Professor, @uottawagspia. Focus on Middle East (Iran, Yemen), security & intelligence. Former department of national defence analyst.
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My new op-ed: the end of the luxury of a cost-free foreign policy for Canada
"Canada has benefitted from an incredible luxury for the past three decades: we have been able to make mistakes in major foreign and national security policy decisions...
theglobeandmail.com/opinion/…
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
كيف أصبح الحوثيون قوة إقليمية رغم التفوق العسكري السعودي؟
يرى توماس جونو @thomasjuneau، زميل باحث غير مقيم في مركز صنعاء، في تصريحات لوكالة فرانس برس، أن الدعم الإيراني بالصواريخ والمسيّرات مكّن الحوثيين من فرض ميزان قوى غير متكافئ مع السعودية، ومنحهم ورقة ضغط قوية عليها، وعزز الموقف التفاوضي لإيران.
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"Without Iranian assistance, the Houthis would not be a regional power today," says Juneau.
The Houthis have also benefited from recruiting elements of the former national army, forging alliances with tribes and, most importantly, the "weakness" of the government, which is plagued with internal divisions.
france24.com/en/live-news/20…
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"What the Carney government appears to be making as a choice is not to restrict diversification efforts only to democracies, only to countries that have positive human rights records," said Juneau...
"This is morally a difficult dilemma on the Canadian side, but the calculus appears on the part of the government that if Canada were to choose to diversify only with democracies the ceiling for success would be low."
cbc.ca/news/politics/canada-…
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Very nice to receive the proofs for our next book - co-authored with @stevenelobell, @n_ripsman and @lprubin73 - on the grand strategies of Middle East states, available in 2027 with Columbia University Press:
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
The war between Yemen’s Ansar Allah and Saudi Arabia continues to rage, with the city of Taiz under siege and dozens of recruits killed in a missile attack. Saudi Arabia has canceled flights and international conferences, dealing a severe blow to the kingdom’s ambitions. In the latest episode of badlands, University of Ottawa professor @thomasjuneau joins me to offer up his well-informed assessments of the Houthis’ ambitions, capabilities, and ties with its patron, Iran. I also discuss the latest from the Middle East and cautions against confusing analysis and journalism for advocacy.
Made with AI
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
Really interesting to @alimuratkursun's perspective on increasing risks of conflict between Turkey and Israel!
warontherocks.com/episode/th…
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My interview in @globeandmail yesterday, on PM Carney's trip to Turkey:
-Turkey is at best a competitive autocracy
-Criticizing Turkey's domestic politics would be pointless - and counterproductive
-Canada should still engage and try to deepen relations
theglobeandmail.com/politics…
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
How did the Houthis emerge as a regional power?
In the History Undone podcast, Thomas Juneau (@thomasjuneau), a non-resident research fellow with the Sana’a Center, discusses the origins of the Houthi movement, its evolving relationship with Iran, and its transformation from a local armed group into a regional power.
🎧 Listen to the full episode:
piped.video/watch?v=lio2Pm9y…
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Le 10 novembre à 18h au Centre Rogers, j'aurai le privilège de discuter - en français - avec la générale Jennie Carignan, Chef d’état-major de la Défense du Canada.
On 10 November at 18h at the Rogers Centre, I will have the privilege of hosting a Q&A discussion with Canada's Chief of the Defence Staff, Gen Jennie Carignan (the event will be in French but simultaneous translation will be available).
Détails:
eventbrite.com/e/billets-ser…
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Devastating news. Aziz was one of the best analysts on the Gulf. He was always extremely kind and interesting. (we were once locked out of the compound for our conference hotel together, quite late at night, and had to negotiate for an hour with security to let us back in)
إنا لله وإنا إليه راجعون
بقلوب مؤمنة بقضاء الله وقدره، ننعى إليكم وفاة صاحب هذا الحساب
سائلين الله أن يتغمده بواسع رحمته ويسكنه فسيح جناته.
ستُقام صلاة الجنازة يوم الاثنين 19 أكتوبر 2026، بعد صلاة العصر في جامع الملك خالد بأم الحمام، والدفن في مقبرة عرقة.
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
By yours truly: "The Committee of Six and Strategic Decision Making in Iran" @GulfStatesInst Blog Post October 16, 2026: shorturl.at/vT8FC
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RT @HamidRezaAz: My first @CrisisGroup commentary:
How War is Reshaping #Iran’s Axis of Resistance
Three years of hostilities have transf…
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What will be remembered about Katie Zacharia is that she was the perfect embodiment of what the Trump Administration represents.
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Thomas Juneau retweeted
Saudi Arabia has spent billions on cutting-edge air defence systems like Patriot and THAAD. So why are Houthi missiles and drones still reaching high-value targets such as Riyadh’s King Khalid International Airport?
I spoke to defence experts & researchers about the challenges facing modern air and missile defence, from drone swarms and saturation attacks to interceptor shortages.
The report further examines the alleged role of Iranian support in the evolution of Houthi missile and drone capabilities, as well as the group's own efforts to develop increasingly sophisticated weapons.
Read the full story for BBC Urdu: bbc.com/urdu/articles/cm98z5… #SaudiArabia #Houthis #Yemen #MiddleEast #AirDefense #Missiles #Drones #Iran #DefenseAnalysis #BBCUrdu
@fab_hinz @thomasjuneau @IISS_org @HammadWaleed7
bbc.com/urdu/articles/cm98z5…
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It was great to be on the History Undone podcast to talk about the Houthis: the background to their emergence, the development of their increasingly close relations with Iran, and the story of their rise as a regional power:
piped.video/watch?v=lio2Pm9y…
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My interview with the Australian Broadcsting Corp: why is there a spike in Iranian attacks in the Persian Gulf, and could this push the US to resume attacks on Iran?
abc.net.au/news/2026-10-15/a…
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Happening today at 17h: join us at the University of Ottawa as I talk to Wayne Eyre, who retired in 2024 as Chief of the Defence Staff, about his new book, Into the Breach.
Details here:
cips-cepi.ca/event/into-the-…
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