Collaborations: @ExecApproval; @Pollitik_Lab; @PopulismTeam; Editor @RevistaLOP; Director @GSU_CHRD
Atlanta, GA
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Best. Present. Ever. Thanks @KelsiQuick3 — much of @Pollitik_Lab’s success owes to you. Thanks for believing in this crazy dream 💭 @EPICProgramGSU @ExecApproval @GSUPoliSci
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Interested in using the @ps_polisci special issue "Forecasting the 2026 Midterms" in your class? We have new teaching material posted on APSA Educate. educate.apsanet.org/resource… Thanks to @apsa APSA Educate for getting it posted for us so quickly!
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Check out @ecalvo68’s excellent review of @lschiume’s book, Incumbency Bias, in RLOP!
revistas.usal.es/cuatro/inde…
Could not be more grateful to @ecalvo68 for this review of Incumbency Bias in RLOP. Love how he puts it: bias, positive or negative, is not a pathology but what accountability produces when expectations outrun capacity.
Review: revistas.usal.es/cuatro/inde…
Book: cambridge.org/core/books/inc…
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Who will win the governors' races? 🗳️
Greg Love, @MattSingerPOLS & I take a stab it in the @ps_polisci forecasting symposium.
Check it out! cambridge.org/core/journals/…
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Cool paper that use the Executive Approval Database! Thanks & congrats, @l_gamboag!
Defection from authoritarian allies is crucial to stop autocratization or transition back to democracy. In this JoD (free for anyone), I show some successful examples on how can oppositions support and foster loyalty shifts.
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
As always, it's an empirical question! Submit your proposal for our special here: rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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What a great opportunity to take the pulse of the region! New data from @pewresearch & @LAPOP_Lab + historical dat from @RoperCenter @AmericasyMundo should come in handy.
📢CALL FOR PAPERS: Special Issue
LATIN AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION TOWARDS THE UNITED STATES: Patterns, Determinants & Consequences
CO-EDITORS
Orlando J. Pérez @Perez1oj
Dinorah Azpuru
Gerardo Maldonado @yogerardomh
Federico Merke
Proposal deadline 1 Dec 2026 rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
📢CALL FOR PAPERS: Special Issue
LATIN AMERICAN PUBLIC OPINION TOWARDS THE UNITED STATES: Patterns, Determinants & Consequences
CO-EDITORS
Orlando J. Pérez @Perez1oj
Dinorah Azpuru
Gerardo Maldonado @yogerardomh
Federico Merke
Proposal deadline 1 Dec 2026 rlop.usal.es/index.php/2026/…
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Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
🚨Out now!🚨
POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts.
An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062
All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
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🌡️ readings for the US public
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms.
50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa.
Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office?
Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
#approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
@Pollitik_Lab
The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast:
pollitik.substack.com/p/fund…
#gapol
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Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote.
This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
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Ryan E Carlin retweeted
Our latest forecasts point to something similar for the governor's race in GA open.substack.com/pub/pollit…
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Honestly, I'm a bit shocked by these forecasts. Nice work to the gang @PollitikLab on this!
Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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