Did Sheinbaum inherit AMLO’s popularity, or surpass it? 🇲🇽
Enkoll’s first-year snapshots put Sheinbaum at 78%, six percentage points above AMLO’s 72% at a similar point.
#Enkoll #ApprovalRatings #Mexico #AMLO #ClaudiaSheinbaum
ALT Line chart compares Enkoll approval snapshots during the first year in office for Andrés Manuel López Obrador and Claudia Sheinbaum. Sheinbaum ends at 78% approval, compared with 72% for AMLO at a similar point. Dates are uneven survey snapshots, not monthly averages.
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Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office?
Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
#approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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@Pollitik_Lab
The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast:
pollitik.substack.com/p/fund…
#gapol
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Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist?
Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t…
H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
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New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉
Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
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The data is in: the #EpsteinFiles fallout is directly impacting executive approval ratings in the US and UK. What are your thoughts on the political instability? 🇺🇸🇬🇧
pollitik.substack.com/p/epst…
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Urime! Breaking trends, Kosovar Prime Minister @AlbinKurti has managed something special. Following a 2020 no-confidence vote and returning in 2021 has maintained strong approval ratings to become Kosovo’s most popular, and potentially longest-serving, PM since independence.
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📊Approval of Orpo’s govt sits at a higher floor than pre-Covid govts, but it is still not as high as the Covid-fueled Marin govt 🇫🇮 💉😷
#Finland #COVID #Marin #Orpo #ApprovalRatings #RallyAroundTheFlag
@mkujanen
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Argentinian President Javier Milei's approval ratings rise following his party's, La Libertad Avanza, decisive victory in midterm elections. Could this victory be contributed to the peso stabilizing following the $40-billion bailout from President Trump? #Milei #40billionbailout
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Data shows that the most self-incriminating scandals don't compare to the weight of unpopular public policy. Johnson: COVID Parties (55% → 24%), Sunak: D-Day early exit, Truss: Policy proposal shock, Starmer: 2026 Policy Low (15%)
Public trust hits a historic floor. 🚨
#Starmer
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Approval ratings for Hong Kong’s government has declined since 2019📉.First under Carrie Lam with protests and COVID😷, and now reaching a new low of 20.1% in 2025 under John Lee. What explains the decrease? Does Beijing’s backing play a role?🤔
#HongKong #China #JohnLeeCarrieLam
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What keeps a president popular? Ask @luisabinader.
A dip, then a reelection honeymoon, to a normal rate of decay.
But the real headline: approval stayed unusually high for most of the term.
Strong economy
Anti-corruption rep
Honeymoons fade. Fundamentals last.
#RD #Ratings 📷
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As Gabriel Boric wraps up his final year, how will his service as Chile’s youngest president be remembered? Addressing organized crime and electricity rates remained a challenge throughout his presidency.
#GabrielBoric #Chile #Actualidad
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Anthony Albanese’s approval has slipped from ~60% in early 2023 to the mid-40s by early 2026. Key political moments produced short bumps — but no lasting recovery. #AnthonyAlbanese #Albanese #AustralianPolitics #AusPol #ApprovalRatings #PoliticalData #Polling #PublicOpinion
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Event-driven shocks matter. Pakistan’s executive approval exhibits structural breaks in 2007 (Bhutto assassination) and 2022 (no-confidence vote), each followed by sharp and persistent declines.
#PakistanPolitics #ComparativePolitics #Democracy #BenazirBhutto #VoteOfNoConfidence
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Danes once again rally 'round the flag! 🇩🇰Trump's most recent threat has boosted PM Mette Frederiksen ahead of elections in October 2026.
#Denmark #MetteFrederiksen
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November marks a clear break from both monthly and historical approval trends for @Claudiashein. The dip coincides with major protests held in the name of Carlos Manzo, led by the group Generación Z.
How much do protest move public opinion?🤔 #generacionZMexico #CarlosManzo
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🗳️📊 Can @OrsiYamandu live up to his predecessor @LuisLacallePou?
After 10 months in office, Orsi’s approval trails Lacalle Pou’s by 18% on average.
Is Orsi underperforming—or was Lacalle Pou’s COVID-era rally effect unusually strong? 🤔
#Uruguay #ApprovalRatings #LatinAmerica
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Just dropped! New Substack post comparing @realDonaldTrump 's two presidential honeymoon periods — what changed, what didn’t, and why it matters now. 🚨🇺🇸 Check it out! #AmericanPolitics #ApprovalRatings #HoneymoonTracker
open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
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🇫🇷Macron’s approval drops📉<25% to 4 major polls — lowest since the Yellow Vest crisis. From 2017 highs🚀to today’s lows🪨, even the Ukraine war bump couldn’t save him. Will France maintain a Renaissance or replace it in the next elections? #FrancePolitics #ApprovalWatch #REParty
ALT https://tolunacorporate.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/08/Barometre-de-confiance-Toluna-Harris-Interactive-LCI_aout-2025.pdf https://www.bva-group.com/sondages/observatoire-de-politique-nationale-bva-orange-rtl-fevrier-2022/ https://www.lefigaro.fr/politique/emmanuel-macron-une-cote-de-confiance-en-tole-ondulee-20240530 https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/Topline_Eurotrack_Jul25_w.pdf
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Javier Milei: Not the Most Popular, but the Longest Honeymoon Since Democracy’s Return in Argentina 🇦🇷
#JavierMilei #Argentina #HoneymoonEffect
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Quarterly Approval Ratings of the recent Japanese Prime Ministers have shown potentially concerning depreciation.
Abe’s assassination seems to have negatively impacted Kishida’s approval.
Does this coincide with Japan’s recent decrease in international prominence?
#Japan
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📷 #PrimeMinisterAlbanese enjoyed a stronger honeymoon period than former PM Morrison. However, Morrison’s COVID-19 rally still surpasses Albanese's approval ratings to date. 📷 How will this impact their legacies? #AusPolitics #Leadership
@PollBludger @OceaniaElects
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Timely for the election! Big thanks to Vladas Gaidys, director of Vilmorus, for providing approval data on Lithuania. Check out the president and prime minister's standings as we head into may. #election #approval #Lithuania #pres #primeminister 🇱🇹 📈
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Prime Minister of Sweden, Ulf Kristersson's approval rating has never recovered since sinking down under in November of 2022. Afterwards, his approval rating fluctuated between the 29-39 range. #Sweden #Kristersson
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pollitik.substack.com/p/coun…
We look at #India with reference to Claassen's thermostatic model of democratic mood, especially the hypothesis that counter-minoritarian democracy diminishes democratic mood in a society. #Modi
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