% (+1)
NDP: 20% (+3)
Green: 4%
Other: 4%
The PC lead has fallen from 11 to 8 points since August.
abacusdata.ca/ford-pcs-slip-…
NEW ABACUS POLL: Seven in ten Ontarians want a change in government.
52% say it's definitely time for change.
18% would like a change but don't feel strongly.
Only 19% definitely want Ford's PCs re-elected.
Yet the PCs still lead by 8 points.
abacusdata.ca/ford-pcs-slip-…
NEW ABACUS POLL: Doug Ford's government continues to face more disapproval than approval.
Approve: 36%
Disapprove: 43%
Neither: 18%
Government approval is unchanged since August, but disapproval is up 2 points.
abacusdata.ca/ford-pcs-slip-…
Remain voters appear more certain of their decision than Option 2 supporters.
84% of Remain voters say their choice is completely firm.
Among Option 2 supporters, it's 61%.
As Albertans vote today, the evidence suggests Remain supporters are increasingly determined to vote.
abacusdata.ca/days-before-al…
Albertans expect a much closer referendum than our polling suggests.
Average predicted Option 2 vote: 40%
Actual Option 2 vote intention: 24%
Option 2 supporters expect their side to win 57% of the vote.
Today's result could surprise a lot of Albertans.
abacusdata.ca/days-before-al…
As the results come in, don't let the separatists now pretend, after months of trying to tell people otherwise, that every option 2 vote was a vote to separate. We know that every option 1 vote was, as the ballot states, a vote for Alberta to remain a province in Canada.
Abacus Data is coming to Saskatchewan.
Later this week, we will start to release our first deep dive into public opinion in the province.
After Winnipeg, we're moving west to do here what we've done across Canada: regular, rigorous polling, and a quarterly omnibus for clients.
What are Canadians saying about housing—and what does it mean for the conversations happening at #CREAPAC26?
Thank you @DavidDoletto, CEO of @abacusdataca for sharing insights on Canadians’ views on the state of housing and what those perspectives tell us about the political landscape shaping the issue today. #CREAPAC26#cdnpoli
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Que pensent les Canadiens du logement, et qu’est-ce que cela signifie pour les conversations qui ont lieu au cours des Journées #CAP26ACI?
Merci à David Coletto, PDG de Abacus Data, d’avoir partagé ses analyses sur le point de vue des Canadiens concernant la situation du logement et sur ce que ces perspectives nous apprennent du paysage politique qui influence cet enjeu majeur aujourd’hui. #CAP26ACI#polcan
New Abacus Data poll: Tomorrow's Alberta's referendum looks less competitive than many Albertans expect.
Remain: 68%
Option 2: 24%
Undecided: 7%
Albertans predict Option 2 will receive 40% of the vote, well above its current support.
abacusdata.ca/days-before-al…